Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The RBA raised its cash rate target to 4.60% on 29 September, its fourth 25bp increase this year.</li>
<li>Australian banks underperformed the broader market over 20 trading days following both the March and May hikes.</li>
<li>Following the latest hike, the Big Four have already underperformed the market, consistent with the pattern following the two preceding increases.</li>
</ul>


The RBA raised its cash rate target to 4.60% on 29 September, its fourth 25bp increase this year.
Australian banks underperformed the broader market over 20 trading days following both the March and May hikes.
Following the latest hike, the Big Four have already underperformed the market, consistent with the pattern following the two preceding increases.


Aussie Banks: Underperformance May Have Further to Run After Rate Hike

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 14th September, published on the 18th September.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts decreased A$1.6bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">CBA (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anz-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40898:1" rel="noopener">ANZ (ANZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suncorp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4218:1" rel="noopener">Suncorp (SUN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 14th September, published on the 18th September.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts decreased A$1.6bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CBA (CBA AU), Northern Star Resources (NST AU), Westpac (WBC AU), ANZ (ANZ AU), Suncorp (SUN AU), and Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU).


Aussie Shorts [14 Sep 2026]: CBA, Northern Star Resources, Westpac, ANZ, Suncorp, Sigma Healthcare

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Chartist reports the technical picture for CBA shares remains supportive in sharp contrast to the bearish voices that continue calling those shares heavily overvalued.</li></ul>

The Chartist reports the technical picture for CBA shares remains supportive in sharp contrast to the bearish voices that continue calling those shares heavily overvalued.

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 31st August, published on the 4th September.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net shorts declined A$0.9bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transurban-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:593:1" rel="noopener">Transurban (TCL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 31st August, published on the 4th September.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net shorts declined A$0.9bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), National Australia Bank (NAB AU), Transurban (TCL AU), Westpac Banking (WBC AU), and BHP (BHP AU).


Aussie Shorts [31 Aug 2026]: CBA, NAB, Transurban, Westpac, BHP

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM, Dantes Outlook

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM

Dantes Outlook

We invest over a full market cycle, using multi-asset portfolios tailored to each global client, from individuals to family offices.

Built to Endure

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> appears oversold vs. world equities, but has not sustained upside momentum to warrant a broad allocation. Although dividends are nice over the long run.</li>
<li>We constructed a 12-name basket that can scale as the index trend improves. The basket holds a mix of cyclical and defensive stocks.</li>
<li>A narrower rate differential with the US may help, but significantly less so for USD-investors like us. The bar is high for Aussie equities, so we prefer stock selection.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) appears oversold vs. world equities, but has not sustained upside momentum to warrant a broad allocation. Although dividends are nice over the long run.
We constructed a 12-name basket that can scale as the index trend improves. The basket holds a mix of cyclical and defensive stocks.
A narrower rate differential with the US may help, but significantly less so for USD-investors like us. The bar is high for Aussie equities, so we prefer stock selection.


Australia: Value Down Under Awaiting Confirmation. Here’s a Stock Basket That Scales

Australia

Commonwealth Bank of Australia provides banking, life insurance, and related services for individuals, small businesses and medium sized commercial enterprises. The Bank provides corporate and general banking, international financing, institutional banking and stock broking and funds management such as superannuation product.

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Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)

Aussie Banks: Underperformance May Have Further to Run After Rate Hike

Aussie banks have underperformed since the latest RBA hike. Following similar patterns after the March and May hikes, the weakness may have further...

Gaudenz Schneider

Aussie Shorts [14 Sep 2026]: CBA, Northern Star Resources, Westpac, ANZ, Suncorp, Sigma Healthcare

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

It Pays To Be Contrarian On CBA Shares

The Chartist reports the technical picture for CBA shares remains supportive in sharp contrast to the bearish voices that continue calling those...

FNArena

Aussie Shorts [31 Aug 2026]: CBA, NAB, Transurban, Westpac, BHP

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Australia: Value Down Under Awaiting Confirmation. Here’s a Stock Basket That Scales

Australian shares have lagged for a while, but we see opportunity in a basket of trending stocks. We can scale up if the index improves, while...

Damanick Dantes, CMT

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