Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 30th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 30th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Australian Strategic Materials / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sierra-rutile-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36235:1" rel="noopener">Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU)</a> is a high probability delete from the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> is close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona Mining (SYA AU)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.</li>
<li>Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU) is a high probability delete from the index, while Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) is close to the deletion threshold.

Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is the highest ranked non-constituent while Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.
Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU). 


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P ASX June 2022 index changes were announced on 3rd June as I discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/s-p-asx-june-2022-rebalance-adds-are-mostly-mining-companies-dels-are-mostly-tech-financials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71075" rel="noopener">S&amp;P ASX June 2022 Rebalance: ADDs Are Mostly Mining Companies; DELs Are Mostly Tech/Financials</a>.</li>
<li>With the Inclusion/Exclusion events expected to take place at the end of this week, below is a closer look at the price and volume performance of the candidates so far.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> could get deleted from ASX 100 and ASX 200 in the next few trading days and I have picked out the potential replacements.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P ASX June 2022 index changes were announced on 3rd June as I discussed in S&amp;P ASX June 2022 Rebalance: ADDs Are Mostly Mining Companies; DELs Are Mostly Tech/Financials.
With the Inclusion/Exclusion events expected to take place at the end of this week, below is a closer look at the price and volume performance of the candidates so far.
Separately, Crown Resorts (CWN AU) could get deleted from ASX 100 and ASX 200 in the next few trading days and I have picked out the potential replacements.


S&P/​ASX June 2022 Rebal Final Look and Crown Resorts Replacements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> and Piedmont Lithium ADR have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals</a> has been deleted. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> additions that will be also implemented at the close of trading on 17 June.</li>
<li>With only 4 trading days to implementation (Monday is a holiday), the stocks with significant days of ADV to trade could out(under)perform their peers and the market.</li>
</ul>



Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU), Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) and Piedmont Lithium ADR have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index. AVZ Minerals has been deleted. 

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU) and Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) are S&amp;P/ASX 200 additions that will be also implemented at the close of trading on 17 June.
With only 4 trading days to implementation (Monday is a holiday), the stocks with significant days of ADV to trade could out(under)perform their peers and the market.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

<ul>
<li>There is one set of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50, one deletion for the S&amp;P/ASX 100, and four adds/ five deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 2-6 days of ADV on nearly all stocks. Short interest spikes in a few names indicate pre-positioning for the passive flow.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a> is a potential inclusion to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index in June and that could add to the passive inflows on the stock.</li>
</ul>


There is one set of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50, one deletion for the S&amp;P/ASX 100, and four adds/ five deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
Passive trackers will need to trade between 2-6 days of ADV on nearly all stocks. Short interest spikes in a few names indicate pre-positioning for the passive flow.

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU) is a potential inclusion to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index in June and that could add to the passive inflows on the stock.


S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2022): Mostly Expected, Some Surprises & Short Interest Spikes

Australia

Core Lithium Ltd operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company explores and mines finniss lithium resources. Core Lithium serves customers in Australia.

Price Gauge
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Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX June 2022 Rebal Final Look and Crown Resorts Replacements

A final look at the June 2022 rebalance trade for the S&P ASX Indices and a discussion on potential replacements for Crown Resorts

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

CXO AU and LKE AU have been added to the REMX, while AVZ has been deleted. CXO and LKE are also adds to the ASX200 Index with both implementations...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2022): Mostly Expected, Some Surprises & Short Interest Spikes

Most changes to the indices were expected, there are some surprises & short interest has spiked on some names. CXO could be added to the REMX....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 30th): Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside, CBA, NAB, ANZ, Metcash, Xero, Core Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​ASX June 2022 Rebal Final Look and Crown Resorts Replacements

A final look at the June 2022 rebalance trade for the S&P ASX Indices and a discussion on potential replacements for Crown Resorts

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

CXO AU and LKE AU have been added to the REMX, while AVZ has been deleted. CXO and LKE are also adds to the ASX200 Index with both implementations...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2022): Mostly Expected, Some Surprises & Short Interest Spikes

Most changes to the indices were expected, there are some surprises & short interest has spiked on some names. CXO could be added to the REMX....

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

S&P/ASX June 2022 Rebal Final Look and Crown Resorts Replacements

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2022): Mostly Expected, Some Surprises & Short Interest Spikes