Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight three weeks of inflows despite weak market sentiment and flows into Tencent and CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight three weeks of inflows despite weak market sentiment and flows into Tencent and CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 23rd): Tencent, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.5% as of Sep 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.8ppt weeok on week, led by energy, financials, materials and offset by consumer staples, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang, Flat Glass, Zoomlion, China Tourism, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.5% as of Sep 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.8ppt weeok on week, led by energy, financials, materials and offset by consumer staples, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang, Flat Glass, Zoomlion, China Tourism, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 23rd): China Tourism A-H at All Time Low

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) / Equity Bottom-Up

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

<ul>
<li>At 0.71x 12-month forward P/B multiple, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)</a> has overly discounted the earnings recovery for FY22 and FY23.</li>
<li>VLCC rate has rebounded since end-Jun but are still at unexciting US$10,000/day level only. This is below an estimated cash breakeven level of US$25,000/day for its fleet.</li>
<li>Tanker demand-supply balance looks to be at equilibrium over the next 12 months, leaving limited potential for significant surge in rate. This opens room for earnings disappointment, in our view. </li>
</ul>


At 0.71x 12-month forward P/B multiple, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK) has overly discounted the earnings recovery for FY22 and FY23.
VLCC rate has rebounded since end-Jun but are still at unexciting US$10,000/day level only. This is below an estimated cash breakeven level of US$25,000/day for its fleet.
Tanker demand-supply balance looks to be at equilibrium over the next 12 months, leaving limited potential for significant surge in rate. This opens room for earnings disappointment, in our view. 


COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Stay Away at the Moment

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium changed by -1.7ppt over the past one week.</li>
<li>A-H Premium decline was led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and real estates, offset by the A-H premium increase of health care sector.</li>
<li>We highlight changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Chongqing Ireon, China Merchants Securities, COSCO Ship Eng, Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium changed by -1.7ppt over the past one week.
A-H Premium decline was led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and real estates, offset by the A-H premium increase of health care sector.
We highlight changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Chongqing Ireon, China Merchants Securities, COSCO Ship Eng, Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem.


A-H Premium Weekly: Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Average A/H premium changed by 1.3ppt last week, led by consumer staple, consumer discretionary and offset by financials and materials.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks reached 52 week high of A-H premium: Chalco, Huaxin Cement, Chongqing Iron, CMS, Cosco Ship Eng, QHD Port.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 141 stocks over the last week.
Average A/H premium changed by 1.3ppt last week, led by consumer staple, consumer discretionary and offset by financials and materials.
We highlight stocks reached 52 week high of A-H premium: Chalco, Huaxin Cement, Chongqing Iron, CMS, Cosco Ship Eng, QHD Port.


A-H Premium Weekly: Chalco, Huaxin Cement, Chongqing Iron, CMS, Cosco Ship Eng, QHD Port

China

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

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Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 23rd): Tencent, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holding (700 HK) and CNOOC (883 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 23rd): China Tourism A-H at All Time Low

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang, Flat Glass, Zoomlion, China Tourism, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Stay Away at the Moment

CSET has rallied by as much as 40.5% in the last three months on expectation of profit recovery. However, we think that valuation has run ahead of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly: Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochem

A-H premium declined by 1.7ppt last week. We highlight changes in A-H premium for Joinn Lab, Zoomlion, Shandong Xinhua, Zheshang Bank, Sinopec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly: Chalco, Huaxin Cement, Chongqing Iron, CMS, Cosco Ship Eng, QHD Port

A-H premium increased by 1.3ppt last week. We highlight stocks reached 52 week high of A-H premium: Chalco, Huaxin Cement, Chongqing Iron, CMS,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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