Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share compared to the prior year.</li>
<li>The company’s same-store revenue increased by 51%, leading to total first quarter revenue of $2.9 billion, a 56% rise year-over-year.</li>
<li>This growth was driven by robust demand across both the Electrical and Mechanical segments, with respective revenue increases of 88% and 47%, supported notably by continued strength in the technology sector.</li>
</ul>


Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share compared to the prior year.
The company’s same-store revenue increased by 51%, leading to total first quarter revenue of $2.9 billion, a 56% rise year-over-year.
This growth was driven by robust demand across both the Electrical and Mechanical segments, with respective revenue increases of 88% and 47%, supported notably by continued strength in the technology sector.


Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jabil-circuit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16674:1" rel="noopener">Jabil Circuit (JBL US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/builders-firstsource-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4720:1" rel="noopener">Builders Firstsource (BLDR US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> at the close on 15 December.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of inclusions. deletions and migrations across the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a>. There has been positioning in the stock for just over a month now. </li>
</ul>



Uber Technologies (UBER US), Jabil Circuit (JBL US) and Builders Firstsource (BLDR US) will be added to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) at the close on 15 December.
There are a bunch of inclusions. deletions and migrations across the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber Technologies (UBER US). There has been positioning in the stock for just over a month now. 


US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crh-plc-054117b2-cd70-470a-9efc-8f6fab2c83ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28655:1" rel="noopener">CRH (CRH US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfort-systems-usa-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6730:1" rel="noopener">Comfort Systems USA (FIX US)</a> are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pure-storage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27421:1" rel="noopener">Pure Storage Inc (PSTG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solstice-advanced-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45953:1" rel="noopener">Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US)</a> face reduced conviction due to sector balance and turnover.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertiv-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33140:1" rel="noopener">Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US)</a> has a higher probability of inclusion following the acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kellogg-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16090:1" rel="noopener">Kellogg Co (K US)</a> which is still pending.</li>
</ul>



CRH (CRH US) and Comfort Systems USA (FIX US) are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.

Pure Storage Inc (PSTG US) and Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US) face reduced conviction due to sector balance and turnover.

Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT US) has a higher probability of inclusion following the acquisition of Kellogg Co (K US) which is still pending.


S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

<ul>
<li>Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.</li>
<li>Throughout this period, the company has shown remarkable operational and financial performance, with notable growth in revenue and profitability.</li>
<li>The company reported earnings of $8.25 per share, which signifies a twofold increase compared to the same quarter last year.</li>
</ul>


Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.
Throughout this period, the company has shown remarkable operational and financial performance, with notable growth in revenue and profitability.
The company reported earnings of $8.25 per share, which signifies a twofold increase compared to the same quarter last year.


Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

<ul>
<li>Comfort Systems USA reported a robust second quarter for 2025, demonstrating significant growth and resilience despite economic uncertainties.</li>
<li>The company achieved a record quarterly revenue of $2.2 billion, marking a 20% increase from the previous year, driven by substantial growth across its segments.</li>
<li>The Mechanical segment saw a revenue uptick of 13%, while the Electrical segment outperformed with a 49% increase.</li>
</ul>


Comfort Systems USA reported a robust second quarter for 2025, demonstrating significant growth and resilience despite economic uncertainties.
The company achieved a record quarterly revenue of $2.2 billion, marking a 20% increase from the previous year, driven by substantial growth across its segments.
The Mechanical segment saw a revenue uptick of 13%, while the Electrical segment outperformed with a 49% increase.


Comfort Systems USA: An $8.1 Billion Backlog & Soaring Tech Demand Is The HIGHLIGHT

United States

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. provides heating, ventilation, and air conditioning system installation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services. The Company's commercial and industrial markets include office buildings, retail centers, apartment complexes, hotels, manufacturing plants, and government facilities.

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Comfort Systems Usa (FIX US)

Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share...

Baptista Research

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Calling an UBER

Passive S&P500 index trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber in two weeks. Positioning in the stock began a month ago and just ahead of Q3...

Brian Freitas

S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.

Baptista Research

Comfort Systems USA: An $8.1 Billion Backlog & Soaring Tech Demand Is The HIGHLIGHT

Comfort Systems USA reported a robust second quarter for 2025, demonstrating significant growth and resilience despite economic uncertainties.

Baptista Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Comfort Systems USA: Revenue Up 56% And Supply Constrained Not Demand Constrained

Comfort Systems USA reported a strong first quarter of 2026, marked by significant growth in revenue, gross margins, and earnings per share...

Baptista Research

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Calling an UBER

Passive S&P500 index trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber in two weeks. Positioning in the stock began a month ago and just ahead of Q3...

Brian Freitas

S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

​CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Comfort Systems USA Accelerates Growth: $200 Million Revenue Boost from Smart Acquisitions!

Comfort Systems USA's third-quarter 2025 financial results provide a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects.

Baptista Research

Comfort Systems USA: An $8.1 Billion Backlog & Soaring Tech Demand Is The HIGHLIGHT

Comfort Systems USA reported a robust second quarter for 2025, demonstrating significant growth and resilience despite economic uncertainties.

Baptista Research

CRH and FIX are top candidates for addition in December 2025, while PSTG and SOLS face reduced conviction. VRT has a higher chance of inclusion...