IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 22 June, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> completed the acquisition of a combined 63.45% interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> for approximately RM2.63 billion (IDR8.72 trillion).</li>
<li>Today, Axiata announced that the mandatory tender offer (MTO) runs from 30 August to 28 September. The MTO price is IDR4,800 with no minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>At the current price of IDR4,740 per share, the gross and annualised spread for a mid-October payment is 1.3% and 9.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


On 22 June, Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) completed the acquisition of a combined 63.45% interest in Link Net (LINK IJ) for approximately RM2.63 billion (IDR8.72 trillion).
Today, Axiata announced that the mandatory tender offer (MTO) runs from 30 August to 28 September. The MTO price is IDR4,800 with no minimum acceptance condition.
At the current price of IDR4,740 per share, the gross and annualised spread for a mid-October payment is 1.3% and 9.1%, respectively.


Link Net’s MTO of IDR4,800 from Axiata Open from 30 August

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Semirara Mining And Power Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Today is the last day of the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>We see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. There is one month to pre-position for the announcement.</li>
</ul>


Today is the last day of the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX). 
We see a high probability of Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) replacing Security Bank (SECB PM) in the index.
Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. There is one month to pre-position for the announcement.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: SCC Likely Replaces SECB

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> at IDR4,800 per share. </li>
<li>Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. </li>
<li>At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) completed the acquisition of a combined 66.03% interest in Link Net (LINK IJ) at IDR4,800 per share. 
Axiata will disclose the details of the MTO in due course. We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. 
At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19 August payment is 3.7% and 23.7%, respectively.


Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-media-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11826:1" rel="noopener">First Media (KBLV IJ)</a> EGM on 8 June approved the sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> shares to Axiata Investments and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The conditions precedent for the sale purchase agreement (SPA) to sell 66.03% of Link Net shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata are satisfied. The completion date is 2Q.</li>
<li>The subsequent MTO completes in 3Q. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 5.3% and 16.8%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The First Media (KBLV IJ) EGM on 8 June approved the sale of Link Net (LINK IJ) shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ). 
The conditions precedent for the sale purchase agreement (SPA) to sell 66.03% of Link Net shares to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata are satisfied. The completion date is 2Q.
The subsequent MTO completes in 3Q. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 5.3% and 16.8%, respectively.


First Media’s EGM Approval Paves the Way for the Link MTO at IDR4,800

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Woodside Petroleum / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Delhivery surprised with a strong debut, closing 10% above IPO price by the end of its first day.</li>
<li>There were a couple of blocks that hit markets this week, and we discussed the lockup expiries on both Grab and Cloud Village.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Delhivery surprised with a strong debut, closing 10% above IPO price by the end of its first day.
There were a couple of blocks that hit markets this week, and we discussed the lockup expiries on both Grab and Cloud Village.


ECM Weekly (29th May 2022) -Woodside, Cloud Village, Delhivery, Nufarm, Converge, Oyo, Sayona Mining

Philippines

Converge ICT Solutions, Inc. provides communication services. The Company offers fiber optic internet and digital consumer-centric services. Converge ICT Solutions serves customers in the Philippines.

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Converge ICT (CNVRG PM)

Link Net’s MTO of IDR4,800 from Axiata Open from 30 August

The MTO of IDR4,800 per share runs from 30 August to 28 September. At the current price of IDR4,740 per share, the annualised spread for a mid...

Arun George

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: SCC Likely Replaces SECB

We see Semirara Mining (SCC) replacing Security Bank (SECB) at the August rebalance of the PCOMP Index. Passive trackers will need to buy over 5...

Brian Freitas

Link Net MTO Set to Launch as Axiata Completes Stake Acquisition

We think that the MTO opens on 7 July with the earliest possible close of 11 August. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of a 19...

Arun George

First Media’s EGM Approval Paves the Way for the Link MTO at IDR4,800

Conditions precedent for the SPA are satisfied. At the last close, the annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 16.8%.

Arun George

ECM Weekly (29th May 2022) -Woodside, Cloud Village, Delhivery, Nufarm, Converge, Oyo, Sayona Mining

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Clarence Chu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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