Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>This week, I closed out my WDC recommendation.</li><li>Not because I’ve soured on the stock, but because my “demerger arbitrage” thesis has played out, and I want to focus on other high conviction special situations.</li><li>When I first recommended WDC, it was a demerger arbitrage: we were buying ahead of the SanDisk separation, and the stock was cheap on every metric (absolute, relative and SOTP).</li></ul>

This week, I closed out my WDC recommendation.Not because I’ve soured on the stock, but because my “demerger arbitrage” thesis has played out, and I want to focus on other high conviction special situations.When I first recommended WDC, it was a demerger arbitrage: we were buying ahead of the SanDisk separation, and the stock was cheap on every metric (absolute, relative and SOTP).

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.</li>
<li>Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.
Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."


COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Higher ag prices should leave farmers with more cash and a higher propensity to spend. Companies making Tech heavy farm machinery and modified seeds with positive traits should benefit. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deere-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12207:1" rel="noopener">Deere &amp; Co (DE US)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnh-global-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28200:1" rel="noopener">CNH Global NV (CNH US)</a> dominate innovations in machinery followed by Agco Corp (AGCO US). Dawn Equipment is a small but interesting private player.</li>
<li>In seeds and tissue genetic engineering Corteva Inc (CTVA US) is best positioned and has been out innovating its only real competitor Bayer AG (BAYN GY) significantly in recent years.</li>
</ul>


Higher ag prices should leave farmers with more cash and a higher propensity to spend. Companies making Tech heavy farm machinery and modified seeds with positive traits should benefit. 

Deere &amp; Co (DE US) &amp; CNH Global NV (CNH US) dominate innovations in machinery followed by Agco Corp (AGCO US). Dawn Equipment is a small but interesting private player.
In seeds and tissue genetic engineering Corteva Inc (CTVA US) is best positioned and has been out innovating its only real competitor Bayer AG (BAYN GY) significantly in recent years.


Rising Agri Prices Might Benefit Machinery and Seed Ecosystem. We Highlight the Dominant Innovators

<ul><li>Many market participants have been ringing the alarm bells about an AI bubble and froth in the market.</li><li>I think they have a point. The market is not cheap.</li><li>That said, leadership has quietly broadened out.</li></ul>

Many market participants have been ringing the alarm bells about an AI bubble and froth in the market.I think they have a point. The market is not cheap.That said, leadership has quietly broadened out.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology: Biotech, Mid-Cap, Biotech, Small-Cap, Semiconductors, Large-Cap, and Semiconductors, Mid-Cap..

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology: Biotech, Mid-Cap, Biotech, Small-Cap, Semiconductors, Large-Cap, and Semiconductors, Mid-Cap..

MSCI ACWI, STOXX 600 Breaking Out, Adding Fuel for Further U.S. Equity Market Rally

United States

Corteva, Inc. provides agricultural products. The Company offers seeds and crop protection products, as well as software solutions and digital services. Corteva serves customers worldwide.

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Corteva (CTVA US)

Weekly Update (Vylor, CTVA, WDC)

This week, I closed out my WDC recommendation. Not because I’ve soured on the stock, but because my “demerger arbitrage” thesis has played out, and...

Richard Howe

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

Rising Agri Prices Might Benefit Machinery and Seed Ecosystem. We Highlight the Dominant Innovators

AgTech innovations will be needed to alleviate the pressures in food system. We identify the leaders in Farm Machinery and Seed Genetics Technologies

Pyari Menon

Weekly Update (CMCSA, CTVA, NATL)

Many market participants have been ringing the alarm bells about an AI bubble and froth in the market. I think they have a point. The market is not...

Richard Howe

MSCI ACWI, STOXX 600 Breaking Out, Adding Fuel for Further U.S. Equity Market Rally

In today’s report we reiterate our bullish U.S. investment thesis, recap significant technical levels across indexes, and highlight attractive...

Vermilion Research

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