House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Technical Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new anti-monopoly laws, that hurt company business and profitability</li><li>Now the SEC is trying to look better into the balance sheet of these companies, threatening a possible delisting from U.S. exchanges. This is another big risk for chinese tech stocks.</li><li>An almost 70% drawdown already happened. Will there ever be a reversal?</li></ul>

The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new anti-monopoly laws, that hurt company business and profitabilityNow the SEC is trying to look better into the balance sheet of these companies, threatening a possible delisting from U.S. exchanges. This is another big risk for chinese tech stocks.An almost 70% drawdown already happened. Will there ever be a reversal?

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Procter &amp; Gamble Co (PG US), Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS), L'Oreal SA (OR FP), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-household-health-care" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6501:1" rel="noopener">LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS)</a>,  and Kao Corp (4452 JP), lead product innovation table</li>
<li>Among the smaller names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmax-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4491:1" rel="noopener">Cosmax Inc (192820 KS)</a>, Pola Orbis Holdings (4927 JP),  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kolmar-bnh-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33240:1" rel="noopener">Kolmar BNH (200130 KS)</a>, have been relatively prolific in innovating over the last three years.</li>
<li>Apart from the quality of the ingredients, consistency, stability of the formulations, the packaging, dispensing, virtual try-on, personalized recommendations, sustainability seem to be some of the key trends in innovations.</li>
</ul>


Procter &amp; Gamble Co (PG US), Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS), L'Oreal SA (OR FP), LG Household &amp; Health Care (051900 KS),  and Kao Corp (4452 JP), lead product innovation table
Among the smaller names Cosmax Inc (192820 KS), Pola Orbis Holdings (4927 JP),  Kolmar BNH (200130 KS), have been relatively prolific in innovating over the last three years.
Apart from the quality of the ingredients, consistency, stability of the formulations, the packaging, dispensing, virtual try-on, personalized recommendations, sustainability seem to be some of the key trends in innovations.


Insights from Datamining Technical Publications - Cosmetics

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Colgate Palmolive Co / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Despite the volatility that Colgate-Palmolive has experienced in their business lines, the company’s stock price has been more or less rangebound.</li><li>Colgate-Palmolive had to resort to increased pricing to combat inflation but its volumes grew as well, both, sequentially and on a two-year basis.</li><li>Oral Care organic sales increased by the mid-single digits in Q3 compared to the previous quarter and are up by the high-single digits year-to-date.</li></ul>

Despite the volatility that Colgate-Palmolive has experienced in their business lines, the company’s stock price has been more or less rangebound.Colgate-Palmolive had to resort to increased pricing to combat inflation but its volumes grew as well, both, sequentially and on a two-year basis.Oral Care organic sales increased by the mid-single digits in Q3 compared to the previous quarter and are up by the high-single digits year-to-date.

Colgate-Palmolive: A Stable Consumer Goods Play (12/2021)

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Reckitt Benckiser Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Reckitt Benckiser has been one of the worst performers in the large cap household &amp; personal products space.</li>
<li>Past mistakes in strategic capital allocation are still lingering over the business, while debt levels will likely require more divestments.</li>
<li>The business, however, is in a good position to regain shareholders' trust and its leading position in the industry.</li>
</ul>


Reckitt Benckiser has been one of the worst performers in the large cap household &amp; personal products space.
Past mistakes in strategic capital allocation are still lingering over the business, while debt levels will likely require more divestments.
The business, however, is in a good position to regain shareholders' trust and its leading position in the industry.


Reckitt Benckiser - Still Paying For Past Mistakes

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Allocations in Consumer Staples stocks are at decade-long lows.  Average fund weights among active Global managers stand at 7.65% following an aggressive slump after the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020.The spread between Consumer Discretionary weights and Consumer Staples weights in active Global portfolios is close to it's all-time wides, but is turning lower after peaking in April this this year.What stands out in our data is the cutting back of Consumer Staples allocations by Growth investors, with a number of high profile stocks cut from Aggressive Growth portfolios since last 2019 (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RB/ LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/colgate-palmolive-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15093:1" rel="noopener">Colgate Palmolive Co (CL US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anheuser-busch-inbev-sa-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:865:1" rel="noopener">Anheuser Busch Inbev Sa/Nv (ABI BB)</a> )For the Consumer Staples sector to see a turnaround, perhaps growth, or at least the perception of growth needs to return for these investors.

Allocations in Consumer Staples stocks are at decade-long lows.  Average fund weights among active Global managers stand at 7.65% following an aggressive slump after the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020.The spread between Consumer Discretionary weights and Consumer Staples weights in active Global portfolios is close to it's all-time wides, but is turning lower after peaking in April this this year.What stands out in our data is the cutting back of Consumer Staples allocations by Growth investors, with a number of high profile stocks cut from Aggressive Growth portfolios since last 2019 (Reckitt Benckiser (RB/ LN), Colgate Palmolive Co (CL US),Anheuser Busch Inbev Sa/Nv (ABI BB) )For the Consumer Staples sector to see a turnaround, perhaps growth, or at least the perception of growth needs to return for these investors.

Global Consumer Staples: Allocations at Rock Bottom as Growth Investors Flee

United States

Colgate-Palmolive Company is a consumer products company that markets its products throughout the world.  The Company's products include toothpaste, toothbrushes, shampoos, deodorants, bar and liquid soaps, dishwashing liquid, and laundry products, as well as pet nutrition products for cats and dogs.

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Colgate Palmolive Co (CL US)

Charts to Watch

The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new...

Market Radar

Insights from Datamining Technical Publications - Cosmetics

The beauty industry - where innovation can be real and driven by science, but sometimes just cosmetic to just change the perception

Pyari Menon

Colgate-Palmolive: A Stable Consumer Goods Play (12/2021)

Despite the volatility that Colgate-Palmolive has experienced in their business lines, the company’s stock price has been more or less...

Baptista Research

Reckitt Benckiser - Still Paying For Past Mistakes

Reckitt Benckiser has been one of the worst performers in the large cap household & personal products space. Past mistakes in strategic...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Global Consumer Staples: Allocations at Rock Bottom as Growth Investors Flee

Allocations in Consumer Staples stocks are at decade-long lows. Average fund weights among active Global managers stand at 7.65% following an...

Steven Holden

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