External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Expect improving Q3 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 13/16%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in Q3FY22 and 6/12% in Q2FY23)</li><li>Q2FY23 was marred by a variety of reasons like commodity-led destocking, an unfavourable base, negative oplev and slow infra activities led by extended monsoon</li><li>We have observed that some of the headwinds have eased out in Q3 and thereby expect better delivery in Q3 after the washout show in Q2</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Expect improving Q3 print, aggregate revenue YoY/three-year CAGR at 13/16%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in Q3FY22 and 6/12% in Q2FY23)Q2FY23 was marred by a variety of reasons like commodity-led destocking, an unfavourable base, negative oplev and slow infra activities led by extended monsoonWe have observed that some of the headwinds have eased out in Q3 and thereby expect better delivery in Q3 after the washout show in Q2Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Better Q3 print assisted by pre-buying in fans

<ul><li>Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR)</li><li>Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with three-year CAGR at 12/9% vs HUL’s 11/3% and Nestle’s 13/8%</li><li>Dabur is sustaining its volume outperformance among peers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR)Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with three-year CAGR at 12/9% vs HUL’s 11/3% and Nestle’s 13/8%Dabur is sustaining its volume outperformance among peersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Crompton Consumer

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.</li>
<li>This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.</li>
<li>While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.
This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.
While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.


Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

<ul><li>Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)</li><li>INFO increased its revenue guidance for FY23E to 14-16% (vs 13-15% earlier) and EBITM guidance was maintained at 21-23%, with a tilt to the lower end</li><li>We expect INFO’s margin recovery ahead, supported by sub-contractor optimisation (~100bps lever) and utilisation increase on trainee productivity (~50bps lever)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)INFO increased its revenue guidance for FY23E to 14-16% (vs 13-15% earlier) and EBITM guidance was maintained at 21-23%, with a tilt to the lower endWe expect INFO’s margin recovery ahead, supported by sub-contractor optimisation (~100bps lever) and utilisation increase on trainee productivity (~50bps lever)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Infosys, Axis Bank, Tech Mahindra, Crompton Consumer

India

Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited is an Indian electrical equipment company that manufactures and markets consumer electrical products. The company's product portfolio includes fans, lighting (LED and non-LED), pumps, and various household appliances like water heaters, air coolers, and kitchen appliances. Crompton is based in Mumbai, India, and was established as Crompton Parkinson Works Limited in 1937, though the current entity, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited, was established in 2016 following a demerger.

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Crompton (CROMPTON IN)

Consumer Durables (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Better Q3 print assisted by pre-buying in fans

Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/three-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly acquisition) of 13/16% in Q3FY23 (vs 7/11% in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Crompton Consumer

Dabur: Dabur delivered an in-line performance with revenue growth of 6% YoY (11% on three-year CAGR) Domestic revenue/volume grew 7/1% YoY, with...

HDFC Securities

Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

Signs suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes & Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical...

Vermilion Research

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Infosys, Axis Bank, Tech Mahindra, Crompton Consumer

Infosys: Infosys (INFO IN) delivered strong growth in Q1, offset by steeper impact on margins (yet relative outperformance vs peers)

HDFC Securities

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