IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

<ul>
<li>Shockingly, the Sinopharm-led consortium’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> has lapsed as the precondition long stop date has not been extended.</li>
<li>This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. </li>
<li>Shareholders will have a bruising Monday. Our analysis suggests a deal break price of around HK$3.44, a 10% downside to the last close.</li>
</ul>


Shockingly, the Sinopharm-led consortium’s offer for China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) has lapsed as the precondition long stop date has not been extended.
This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. 
Shareholders will have a bruising Monday. Our analysis suggests a deal break price of around HK$3.44, a 10% downside to the last close.


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.</li>
<li>Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.</li>
<li>FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.</li>
</ul>


Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.
Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.
FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

<ul>
<li>Kissei Pharmaceutical initiates additional Phase III clinical trial for Rovatirelin (KPS-0373) for the treatment of spinocerebellar degeneration. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences received 11th indication approval for toripalimab in China.</li>
<li>AstraZeneca Entered into exclusive licensing agreement worth $1.35B with Alteogen to use latter’s hyaluronidase protein, ALT-B4, to develop subcutaneous versions of its “several oncology assets.”</li>
<li>Celltrion Has unveiled “Value-up Program,” whereby the company is targeting 30% revenue CAGR by 2027 to reach KRW5T revenue and 7% ROE. HLB faced another rejection from FDA for rivoceranib.</li>
</ul>


Kissei Pharmaceutical initiates additional Phase III clinical trial for Rovatirelin (KPS-0373) for the treatment of spinocerebellar degeneration. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences received 11th indication approval for toripalimab in China.
AstraZeneca Entered into exclusive licensing agreement worth $1.35B with Alteogen to use latter’s hyaluronidase protein, ALT-B4, to develop subcutaneous versions of its “several oncology assets.”
Celltrion Has unveiled “Value-up Program,” whereby the company is targeting 30% revenue CAGR by 2027 to reach KRW5T revenue and 7% ROE. HLB faced another rejection from FDA for rivoceranib.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.</li>
<li>ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.</li>
<li>DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the performance of Hong Kong Connect implementation in March 2026.
ADD stocks reversed their bridge window drawdown at implementation. The bounce faded by week 3 to 4.
DELETE stocks fell through first week, exceeding Sep 2025. Within the DELETE basket, the names where connect investors sold the most also fell the most.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

<ul>
<li>Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange confirmed 40 ADDs and 25 DELETEs for Connect implementation on 9 March 2026.</li>
<li>The DELETE trade has worked well, with mean WAI return of -10.0% (21/25 negative); ADD stocks underperformed during WAI at -3.3% mean, consistent with the September 2025 event study.</li>
<li>Selectivity remains critical into implementation: favor narrative-aligned ADDs with moderate pre-event extension, maintain DELETE shorts on high-Connect-holding names, and monitor the three delayed ADDs for secondary entry points.</li>
</ul>


Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange confirmed 40 ADDs and 25 DELETEs for Connect implementation on 9 March 2026.
The DELETE trade has worked well, with mean WAI return of -10.0% (21/25 negative); ADD stocks underperformed during WAI at -3.3% mean, consistent with the September 2025 event study.
Selectivity remains critical into implementation: favor narrative-aligned ADDs with moderate pre-event extension, maintain DELETE shorts on high-Connect-holding names, and monitor the three delayed ADDs for secondary entry points.


HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026): Implementation Today & Positioning

China

Consun Pharmaceutical Group is a modern pharmaceutical enterprise engaged in the research, development, production, and marketing of modern Chinese medicines and medical imaging contrast mediums. It also manufactures and sells traditional Chinese medicines. Key products include Uremic Clearance Granule for kidney disease, Gadopentetate Dimeglumine Injection as a medical contrast medium, and Iron Dextran Oral Solution. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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Consun Pharmaceutical (1681 HK)

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. Shareholders will have a bruising...

Arun George

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

Celltrion signed KRW375B biologics CMO deal with a global pharma company. Samsung Bioepis expands biosimilar collaboration with Sandoz. 40+ Indian...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...

Tina Banerjee

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026): Implementation Today & Positioning

HSCI rebal/HK Connect implementation on March 9th: We provide a follow-up note on what have done well and what to monitor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. Shareholders will have a bruising...

Arun George

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

Celltrion signed KRW375B biologics CMO deal with a global pharma company. Samsung Bioepis expands biosimilar collaboration with Sandoz. 40+ Indian...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

​Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...

Tina Banerjee

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026) Post-Event Review: What Worked, What Didn't

HK Connect Mar 2026 implementation cycle is completing. ADD reversed the WAI drawdown at implementation. DELETE continuation worked post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect (March 2026): Implementation Today & Positioning

HSCI rebal/HK Connect implementation on March 9th: We provide a follow-up note on what have done well and what to monitor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...