Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing a broad-based snap-back rally after the S&amp;P 500 found support at our 5100-5191 target/bounce area which we discussed in our 7/30/24 and 8/6/24 Compass reports</li>
<li>We are not out of the woods as we still see the $SPX and $QQQ going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period, and market dynamics remain far from perfect.</li>
<li>Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX top comparisons are why we expected SPX to find support at 5100, AND THEN test YTD highs (8/13/24 Compass report).</li>
</ul>


We are seeing a broad-based snap-back rally after the S&amp;P 500 found support at our 5100-5191 target/bounce area which we discussed in our 7/30/24 and 8/6/24 Compass reports
We are not out of the woods as we still see the $SPX and $QQQ going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period, and market dynamics remain far from perfect.
Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX top comparisons are why we expected SPX to find support at 5100, AND THEN test YTD highs (8/13/24 Compass report).


Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Ligent Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Ligent, a Hisense-controlled optical transceiver and optical network terminal maker, has passed the HKEX listing hearing and is seeking a Main Board listing. Citi and CITIC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>Our prior note covered the company's business, financials and pre-IPO investor backing.</li>
<li>This note compares Ligent with listed peers from a financial, operating and valuation perspective.</li>
</ul>


Ligent, a Hisense-controlled optical transceiver and optical network terminal maker, has passed the HKEX listing hearing and is seeking a Main Board listing. Citi and CITIC are the joint sponsors.
Our prior note covered the company's business, financials and pre-IPO investor backing.
This note compares Ligent with listed peers from a financial, operating and valuation perspective.


Ligent (纳真科技) Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ligent-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45722:1" rel="noopener">Ligent Technologies (LGT HK)</a> is an optical communication and connectivity products provider. It is seeking to raise US$800 million.     </li>
<li>In 2025, among all specialised optical transceiver manufacturers globally, Ligent ranked 5th in global optical transceiver revenue, with a market share of 4.0%.</li>
<li>The investment case is bullish as Ligent is a business executing well (share gains, strong growth, improving margins) in an industry benefiting from a structural growth theme.   </li>
</ul>



Ligent Technologies (LGT HK) is an optical communication and connectivity products provider. It is seeking to raise US$800 million.     
In 2025, among all specialised optical transceiver manufacturers globally, Ligent ranked 5th in global optical transceiver revenue, with a market share of 4.0%.
The investment case is bullish as Ligent is a business executing well (share gains, strong growth, improving margins) in an industry benefiting from a structural growth theme.   


Ligent Technologies IPO: The Investment Case

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Eoptolink Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoptolink-technology-inc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29558:1" rel="noopener">Eoptolink Technology (300502 CH)</a> one of the world’s largest optical transceiver manufacturers, aims to raise over &gt;US$3bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Eoptolink was one of the global leaders in 2025 in optical modules, with its products being in high demand for data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Eoptolink Technology (300502 CH) one of the world’s largest optical transceiver manufacturers, aims to raise over &gt;US$3bn in its H-share listing.
Eoptolink was one of the global leaders in 2025 in optical modules, with its products being in high demand for data centers.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: Eoptolink A/H Listing - Early Look - At What Could Be HK’s Largest 4Q Listing at >US$3bn

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive.</li><li>Fabrinet and Coherent both achieved good results, but Fabrinet disappointed expectations for Nvidia's pluggable revenue. Is this a weak read-through? Unlikely. Marvell should have an amazing year if Coherent’s TAM is remotely correct.</li><li>MKSI put up the exact results I was looking for, and this continues to be my favorite idea. As WFE increases, inventory builds will happen, and then financial and operational leverage will take care of the rest.</li></ul>

Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive.Fabrinet and Coherent both achieved good results, but Fabrinet disappointed expectations for Nvidia's pluggable revenue. Is this a weak read-through? Unlikely. Marvell should have an amazing year if Coherent’s TAM is remotely correct.MKSI put up the exact results I was looking for, and this continues to be my favorite idea. As WFE increases, inventory builds will happen, and then financial and operational leverage will take care of the rest.

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

United States

Coherent Corp. designs engineered materials and optoelectronic components. The Company offers products to industrial, optical communications, military, life sciences, semiconductor equipment, and consumer markets. Coherent also manufactures semiconductor lasers and optics for high power industrial lasers, optical communications systems, datacenter connectivity, and 3D sensing.

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Coherent (COHR US)

Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play

Snap-Back Rally Tests YTD Highs; Apr. 2000, Aug. 2007, Feb. 2022 $SPX Top Comparisons Still in Play. These comparisons are why we expected support...

Vermilion Research

Ligent (纳真科技) Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison

Ligent has passed the HKEX listing hearing. In this note, we compare the company with its listed peers on operating data, financials and valuation,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ligent Technologies IPO: The Investment Case

Ligent Technologies is an optical communication and connectivity products provider. It is seeking to raise US$800 million. In this note, I discuss...

Arun George

Aequitas: Eoptolink A/H Listing - Early Look - At What Could Be HK’s Largest 4Q Listing at >US$3bn

Eoptolink Technology (300502 CH) one of the world’s largest optical transceiver manufacturers, aims to raise over >US$3bn in its H-share listing....

Sumeet Singh

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive...

Fabricated Knowledge

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