Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Geopolitical risks are building, not only because of the developments in the Middle East. Semiconductor companies, including ASML and NVIDIA, got a clear warning this week that their growth ambitions in China are at risk. </li>
<li>Chinese property developers show ‘Crypto-like’ declines, and downside risks for Commodities appear.</li>
<li>Bond yields keep pushing higher, but our fair value estimate for the 10-year US Treasury yield points to a peak.</li>
</ul>


Geopolitical risks are building, not only because of the developments in the Middle East. Semiconductor companies, including ASML and NVIDIA, got a clear warning this week that their growth ambitions in China are at risk. 
Chinese property developers show ‘Crypto-like’ declines, and downside risks for Commodities appear.
Bond yields keep pushing higher, but our fair value estimate for the 10-year US Treasury yield points to a peak.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Where’s the Plunge Protection Team?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Chips /: Four things to know about tightened U.S. rules over chip exports to China</li><li>Belt and Road Initiative /: Putin says Arctic shipping route could be navigable year-round by 2024</li><li>Default /: Distressed Country Garden logs first bond default</li></ul>

Chips /: Four things to know about tightened U.S. rules over chip exports to ChinaBelt and Road Initiative /: Putin says Arctic shipping route could be navigable year-round by 2024Default /: Distressed Country Garden logs first bond default

CX Daily: Four Things to Know About Tightened U.S. Rules Over Chip Exports to China

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress</li>
<li>We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market</li>
<li>We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources</li>
</ul>


A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news ('local signals'), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources


China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 13-19 October 2023

<ul>
<li>The sales of new homes over the 1999-2022 period appear to be not out of sync with the increase in the number of urban households </li>
<li>The fact that 'modern housing' in China only started at the end of 1990s, gives the sector unique long-term characteristics, harder to gauge using typical models</li>
<li>Hence the practical demand-supply balance may be better than typically thought, keeping in mind the affordability and wealth distribution issues, variation by region and city</li>
</ul>


The sales of new homes over the 1999-2022 period appear to be not out of sync with the increase in the number of urban households 
The fact that 'modern housing' in China only started at the end of 1990s, gives the sector unique long-term characteristics, harder to gauge using typical models
Hence the practical demand-supply balance may be better than typically thought, keeping in mind the affordability and wealth distribution issues, variation by region and city


China Housing - Demand-Supply Fundamentals Part #1: The "Modern Housing" Argument

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 6-12 October 2023

China

Country Garden Holdings is a major real estate development company primarily engaged in property development, construction, property investment, property management, and hotel operations. The company offers a diverse portfolio including residential projects, commercial properties, and integrated urban developments. It was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Country Garden Holdings (2007 HK)

The Weekly Market Monitor – Where’s the Plunge Protection Team?

China's National Team seems absent as Chinese stocks tumble, geopolitics take center stage, but still, Sentiment is not depressed enough.

Jeroen Blokland

CX Daily: Four Things to Know About Tightened U.S. Rules Over Chip Exports to China

Chips /: Four things to know about tightened U.S. rules over chip exports to China Belt and Road Initiative /: Putin says Arctic shipping route...

Caixin Global

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 13-19 October 2023

This is the Weekly (Oct 13-19) set of our curated summaries of select Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on the developers in...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - Demand-Supply Fundamentals Part #1: The "Modern Housing" Argument

How oversupplied is the China housing market? Thinking beyond the current downturn and crisis for many developers, the answer might not be so simple.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 6-12 October 2023

A weekly (Oct 6-12) curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Weekly Market Monitor – Where’s the Plunge Protection Team?

China's National Team seems absent as Chinese stocks tumble, geopolitics take center stage, but still, Sentiment is not depressed enough.

Jeroen Blokland

CX Daily: Four Things to Know About Tightened U.S. Rules Over Chip Exports to China

Chips /: Four things to know about tightened U.S. rules over chip exports to China Belt and Road Initiative /: Putin says Arctic shipping route...

Caixin Global

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 13-19 October 2023

​This is the Weekly (Oct 13-19) set of our curated summaries of select Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on the developers in...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - Demand-Supply Fundamentals Part #1: The "Modern Housing" Argument

How oversupplied is the China housing market? Thinking beyond the current downturn and crisis for many developers, the answer might not be so simple.

Robert Ciemniak

China Property Developers In Distress - Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 6-12 October 2023

​A weekly (Oct 6-12) curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market...

Robert Ciemniak

This is the Weekly (Oct 13-19) set of our curated summaries of select Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on the developers in...

A weekly (Oct 6-12) curated selection of Chinese news for developers in distress, including deals, updates, project progress, and market...