IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>’s scheme was approved at today’s court meeting. The value test passed with 94.74% of the total disinterested shareholders voting in favour of the scheme.</li>
<li>Despite our reservations about the headcount test, the scheme comfortably passed the headcount test with 465 for and just 16 against the scheme. </li>
<li>At the last close and for the 20 May payment date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.7% and 56.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)’s scheme was approved at today’s court meeting. The value test passed with 94.74% of the total disinterested shareholders voting in favour of the scheme.
Despite our reservations about the headcount test, the scheme comfortably passed the headcount test with 465 for and just 16 against the scheme. 
At the last close and for the 20 May payment date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.7% and 56.1%, respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s FY21 results beat consensus revenue by 8% but came below consensus EBIT by 3%, based on CapitalIQ data.</li>
<li>The management did their best to dampen sentiment by pointing out slowing growth momentum and margin compression due to significant growth investments in 2022.  </li>
<li>We think that the results/outlook do little to increase the attractiveness of the offer. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s FY21 results beat consensus revenue by 8% but came below consensus EBIT by 3%, based on CapitalIQ data.
The management did their best to dampen sentiment by pointing out slowing growth momentum and margin compression due to significant growth investments in 2022.  
We think that the results/outlook do little to increase the attractiveness of the offer. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – FY21 Results

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. </li>
<li>Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. 

Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. 
Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  </li>
<li>The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s strong 3Q. </li>
<li>The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  
The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s strong 3Q. 
The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Mr Tan, Mr Lim and CVC at HK$2.82 per share, a 55.8% premium to the unaffected price. </li>
<li>The pre-condition is anti-trust approval in several countries. Key conditions are the headcount test and approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).  </li>
<li>While the offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and multiples. The gross spread at the last close is 14.6%. </li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Mr Tan, Mr Lim and CVC at HK$2.82 per share, a 55.8% premium to the unaffected price. 
The pre-condition is anti-trust approval in several countries. Key conditions are the headcount test and approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).  
While the offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and multiples. The gross spread at the last close is 14.6%. 


Razer’s Privatisation Bid by Founders and CVC

United States

Corsair Gaming, Inc. designs and sells gaming and streaming peripherals, components, and systems. The Company's gaming and streaming gear enables creators to produce studio-quality content. Corsair Gaming serves customers worldwide.

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Corsair Gaming (CRSR US)

Razer’s Scheme: And that Is a Pass

Despite our reservations, the scheme comfortably passed the headcount test with 465 for and just 16 against. At the last close and for the 20 May...

Arun George

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – FY21 Results

The management did their best to sound downbeat by pointing out slowing growth and margin compression in 2022. We think that the results/outlook do...

Arun George

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

Logitech’s investor day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity. Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross...

Arun George

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

While the privatisation's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech’s strong 3Q. We would be...

Arun George

Razer’s Privatisation Bid by Founders and CVC

While the HK$2.82 per share offer will leave many disappointed (such as IPO investors), it is reasonable compared to historical share prices and...

Arun George

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