Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Taiwanese wafer industry anticipates growth in the first quarter of 2025, boosting the country's economy.</li><li>Compal teams up with Kalyani Group to bring server manufacturing to India, enhancing local production and technology.</li><li>Chinese lithium battery companies face challenges due to Trump's tariffs, impacting their ability to operate effectively.</li></ul>

Taiwanese wafer industry anticipates growth in the first quarter of 2025, boosting the country's economy.Compal teams up with Kalyani Group to bring server manufacturing to India, enhancing local production and technology.Chinese lithium battery companies face challenges due to Trump's tariffs, impacting their ability to operate effectively.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Mar-2025): Taiwan wafer industry, 1Q 2025.

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2% YoY, Canalys an increase of +1%. Let’s call this flat. If 4Q24 is “average seasonal”, 2024 will reach ~265m, or the pre-Covid range. </li>
<li>No AI fever, no accelerated replacement cycle, for now. If it happens, it will take time, ie compelling AI apps that only run locally and need a new PC.</li>
<li>In Asia, PC vendors: Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Taiwan ODM: Compal, Quanta, Wistron. Semi with high exposure: Novatek, Realtek. </li>
</ul>


IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2% YoY, Canalys an increase of +1%. Let’s call this flat. If 4Q24 is “average seasonal”, 2024 will reach ~265m, or the pre-Covid range. 
No AI fever, no accelerated replacement cycle, for now. If it happens, it will take time, ie compelling AI apps that only run locally and need a new PC.
In Asia, PC vendors: Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Taiwan ODM: Compal, Quanta, Wistron. Semi with high exposure: Novatek, Realtek. 


3Q24 PC Shipments Are Flat YoY. Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Compal, Quanta, Wistron.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated short interest was USD28.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer, Nan Ya Plastics, Zhen Ding Technology, King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer, Nan Ya Plastics, Zhen Ding Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated short interest was USD28.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer, Nan Ya Plastics, Zhen Ding Technology, King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer, Nan Ya Plastics, Zhen Ding Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 21st): King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

WT Microelectronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wt-microelectronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19712:1" rel="noopener">WT Microelectronics (3036 TT)</a> (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares(18m GDRs)via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year zero-coupon CB to raiseUS$350m.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares(18m GDRs)via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year zero-coupon CB to raiseUS$350m.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


WT Micro GDR Offering - Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

Taiwan

Compal Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and color monitors.  The Company also produces liquid crystal displays and other computer related products.  Compal Electronics exports its products to the United States, Europe, and Asia.

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Compal Electronics (2324 TT)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Mar-2025): Taiwan wafer industry, 1Q 2025.

Taiwan wafer industry forecasts growth, Compal partners with Kalyani Group, Chinese lithium battery makers affected by Trump's tariffs, MediaTek...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

3Q24 PC Shipments Are Flat YoY. Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Compal, Quanta, Wistron.

3Q24 PC shipments are flat YoY. The great recovery or AI replacement cycle aren’t happening (for now). IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2%...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 21st): King Yuan Electronics, MediaTek, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in King Yuan Electronics (2449 TT), MediaTek (2454...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

WT Micro GDR Offering - Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

WT Microelectronics (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares (18m GDRs) via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year...

Akshat Shah

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