Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

Soybean Oil Active Contract / Commodities

<ul><li>We all know about China’s importance in global trade as it is the single most important importer of many key commodities and raw materials.</li><li>This great chart by S&amp;P Global highlights this once again.</li><li>Meanwhile, this importance could at least top out over the next couple of years - as the demographic problem really hits the country.</li></ul>

We all know about China’s importance in global trade as it is the single most important importer of many key commodities and raw materials.This great chart by S&amp;P Global highlights this once again.Meanwhile, this importance could at least top out over the next couple of years - as the demographic problem really hits the country.

China’s Role as Commodity Importer & The Problem that Emerges for the Soybean Complex

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

<ul><li>The clouds of recession and economic slowdown loom over the horizon, casting a bearish shadow on commodity markets.</li><li>Yet, despite many reasons for pessimism, commodity prices have begun to show signs of resilience last week.</li><li>Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.</li></ul>

The clouds of recession and economic slowdown loom over the horizon, casting a bearish shadow on commodity markets.Yet, despite many reasons for pessimism, commodity prices have begun to show signs of resilience last week.Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.

Part Six: Commodities: Priced for a Downturn

<ul><li>Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it.</li><li>First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the costly mistakes we made during the past year.</li><li>Soft commodities dominated the commodity front during 2023.</li></ul>

Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it.First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the costly mistakes we made during the past year.Soft commodities dominated the commodity front during 2023.

Commodities Going Into 2024 & Our Biggest Mistakes During 2023

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Pakistan’s CPI Inflation jumped to 31.4% YoY in Sep-2023, breaking a three-months of YoY declining trend. The significant hike in inflation is due to higher local fuel and food prices.</li><li>On MoM basis, CPI inflation was up 2.0% in Sep 2023 as compared to 1.7% in Aug 2023 and last 3-month average of 1.6%.</li><li>This takes 1QFY24 average inflation to 29.04% compared to 25.11% in 1QFY23.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Pakistan’s CPI Inflation jumped to 31.4% YoY in Sep-2023, breaking a three-months of YoY declining trend. The significant hike in inflation is due to higher local fuel and food prices.On MoM basis, CPI inflation was up 2.0% in Sep 2023 as compared to 1.7% in Aug 2023 and last 3-month average of 1.6%.This takes 1QFY24 average inflation to 29.04% compared to 25.11% in 1QFY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pakistan Economy - Inflation up 31% YoY in Sep-2023 as Expected

<ul><li>Orange juice futures hit an all-time high last week as citrus crops all across the US have been hammered by a series of hurricanes and the spread of citrus greening, an incurable disease spread by insects.</li><li>The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.</li><li>Such headwinds are responsible for the supply shortage in oranges, which has driven up prices that will eventually filter through to consumers.</li></ul>

Orange juice futures hit an all-time high last week as citrus crops all across the US have been hammered by a series of hurricanes and the spread of citrus greening, an incurable disease spread by insects.The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.Such headwinds are responsible for the supply shortage in oranges, which has driven up prices that will eventually filter through to consumers.

Traders Remain Neutral Commodities // Copper Loses as China Falls Apart

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

China’s Role as Commodity Importer & The Problem that Emerges for the Soybean Complex

We all know about China’s importance in global trade as it is the single most important importer of many key commodities and raw materials.

The Commodity Report

Part Six: Commodities: Priced for a Downturn

Even though a sustained long-term rally remains uncertain, the current environment seems ripe for a short-term bounce or mean reversion.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Commodities Going Into 2024 & Our Biggest Mistakes During 2023

Happy new year guys - another chapter has arrived and it’s time to make the best out of it. First of all, let’s look at the past, the now and the...

The Commodity Report

Pakistan Economy - Inflation up 31% YoY in Sep-2023 as Expected

Pakistan’s CPI Inflation jumped to 31.4% YoY in Sep-2023, breaking a three-months of YoY declining trend. The significant hike in inflation is due...

Topline Securities

Traders Remain Neutral Commodities // Copper Loses as China Falls Apart

The vast majority of oranges produced in the US come from Florida, which has been hobbled by hurricanes and a cold snap, massively hampering supply.

The Commodity Report

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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