European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On June 24, Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) will officially join the S&amp;P 500, which follows strong financial results and guidance. Investors anticipated this inclusion, driven by improved profitability and operational efficiency.</li>
<li>The volume traded has so far been on average 2x the 3-month daily average prior to the news. The enduring effect will be on liquidity (hedging basket for index exposure).</li>
<li>CrowdStrike's inclusion in the S&amp;P 500 index increases the representation of pure cybersecurity stocks. Median IBES consensus PT is $400 (7.5% upside).</li>
</ul>


On June 24, Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) will officially join the S&amp;P 500, which follows strong financial results and guidance. Investors anticipated this inclusion, driven by improved profitability and operational efficiency.
The volume traded has so far been on average 2x the 3-month daily average prior to the news. The enduring effect will be on liquidity (hedging basket for index exposure).
CrowdStrike's inclusion in the S&amp;P 500 index increases the representation of pure cybersecurity stocks. Median IBES consensus PT is $400 (7.5% upside).


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rubrik, a data security company and leader in cyber-recovery, completed its IPO and sold 23.5M Class A shares to the public at $32.00/share in May.</li>
<li>The technology company reported a mixed quarter pushing shares down over 8% during regular trading session. Q1 FY25 net loss was ~$732M due to massive stock-based comp.</li>
<li>However, subscription ARR increased 46% y/y and cloud ARR jumped 104% y/y indicating continued strength in the company’s Rubrik Security Cloud offering.</li>
</ul>


Rubrik, a data security company and leader in cyber-recovery, completed its IPO and sold 23.5M Class A shares to the public at $32.00/share in May.
The technology company reported a mixed quarter pushing shares down over 8% during regular trading session. Q1 FY25 net loss was ~$732M due to massive stock-based comp.
However, subscription ARR increased 46% y/y and cloud ARR jumped 104% y/y indicating continued strength in the company’s Rubrik Security Cloud offering.


Rubrik: Long Path To Profitability, Massive Stock-Based Comp in Q1 FY25, PT Reduced To $46.00

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a>, 7 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 13 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There is huge size to trade in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crowdstrike-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28117:1" rel="noopener">Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US)</a> and both stocks were up big in the after-hours market.</li>
<li>There has been positioning in some stocks recently but stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rb-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25475:1" rel="noopener">RB Global</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-pacific-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28693:1" rel="noopener">Texas Pacific Land</a> could see further positioning in the next week.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX, 7 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 13 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the June rebalance.
There is huge size to trade in KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) and Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) and both stocks were up big in the after-hours market.
There has been positioning in some stocks recently but stocks including KKR &amp; Co, RB Global and Texas Pacific Land could see further positioning in the next week.


S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Huge Size to Trade in a Few Stocks

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. has reported its fiscal first quarter 2025 results, demonstrating robust growth and financial performance.</li><li>CrowdStrike's investment appeal is anchored on its comprehensive cybersecurity solutions delivered through the Falcon platform, an AI-native software that consolidates various cybersecurity functionalities.</li><li>This platform strategy leverages artificial intelligence to enhance cybersecurity measures, streamline operations, and improve cost-efficiencies for clients.</li></ul>

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. has reported its fiscal first quarter 2025 results, demonstrating robust growth and financial performance.CrowdStrike's investment appeal is anchored on its comprehensive cybersecurity solutions delivered through the Falcon platform, an AI-native software that consolidates various cybersecurity functionalities.This platform strategy leverages artificial intelligence to enhance cybersecurity measures, streamline operations, and improve cost-efficiencies for clients.

CrowdStrike Holdings: Will Its Enhanced AI Capabilities With Charlotte AI Be A Game Changer? - Major Drivers

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>Zscaler missed billings estimates and lowered full-year revenue guidance due to extended sales cycles and deal closures delays</li><li>Declining performances in the cybersecurity sector indicate potential underperformance for Crowdstrike</li><li>Author predicts potential significant miss in Crowdstrike's upcoming earnings based on current trends in the market</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Zscaler missed billings estimates and lowered full-year revenue guidance due to extended sales cycles and deal closures delaysDeclining performances in the cybersecurity sector indicate potential underperformance for CrowdstrikeAuthor predicts potential significant miss in Crowdstrike's upcoming earnings based on current trends in the marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) - Friday, Mar 1, 2024

United States

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity products and services to stop breaches. The Company offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and leading threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike serves customers worldwide.

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Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US)

CrowdStrike Joins S&P 500

On June 24, Crowdstrike Holdings (CRWD US) will officially join the S&P 500, which follows strong financial results and guidance. Investors...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Rubrik: Long Path To Profitability, Massive Stock-Based Comp in Q1 FY25, PT Reduced To $46.00

Rubrik stock currently trades below IPO price of $32.00/share. Data security company completed its IPO in May and raised ~$750M. With a recent sell...

Andrei Zakharov

S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Huge Size to Trade in a Few Stocks

KKR, Crowdstrike and GoDaddy will be added to the SP500 at the close on 21 June. There are a bunch of changes for the SP400/600 indices too. There...

Brian Freitas

CrowdStrike Holdings: Will Its Enhanced AI Capabilities With Charlotte AI Be A Game Changer? - Major Drivers

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. has reported its fiscal first quarter 2025 results, demonstrating robust growth and financial performance. CrowdStrike's...

Baptista Research

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) - Friday, Mar 1, 2024

Zscaler missed billings estimates and lowered full-year revenue guidance due to extended sales cycles and deal closures delays

Value Investors Club (VIC)

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