Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.</li>
<li>We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. </li>
<li>These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.</li>
</ul>


In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.
We provide a list of top 15 Korean companies that could benefit from potential no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea. 
These 15 companies' share prices are up on average 49.2% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 21.2% and 15.9%, respectively YTD.


No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The IPO price of d'Alba Global has been finalized at 66,300 won which is at the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The demand ratio of the IPO was 1,141 to 1. A 98.4% of the IPO shares applied thought that the value of the company is 66,300 won or more.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of d'Alba Global is a target price of 101,609 won per share, which represents 53% higher than the IPO price of 66,300 won.</li>
</ul>


The IPO price of d'Alba Global has been finalized at 66,300 won which is at the high end of the IPO price range.
The demand ratio of the IPO was 1,141 to 1. A 98.4% of the IPO shares applied thought that the value of the company is 66,300 won or more.
Our base case valuation of d'Alba Global is a target price of 101,609 won per share, which represents 53% higher than the IPO price of 66,300 won.


D'Alba Global IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>K-Beauty ODM segment appears positioned both to ride the secular growth of Korean skincare in the U.S. and to tide over tariff turbulence given their US based manufacturing facilities.</li>
<li>By contrast to OEM/ODM players, major legacy consumer beauty brands like AmorePacific, LG Household &amp; Health Care have been slower to localise production leaving them exposed to reciprocal tariffs.</li>
<li>With American cosmetic imports from Korea hitting all-time highs, Korean ODMs with local facilities could see demand growth and profit recovery as clients onshore production to avoid tariffs.</li>
</ul>


K-Beauty ODM segment appears positioned both to ride the secular growth of Korean skincare in the U.S. and to tide over tariff turbulence given their US based manufacturing facilities.
By contrast to OEM/ODM players, major legacy consumer beauty brands like AmorePacific, LG Household &amp; Health Care have been slower to localise production leaving them exposed to reciprocal tariffs.
With American cosmetic imports from Korea hitting all-time highs, Korean ODMs with local facilities could see demand growth and profit recovery as clients onshore production to avoid tariffs.


Kolmar Korea: K-Beauty ODMs- Positioned to Ride US Demand Growth While Tiding Over Tariffs

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on a P/E of 21.9x (40% premium to the comps) our estimated net profit of 58.9 billion won in 2025. </li>
<li>We believe d'Alba Global should trade at a premium valuation to the comps due to higher sales and operating profit growth, higher ROE and operating margins than the comps. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of d'Alba Global target price of 101,609 won per share, which represents 53% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation is based on a P/E of 21.9x (40% premium to the comps) our estimated net profit of 58.9 billion won in 2025. 
We believe d'Alba Global should trade at a premium valuation to the comps due to higher sales and operating profit growth, higher ROE and operating margins than the comps. 
Our base case valuation of d'Alba Global target price of 101,609 won per share, which represents 53% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. 


<ul>
<li>One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. </li>
<li>China's President Xi recently stated <em>"Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” </em>
</li>
<li>We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. </li>
</ul>


One of the big thematic events on the Korean stock market has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean popular culture (Hallyu) as early as May 2025. 
China's President Xi recently stated "Cultural exchanges are a valuable part of our bilateral relations [between China and Korea]. We should avoid any problems occurring in handling such matters.” 

We provide a list of 40 stocks in Korea that could most benefit from the end of lifting ban of Korean popular culture. 


China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

South Korea

Cosmax, Inc. is a cosmetics manufacturer. The Company develops and produces a variety of cosmetics for men and women, such as basic and special skin care, makeup, hair care, and other beauty products. Cosmax manufactures its products on original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

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Cosmax Inc (192820 KS)

No Visa For Group Tour Visitors from China to South Korea Likely Starting 3Q 2025

In the next several weeks, the South Korean government is likely to provide details of a no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South...

Douglas Kim

D'Alba Global IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

The IPO price of d'Alba Global has been finalized at 66,300 won (high end of the IPO price range). A 98.4% of the IPO shares applied thought that...

Douglas Kim

Kolmar Korea: K-Beauty ODMs- Positioned to Ride US Demand Growth While Tiding Over Tariffs

Korean Beauty OEMs seem more resilient than bigger consumer beauty brands in handling tariff impact given their US based manufacturing facilities...

Devi Subhakesan

D'Alba Global IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of d'Alba Global target price of 101,609 won per share, which represents 53% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation...

Douglas Kim

China Could Lift Ban on Korean Popular Culture (Hallyu) As Early As May 2025

One of the big thematic events that have impacted the Korean stock market this week has been the expectation that China could lift ban on Korean...

Douglas Kim

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