Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended May 29th.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in May were $0.6bn Outflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended May 29th.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in May were $0.6bn Outflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile, Petrochina.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May): End of Continuous Monthly Inflows

Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable / Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre & Cable (601869 CH)

<ul>
<li>MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.</li>
<li>ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.</li>
<li>DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.</li>
</ul>


MSCI announced the quarterly review results on 12 May 2026. As the cycle enters implementation, this note updates the stock setup.
ADD weakness is broad, with CH Mid-vel and CH Low-vel both failing to build bridge support.
DELETEs already sold off, but HK High-vel DELETE still has the weakest first-week implementation profile.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 29th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 29th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land, AIA.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 29th): Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in May will be announced pre-market open Wednesday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 May.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.
There have been big price moves in stocks over the last few months with the forecast adds continuing to perform well and the forecast deletes beginning to catch a bid.


Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.</li>
<li>DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.</li>
<li>ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the post-announcement return pattern of MSCI China June 2026 rebalance stocks, separating A-share (CH) and H-share (HK) cohorts within both ADD and DELETE groups.
DELETE: pre announcement was positive, but CH and HK High-vel history still supports shorts.
ADD: CH High-vel was stretched; bridging window's history is positive but inconsistent.


MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

China

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation is a specialized company primarily engaged in the global shipment of energy, including crude oil, refined oil products, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). It also provides vessel chartering and shipping agency services. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was established in 2016.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (1138 HK)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (1138 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May): End of Continuous Monthly Inflows

We estimate outflows to be $0.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in May. We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Tencent, China Mobile,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

MSCI China enters implementation phase on June 1st. We provides an update to stock's performance and discussed implementation trades.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 29th): Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources Land

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, SMIC, Tencent, Petrochina, Yofc, China Resources...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Index: Potential Changes in May for Asia Pac

The index rebalances at the close tomorrow and there will be huge volume in the constituent changes at the close. Since announcement, the adds have...

Brian Freitas

MS-China June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Trading Pattern Analysis

Following MSCI May 2026 announcement, we a look at the trading pattern of affected stocks for MSCI-China from historical perspective by overlaying...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)