HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is large in size but not as fast in growth. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and Victory Giant (2476 HK) are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is large in size but not as fast in growth. Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  


HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2026.</li>
<li>We expect two ADDs and two DELs for December 2026. We also estimate there to be ~US$118mn in one-way flows including the effects of capping.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2026.
We expect two ADDs and two DELs for December 2026. We also estimate there to be ~US$118mn in one-way flows including the effects of capping.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec26: Final Ranks; Two ADDs/DELs Likely; One Change to Expectation

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material / Equity Capital Markets

Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material (YNEM HK)

<ul>
<li>Hunan Yuneng, a lithium iron phosphate cathode material supplier, is seeking an A+H listing. CSC and HSBC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core business, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials for power batteries and energy storage batteries.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on the A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Hunan Yuneng, a lithium iron phosphate cathode material supplier, is seeking an A+H listing. CSC and HSBC are the joint sponsors.
We look at the company's core business, lithium iron phosphate cathode materials for power batteries and energy storage batteries.
We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on the A-H premium.


Hunan Yuneng (湖南裕能) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.</li>
<li>Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.</li>
<li>Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.</li>
</ul>


Potential de-escalation may compress risk premiums, but Treasury yields around 4.5–5.0% still compete with equities, suggesting broader participation may remain selective near term.
Aluminium increasingly stands out as inventories declined approximately 7–8% and physical conditions tightened, while copper remains broadly consistent with surplus expectations.
Evidence remains more supportive for energy security and infrastructure themes, including uranium, AI infrastructure and offshore rigs, while coal and lithium still require clearer signs of tightening.


US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>By mid-2026, major Indian groups shifted from local cell manufacturing to assembling Chinese cells- Reliance, Tata Agratas, Amara Raja and Exide still depend on Chinese-linked IP.</li>
<li>India’s storage, EV and renewable targets depend on batteries. Assembly-led models increase China dependence and limit Indian value capture to around 40% or less.</li>
<li>Without strong R&amp;D, licensing will keep India dependent. The correction window is narrowing as BESS margins compress and China tightens export controls.</li>
</ul>


By mid-2026, major Indian groups shifted from local cell manufacturing to assembling Chinese cells- Reliance, Tata Agratas, Amara Raja and Exide still depend on Chinese-linked IP.
India’s storage, EV and renewable targets depend on batteries. Assembly-led models increase China dependence and limit Indian value capture to around 40% or less.
Without strong R&amp;D, licensing will keep India dependent. The correction window is narrowing as BESS margins compress and China tightens export controls.


India’s Battery Reality Check: Just Assembler Not Maker!

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) is a Chinese battery manufacturer and technology company specializing in lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage systems. It is the world's largest producer of EV and energy storage batteries, also offering battery materials and recycling services. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Ningde, Fujian province, China.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec26: Final Ranks; Two ADDs/DELs Likely; One Change to Expectation

Expected DELs Postal Savings Bank (1658 HK) and Shenzhou International (2313 HK) could have 1.7x ADV (~US$45mn) and 0.7x ADV to sell (~US$21mn)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hunan Yuneng (湖南裕能) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Hunan Yuneng is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business and its industry, and give our early thoughts on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

India’s Battery Reality Check: Just Assembler Not Maker!

Indian groups are shifting to assembling Chinese cells, limiting value capture and increasing dependence on China for batteries. R&D is crucial to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

​H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec26: Final Ranks; Two ADDs/DELs Likely; One Change to Expectation

Expected DELs Postal Savings Bank (1658 HK) and Shenzhou International (2313 HK) could have 1.7x ADV (~US$45mn) and 0.7x ADV to sell (~US$21mn)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hunan Yuneng (湖南裕能) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Hunan Yuneng is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business and its industry, and give our early thoughts on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US-Iran De-Escalation: Looking Beyond Risk Premiums

Re-sharing as recent market developments continue to raise the question of whether fading geopolitical risk premiums alone are enough to support...

Duncan Chan

India’s Battery Reality Check: Just Assembler Not Maker!

​Indian groups are shifting to assembling Chinese cells, limiting value capture and increasing dependence on China for batteries. R&D is crucial to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Indian groups are shifting to assembling Chinese cells, limiting value capture and increasing dependence on China for batteries. R&D is crucial to...