Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 14 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Australian Financial stocks are a lightly held.  Just 17% of the global funds in our analysis hold a position, with managers running a net underweight for the last decade.  They remain the 5th largest country/sector underweight globally.However the decline has started to reverse.  Buying in stocks such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australia-and-new-zealand-banking-group-anz" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:443:1" rel="noopener">Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) (ANZ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zip-co-ltd-3708706d-4978-4e29-acbc-d9702b971da9" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29126:1" rel="noopener">Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU)</a> has placed active fund ownership on an upward trajectory for the first time in 5-years.Compared to Financials positioning in other countries, Australian Financials are lightly held, especially compared to US and India Financials which saw a strong resurgence post COVID.  If we add in to the mix the relatively large underweight and the fact that there is a Value rotation underway, it wouldn't be out of the question to expect Australian Financials to capture further inflows.

Australian Financial stocks are a lightly held.  Just 17% of the global funds in our analysis hold a position, with managers running a net underweight for the last decade.  They remain the 5th largest country/sector underweight globally.However the decline has started to reverse.  Buying in stocks such as Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) (ANZ AU) and Zip Co Ltd (Z1P AU) has placed active fund ownership on an upward trajectory for the first time in 5-years.Compared to Financials positioning in other countries, Australian Financials are lightly held, especially compared to US and India Financials which saw a strong resurgence post COVID.  If we add in to the mix the relatively large underweight and the fact that there is a Value rotation underway, it wouldn't be out of the question to expect Australian Financials to capture further inflows.

Australian Financials:  Big Underweight (Finally) Finding Some Love?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

<ul><li>The a2 Milk Company (ATM) provided a positive update on its supply chain and FY26 guidance.</li><li>As a result, product flows to distributors and retailers have materially improved, and stock levels for both English Label and China Label have returned to targeted levels.</li><li>With uncertainty still relatively elevated and ATM now trading on a 12-month forward PE of ~28x, broadly in line with history, we continue to see a balanced risk–reward profile.</li></ul>

The a2 Milk Company (ATM) provided a positive update on its supply chain and FY26 guidance.As a result, product flows to distributors and retailers have materially improved, and stock levels for both English Label and China Label have returned to targeted levels.With uncertainty still relatively elevated and ATM now trading on a 12-month forward PE of ~28x, broadly in line with history, we continue to see a balanced risk–reward profile.

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 13 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and eight sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 13 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and eight sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

Australia

Commonwealth Bank of Australia provides banking, life insurance, and related services for individuals, small businesses and medium sized commercial enterprises. The Bank provides corporate and general banking, international financing, institutional banking and stock broking and funds management such as superannuation product.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australian Financials: Big Underweight (Finally) Finding Some Love?

Australian Financial stocks are the 5th largest country/sector underweight globally. But is their decade long decline starting to reverse?

Steven Holden

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The a2 Milk Company Bottlenecks Breaking

The a2 Milk Company (ATM) provided a positive update on its supply chain and FY26 guidance. As a result, product flows to distributors and...

Forsyth Barr

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (13 Jul 2026)

​Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Australian Financials: Big Underweight (Finally) Finding Some Love?

Australian Financial stocks are the 5th largest country/sector underweight globally. But is their decade long decline starting to reverse?

Steven Holden

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The a2 Milk Company Bottlenecks Breaking

The a2 Milk Company (ATM) provided a positive update on its supply chain and FY26 guidance. As a result, product flows to distributors and...

Forsyth Barr

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Jul 2026)

​Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover 14 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover 13 pair trade opportunities across six markets and eight sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.