Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 8 ADDs and 6 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>The Sigma Healthcare - Chemist Warehouse merger will be completed soon and there will be major inflows for Sigma Healthcare due to float percentage/share count upgrades.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 8 ADDs and 6 DELs for ASX 300.
The Sigma Healthcare - Chemist Warehouse merger will be completed soon and there will be major inflows for Sigma Healthcare due to float percentage/share count upgrades.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: LONGs up ~10% Vs SHORTs in a Month; More to Come

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, there could be 36 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300.</li>
<li>Completion of the merger with Chemist Warehouse in February will set off huge passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> over the February to June period.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, there could be 36 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and S&amp;P/ASX 300.
Completion of the merger with Chemist Warehouse in February will set off huge passive buying in Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) over the February to June period.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two changes for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 10 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is likely to experience major index inflows in March 2025 if the merger completes as planned.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank, Goodman.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 6th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank, Goodman.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Australian Venue Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Australian Venue Company (AVC) aims to raise around US$273m in its Australia IPO. The company was majority owned by KKR prior to listing.</p><p>AVC is the second largest pub group in Australia, it has a presence in New Zealand as well, with a total portfolio of 175 venues across Australia and New Zealand (ANZ). AVC operates in the ANZ licensed venue market, which allows it to provide an array of services including provision of food and beverages, gaming and betting facilities, function rooms, live entertainment and accommodation.</p>

Australian Venue Company (AVC) aims to raise around US$273m in its Australia IPO. The company was majority owned by KKR prior to listing.AVC is the second largest pub group in Australia, it has a presence in New Zealand as well, with a total portfolio of 175 venues across Australia and New Zealand (ANZ). AVC operates in the ANZ licensed venue market, which allows it to provide an array of services including provision of food and beverages, gaming and betting facilities, function rooms, live entertainment and accommodation.

Australian Venue Co. IPO - Stagnant Industry but Acquisitions Could Rev It Up

Australia

Collins Foods Ltd. operates fast-food restaurants.  The Company operates chains of steak and chicken restaurants in Australia.

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Collins Foods (CKF AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: LONGs up ~10% Vs SHORTs in a Month; More to Come

There are multiple names with significant impact (10x ADV or more) expected during the March 2025 rebalance. Expected ADDs could continue to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

There could be 36 changes for the ASX indices in March. There is big flow and impact. The Sigma merger with CWG will result in over A$2bn of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

We expect there to be a total of 650mn shares to buy from the ASX family during the March 2025 index rebal event. This is roughly US$1.1bn in flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Australian Venue Co. IPO - Stagnant Industry but Acquisitions Could Rev It Up

Australian Venue Company aims to raise around US$273m in its Australia IPO. The company was majority owned by KKR prior to listing.

Sumeet Singh

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Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: LONGs up ~10% Vs SHORTs in a Month; More to Come

There are multiple names with significant impact (10x ADV or more) expected during the March 2025 rebalance. Expected ADDs could continue to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger

There could be 36 changes for the ASX indices in March. There is big flow and impact. The Sigma merger with CWG will result in over A$2bn of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar 25: Several Changes Likely; Major Inflows for Sigma Healthcare

We expect there to be a total of 650mn shares to buy from the ASX family during the March 2025 index rebal event. This is roughly US$1.1bn in flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National Australia Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Apa, Champion Iron, Pro Medicus, BHP, National...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Australian Venue Co. IPO - Stagnant Industry but Acquisitions Could Rev It Up

Australian Venue Company aims to raise around US$273m in its Australia IPO. The company was majority owned by KKR prior to listing.

Sumeet Singh

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Could Be More with Sigma/CWG Merger