Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Suzhou Dongshan Precision A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the announcement of the changes in June, we forecast 5 potential constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers are estimated to trade between 0.05 to 0.65 days of ADV in the forecast changes.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 2 months and the recent pullback offers an entry point into the implementation trade.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the announcement of the changes in June, we forecast 5 potential constituent changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK) / CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK). 
Passive trackers are estimated to trade between 0.05 to 0.65 days of ADV in the forecast changes.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 2 months and the recent pullback offers an entry point into the implementation trade.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes in June as the AI-Driven Churn Continues

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 184 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.8% as of May 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, utilities, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking, Datang Power, Haier Smart Home, Huaneng Power Intl.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 29th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 29th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 29th): Tencent, AIA, Xiaomi, Wuxi Biologics

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8231" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8231:1">Huawei Technology (40978Z CH)</a> Canada arrest story has lit up the discussion boards, with healthy debates on both sides. There is a case for why the arrest of the CFO in Canada will not affect US – China trade discussions. That the arrest happened at virtually the same time as the Argentina statement drafts on trade by China and the US. Equally, there is also every reason to think China will take affront to the embarrassing arrest of the Huawei Founder’s daughter.But the arrest raises a litany of other issues. Business magnates and Chinese Communist Party officials may have to worry about Canada in addition to the US now.

The Huawei Technology (40978Z CH) Canada arrest story has lit up the discussion boards, with healthy debates on both sides. There is a case for why the arrest of the CFO in Canada will not affect US – China trade discussions. That the arrest happened at virtually the same time as the Argentina statement drafts on trade by China and the US. Equally, there is also every reason to think China will take affront to the embarrassing arrest of the Huawei Founder’s daughter.But the arrest raises a litany of other issues. Business magnates and Chinese Communist Party officials may have to worry about Canada in addition to the US now.

Huawei: China – US Post Industrial Warfare Collateral Damage Overflows to Canada

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 182 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 72.3% as of May 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer staples, energy, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

China

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. offers shipping services. The Company provides container shipping, terminal operation, bulk shipping, and container leasing services. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings conducts businesses worldwide.

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (601919 CH)

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes in June as the AI-Driven Churn Continues

There could be 5 changes in June as the AI theme rolls on and beneficiaries replace old economy stocks. The recent pullback after the earlier...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 29th): Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhuzhou Crrc Times Electric, ZTE, China Minsheng Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 29th): Tencent, AIA, Xiaomi, Wuxi Biologics

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Huawei: China – US Post Industrial Warfare Collateral Damage Overflows to Canada

The Huawei Technology (40978Z CH) Canada arrest story has lit up the discussion boards, with healthy debates on both sides. There is a case for why...

Charles De Trenck

A-H Premium Weekly (May 22nd): China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan Power, Eastroc, CIMC, Remegen.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)