Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2% YoY, Canalys an increase of +1%. Let’s call this flat. If 4Q24 is “average seasonal”, 2024 will reach ~265m, or the pre-Covid range. </li>
<li>No AI fever, no accelerated replacement cycle, for now. If it happens, it will take time, ie compelling AI apps that only run locally and need a new PC.</li>
<li>In Asia, PC vendors: Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Taiwan ODM: Compal, Quanta, Wistron. Semi with high exposure: Novatek, Realtek. </li>
</ul>


IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2% YoY, Canalys an increase of +1%. Let’s call this flat. If 4Q24 is “average seasonal”, 2024 will reach ~265m, or the pre-Covid range. 
No AI fever, no accelerated replacement cycle, for now. If it happens, it will take time, ie compelling AI apps that only run locally and need a new PC.
In Asia, PC vendors: Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Taiwan ODM: Compal, Quanta, Wistron. Semi with high exposure: Novatek, Realtek. 


3Q24 PC Shipments Are Flat YoY. Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Compal, Quanta, Wistron.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,366.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, Delta Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,366.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, Delta Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD2,267.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD938mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD2,267.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD938mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Memory revenue re-accelerated well ahead of its seasonal pace: the six memory names grew revenue +32% MoM after about +4% in June, roughly twice their pace in July last year.</li>
<li>Taiwan's assemblers look weaker than they are: nine of thirteen ODM, EMS and PC-brand names saw revenue fall sequentially, yet the group beat its own July 2025 decline.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alchip-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20219:1" rel="noopener">Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)</a>'s revenue nearly quadrupled in two months and its filing reversed: after three months reporting mass-production declines, it reported growth, the only commentary change in our universe.</li>
</ul>


Memory revenue re-accelerated well ahead of its seasonal pace: the six memory names grew revenue +32% MoM after about +4% in June, roughly twice their pace in July last year.
Taiwan's assemblers look weaker than they are: nine of thirteen ODM, EMS and PC-brand names saw revenue fall sequentially, yet the group beat its own July 2025 decline.

Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)'s revenue nearly quadrupled in two months and its filing reversed: after three months reporting mass-production declines, it reported growth, the only commentary change in our universe.


Taiwan Supply Chain Signals: Memory Revenue Re-Accelerates While Custom AI Chip Revenue Ramps

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stock remains and 10 stocks are added</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 134% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 60%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stock remains and 10 stocks are added
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 134% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 60%


Taiwan

Compal Electronics Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and color monitors.  The Company also produces liquid crystal displays and other computer related products.  Compal Electronics exports its products to the United States, Europe, and Asia.

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Compal Electronics (2324 TT)

3Q24 PC Shipments Are Flat YoY. Lenovo, Acer, Asus. Compal, Quanta, Wistron.

3Q24 PC shipments are flat YoY. The great recovery or AI replacement cycle aren’t happening (for now). IDC reported 3Q24 PC shipments declining -2%...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Supply Chain Signals: Memory Revenue Re-Accelerates While Custom AI Chip Revenue Ramps

We analyze the latest monthly revenue data across Taiwan's technology supply chain. Four key signals emerge from the latest results.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 42

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added

A. Stotz Investment Research

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