Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Credit

<ul>
<li>Reuters reported on 8-November that China’s State Council has asked the Guangdong local government to arrange the rescue of Country Garden Holding.</li>
<li>Ping An’s spokesperson said the company had not been approached by the government.</li>
<li>There is also no guarantee on when bondholders will get paid back and how much the recovery value will be.</li>
</ul>


Reuters reported on 8-November that China’s State Council has asked the Guangdong local government to arrange the rescue of Country Garden Holding.
Ping An’s spokesperson said the company had not been approached by the government.
There is also no guarantee on when bondholders will get paid back and how much the recovery value will be.


Country Garden : Jungle Rather than Garden

<ul>
<li>Country Garden should not be a surprise. The bond price at 5 cents is based on much uncertainty.</li>
<li>We list a few caveats why the bonds at 5 cents are not investible.</li>
<li>The potential wind-up order by the Hong Kong court will be a big test of the rule of law in China.</li>
</ul>


Country Garden should not be a surprise. The bond price at 5 cents is based on much uncertainty.
We list a few caveats why the bonds at 5 cents are not investible.
The potential wind-up order by the Hong Kong court will be a big test of the rule of law in China.


Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

Country Garden Holdings Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Country Garden’s offshore debt default is happening. Its time to investor to revisit their position as restructuring is looming.</li>
<li>Investors may not have any access to Country Garden’s onshore assets under its current offshore issuance structure.</li>
<li>Evergrande’s offshore debt issuing structure could be more favourable compared to that of Country Garden in bankruptcy, depending on how the court interprets its Keepwell agreement.</li>
</ul>


Country Garden’s offshore debt default is happening. Its time to investor to revisit their position as restructuring is looming.
Investors may not have any access to Country Garden’s onshore assets under its current offshore issuance structure.
Evergrande’s offshore debt issuing structure could be more favourable compared to that of Country Garden in bankruptcy, depending on how the court interprets its Keepwell agreement.


Country Garden’s Offshore Debt Issuance Structure May Be Less Favorable than that of Evergrande

Head of Asia, Lucror Analytics

Charles Macgregor

Head of Asia

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-5225'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Country Garden Holdings Co

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-35'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-5225'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.China Jinmao HoldingsCountry Garden Holdings Co

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Country Garden Holdings Co

China

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited is a real estate developer.  The Company builds villas, townhouses and apartments in Mainland China. Country Gardens also develops large-scale community facilities such as schools, hotels, hospitals, and theme parks.

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Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)

Country Garden : Jungle Rather than Garden

We believe the Chinese economy is not a completely free economy and such financing and equity injection arrangements for the troubled Chinese...

Bondcritic

Country Garden : Not a Nickel Play

Country Garden defaulted on its USD bonds on 18-October. Its COGARD complex was offered c.5 cents on the dollar but we cannot recommend buying...

Bondcritic

Country Garden’s Offshore Debt Issuance Structure May Be Less Favorable than that of Evergrande

All other things equal, Country Garden's offshore debt issuance structure is less favorable than that of Evergrande's. The existence of a Keepwell...

Fern Wang

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Country Garden Holdings Co

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

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