Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Volume picked up on Tuesday, 29th November, just slightly below the 15th November volume, the previous buying climax.</li><li>Wednesday's Volume fell 10% with new price highs.</li><li>The erratic rather than trending Volume without capitulation volume on the 31st October price lows are hallmarks of a bear market rally.</li></ul>

Volume picked up on Tuesday, 29th November, just slightly below the 15th November volume, the previous buying climax.Wednesday's Volume fell 10% with new price highs.The erratic rather than trending Volume without capitulation volume on the 31st October price lows are hallmarks of a bear market rally.

Volume, Call Options, Tencent, and China Overseas

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Country Garden, and outflows from Meituan, ICBC, China Pacific, COSCO Shipping, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Country Garden, and outflows from Meituan, ICBC, China Pacific, COSCO Shipping, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $7bn Inflows in November

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

The Asia HY Trade Book for November 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits.

  The Asia HY Trade Book for November 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits. 

Asia HY Trade Book - November 2022 - Lucror Analytics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We think the third arrow from CSRC is positive to the sector as 1) the signal is stronger than the previous 16 measures by PBOC because the equity financing channel has been long freeze for A-share property names.</li><li>So that means the attitude towards property sector is a U-turn to help developers in need.</li><li>2) It opens up the imagination that troubled developers may issue equity to SOEs or local government for mixed ownership. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We think the third arrow from CSRC is positive to the sector as 1) the signal is stronger than the previous 16 measures by PBOC because the equity financing channel has been long freeze for A-share property names.So that means the attitude towards property sector is a U-turn to help developers in need.2) It opens up the imagination that troubled developers may issue equity to SOEs or local government for mixed ownership. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Equity financing reopens to fuel another rally

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, China Mobile, Kuaishou, Xpeng, and outflows from Meituan, Li Ning.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, China Mobile, Kuaishou, Xpeng, and outflows from Meituan, Li Ning.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 25th): Tencent, China Mobile, Kuaishou, Xpeng, Meituan, Li Ning

China

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited is a real estate developer.  The Company builds villas, townhouses and apartments in Mainland China. Country Gardens also develops large-scale community facilities such as schools, hotels, hospitals, and theme parks.

Price Gauge
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Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)

Volume, Call Options, Tencent, and China Overseas

Volume picked up on Tuesday, 29th November, just slightly below the 15th November volume, the previous buying climax. Wednesday's Volume fell 10%...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $7bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx, Country Garden, Meituan, ICBC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia HY Trade Book - November 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Book for November 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also...

Lucror Analytics

China Property Sector – Equity financing reopens to fuel another rally

After market closed, CSRC’s Chairman Yi Huiman announced that in order to maintain stable and heathy development of real estate market

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 25th): Tencent, China Mobile, Kuaishou, Xpeng, Meituan, Li Ning

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Kuaishou, Xpeng, Meituan, Li Ning.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)