IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> EGM narrowly approved the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> shares and the proposed MTO. </li>
<li>The next catalyst is the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-media-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11826:1" rel="noopener">First Media (KBLV IJ)</a>’s EGM to approve the transaction on 6 June. The proposed MTO at IDR4,800 per share is targeted to complete by 3Q. </li>
<li>BNM regulatory approval was received on 12 April. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 4.6% and 13.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) EGM narrowly approved the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of Link Net (LINK IJ) shares and the proposed MTO. 
The next catalyst is the First Media (KBLV IJ)’s EGM to approve the transaction on 6 June. The proposed MTO at IDR4,800 per share is targeted to complete by 3Q. 
BNM regulatory approval was received on 12 April. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread of the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 4.6% and 13.1%, respectively.


Axiata Gains Approval for the Link Net MTO; Next up Is First Media’s EGM on 6 June

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a private transaction.</li>
<li>Warburg had earlier sold in the IPO and then in Nov 21, and this trade will be a cleanup.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a private transaction.
Warburg had earlier sold in the IPO and then in Nov 21, and this trade will be a cleanup.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.


Converge ICT Placement - Clean-Up and Buyback, Just in Time for the Index Inclusion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Semirara Mining And Power Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With just over a month to go in the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>, we expect one potential change. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a> is a potential deletion. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> has a higher inclusion probability as compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive funds will need to trade quite a few days of ADV on the stocks. Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last leg of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With just over a month to go in the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX), we expect one potential change. 

Security Bank (SECB PM) is a potential deletion. Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) has a higher inclusion probability as compared to UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM). 
Passive funds will need to trade quite a few days of ADV on the stocks. Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last leg of the review period.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Aug 22: One Set of Potential Changes

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> EGM to approve the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> shares and the proposed MTO is on 26 May. </li>
<li>The proposed acquisition is targeted to be complete by 2Q and the subsequent MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q.</li>
<li>At the last close, the gross and annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 7.1% and 11.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) EGM to approve the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of Link Net (LINK IJ) shares and the proposed MTO is on 26 May. 
The proposed acquisition is targeted to be complete by 2Q and the subsequent MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q.
At the last close, the gross and annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 7.1% and 11.7%, respectively.


Axiata’s EGM in Relation to the Link Net MTO Set for 26 May

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-retail-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10598:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP)</a>.</li>
<li>There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.</li>
</ul>



Emperador Inc (EMP PM) and Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM) will replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) and Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) in the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP).
There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.

Emperador Inc (EMP PM) has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

Philippines

Converge ICT Solutions, Inc. provides communication services. The Company offers fiber optic internet and digital consumer-centric services. Converge ICT Solutions serves customers in the Philippines.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Converge ICT (CNVRG PM)

Axiata Gains Approval for the Link Net MTO; Next up Is First Media’s EGM on 6 June

The MTO was narrowly approved at the Axiata EGM. The next catalyst is the First Media EGM on 6 June. At the last close, the annualised spread of...

Arun George

Converge ICT Placement - Clean-Up and Buyback, Just in Time for the Index Inclusion

Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a...

Sumeet Singh

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Aug 22: One Set of Potential Changes

We expect SCC PM to be added to the PCOMP Index at the August rebalance replacing SECB PM. Historically, the adds outperform the deletes and there...

Brian Freitas

Axiata’s EGM in Relation to the Link Net MTO Set for 26 May

The proposed MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q. At the last close, the annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 11.7%.

Arun George

PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

Emperador and Monde Nissin will replace Bloomberry Resorts and Robinson Retail in the PCOMP after the close on 11 February. Only 5 days to...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)