Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2025.</li>
<li>The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 21st November 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2025.
The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 21st November 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



CATL (3750 HK) raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


CATL IPO Lockup - US$5.3bn Lockup Release, with H-Shares at Significant Premium to A-Shares

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Lithium has re-emerged as a focus due to export controls and its designation as a critical material in the US and Europe.</li>
<li>Lithium equities have begun to price in higher values but remain well below full recovery levels.</li>
<li>Given their underperformance, lithium equities offer a lower-risk way to play the critical minerals theme.</li>
</ul>


Lithium has re-emerged as a focus due to export controls and its designation as a critical material in the US and Europe.
Lithium equities have begun to price in higher values but remain well below full recovery levels.
Given their underperformance, lithium equities offer a lower-risk way to play the critical minerals theme.


The Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Lithium - A Critical Material Back in the Spotlight

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

CNGR Advanced Material / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cngr-advanced-material-co-ltd-47ff2856-4dc1-492a-8394-03d69de02ce4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45994:1" rel="noopener">CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)</a>'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.</li>
<li>Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.</li>
<li>By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.</li>
</ul>



CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.
Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.
By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.


CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Verisilicon Microelectronics S / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 4 constituent changes for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in December. The announcement of the changes will be made after market close on 28 November.</li>
<li>There will be between 0.1-0.35x ADV to trade in the changes but some of the forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes in July and August before giving up all the gains (and more) in a near one-way move over the last month.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 4 constituent changes for the STAR&amp;CHINEXT 50 Index in December. The announcement of the changes will be made after market close on 28 November.
There will be between 0.1-0.35x ADV to trade in the changes but some of the forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes in July and August before giving up all the gains (and more) in a near one-way move over the last month.


STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in December

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises

The Hang Seng index December 2025 index review results will be announced after market close on Friday 21st November 2025. It might be a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CATL IPO Lockup - US$5.3bn Lockup Release, with H-Shares at Significant Premium to A-Shares

CATL (3750 HK) raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

The Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Lithium - A Critical Material Back in the Spotlight

The most active lithium carbonate contract surged 9% to 95,200 yuan ($13,400) per ton today following a positive forecast from Ganfeng Lithium...

Rikki Malik

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in December

There could be up to 4 changes in Dec. The forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. There is between 0.1-0.35x...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises

The Hang Seng index December 2025 index review results will be announced after market close on Friday 21st November 2025. It might be a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CATL IPO Lockup - US$5.3bn Lockup Release, with H-Shares at Significant Premium to A-Shares

CATL (3750 HK) raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

The Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Lithium - A Critical Material Back in the Spotlight

The most active lithium carbonate contract surged 9% to 95,200 yuan ($13,400) per ton today following a positive forecast from Ganfeng Lithium...

Rikki Malik

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

​CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

STAR&CHINEXT 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in December

There could be up to 4 changes in Dec. The forecast adds will have same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. There is between 0.1-0.35x...

Brian Freitas

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...