Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CrowdStrike Holdings delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.</li><li>In the quarter, they launched CrowdStrike Falcon Complete XDR, a Managed eXtended Detection and Response service from the market leader in MDR and endpoint security.</li><li>We give CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

CrowdStrike Holdings delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.In the quarter, they launched CrowdStrike Falcon Complete XDR, a Managed eXtended Detection and Response service from the market leader in MDR and endpoint security.We give CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.

CrowdStrike Holdings: Using AI to Scale Rapidly and Dominate the Industry! – Key Drivers

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Huge operating margin and FCF beat as PANW is maintaining efficiency with slower headcount growth and supply chain issues abating supporting gross margins. </li>
<li>Deal sizes continue to grow dramatically: $1M deals grew 20% YoY, and  transactions size grew nearly 60%. $5M+ deals grew 84% YoY and $10M+ deals grew 140%.</li>
<li>Prisma' Access' SASE product continues to be the catalyst driving 2.5x revenue lift vs. legacy firewalls.</li>
</ul>


Huge operating margin and FCF beat as PANW is maintaining efficiency with slower headcount growth and supply chain issues abating supporting gross margins. 
Deal sizes continue to grow dramatically: $1M deals grew 20% YoY, and  transactions size grew nearly 60%. $5M+ deals grew 84% YoY and $10M+ deals grew 140%.
Prisma' Access' SASE product continues to be the catalyst driving 2.5x revenue lift vs. legacy firewalls.


Palo Alto Networks: Even Better Than Crowdstrike?

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>Darktrace is a cyber security and AI unicorn backed by leading VC firms. The company was founded in Cambridge, UK, in 2013 and crossed the $500M ARR mark in 2022.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/darktrace-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34466:1" rel="noopener">Darktrace (DARK LN)</a>  currently trades at ~4x EV/CY22E revenues, a steep discount relative to other US-based cybersecurity peers that trade at an average of ~9x EV/CY22E revenues.</li>
<li>The cyber defense company achieved GAAP Op Margin and FCF Margin break-even in FY21 and FY22, with an opportunity to deliver profitable stellar growth in the coming years.</li>
</ul>


Darktrace is a cyber security and AI unicorn backed by leading VC firms. The company was founded in Cambridge, UK, in 2013 and crossed the $500M ARR mark in 2022.  

Darktrace (DARK LN)  currently trades at ~4x EV/CY22E revenues, a steep discount relative to other US-based cybersecurity peers that trade at an average of ~9x EV/CY22E revenues.
The cyber defense company achieved GAAP Op Margin and FCF Margin break-even in FY21 and FY22, with an opportunity to deliver profitable stellar growth in the coming years.


Darktrace: Undervalued Cyber Defense Unicorn. A Steep Discount Is Unjustified

Equity Capital Markets

Crowdstrike Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>CrowdStrike had a solid quarter increasing its revenue by 53% year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street expectations.</li><li>In the enterprise, sales cycles or average days to closure remain marginally higher than the previous quarter.</li><li>Furthermore, LogScale experienced another solid quarter in Q3 thanks to their wins in the financial services, insurance, technology, retail, energy, and telecommunications industries.</li></ul>

CrowdStrike had a solid quarter increasing its revenue by 53% year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street expectations.In the enterprise, sales cycles or average days to closure remain marginally higher than the previous quarter.Furthermore, LogScale experienced another solid quarter in Q3 thanks to their wins in the financial services, insurance, technology, retail, energy, and telecommunications industries.

<ul>
<li>Snowflake guided below consensus for 4Q2023 revenue growth on a mix of macro conservatism and a quirky point that more vacation travel will reduce the amount of workloads run.</li>
<li>Margins continue to beat to the upside and management is guiding FY2024 FCF marginst to 23%, just 2pts below the LT guidance.</li>
<li>Very conservative management team also guided for a stabilization in revenue growth for FY2024 at 47%, a bit below consensus, but better than feared given the earnings reports recently.</li>
</ul>


Snowflake guided below consensus for 4Q2023 revenue growth on a mix of macro conservatism and a quirky point that more vacation travel will reduce the amount of workloads run.
Margins continue to beat to the upside and management is guiding FY2024 FCF marginst to 23%, just 2pts below the LT guidance.
Very conservative management team also guided for a stabilization in revenue growth for FY2024 at 47%, a bit below consensus, but better than feared given the earnings reports recently.


Snowflake FY3Q23 Earnings: Stabilizing Growth in FY2024

United States

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity products and services to stop breaches. The Company offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and leading threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike serves customers worldwide.

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Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US)

CrowdStrike Holdings: Using AI to Scale Rapidly and Dominate the Industry! – Key Drivers

CrowdStrike Holdings delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter. In the quarter, they launched CrowdStrike Falcon Complete XDR, a...

Baptista Research

Palo Alto Networks: Even Better Than Crowdstrike?

PANW delivered a massive margin and FCF beat, and continued acceleration of its SASE business. With S&P inclusion on the horizon and 25x EV/FCF for...

Aaron Gabin

Darktrace: Undervalued Cyber Defense Unicorn. A Steep Discount Is Unjustified

Our analysis suggests Darktrace shares look undervalued relative to peers, and we believe a steep discount is unjustified

Andrei Zakharov

CrowdStrike Inc: Major Drivers

CrowdStrike had a solid quarter increasing its revenue by 53% year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street expectations. In the enterprise, sales cycles...

Baptista Research

Snowflake FY3Q23 Earnings: Stabilizing Growth in FY2024

Snowflake produced another impressive quarter and a guidance that was better than feared given the macro concerns other high growth SW companies...

Aaron Gabin

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