Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

<ul>
<li>Shockingly, the Sinopharm-led consortium’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> has lapsed as the precondition long stop date has not been extended.</li>
<li>This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. </li>
<li>Shareholders will have a bruising Monday. Our analysis suggests a deal break price of around HK$3.44, a 10% downside to the last close.</li>
</ul>


Shockingly, the Sinopharm-led consortium’s offer for China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) has lapsed as the precondition long stop date has not been extended.
This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. 
Shareholders will have a bruising Monday. Our analysis suggests a deal break price of around HK$3.44, a 10% downside to the last close.


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.</li>
<li>One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.</li>
<li>We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.
One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.
We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Sino Biopharmaceutical’s NDA for bispecific ADC, TQB2102, has been accepted by NMPA for breast cancer. CHMP recommended approval of Impact Therapeutics’ Sepalna for epithelial ovarian, fallopian tube, and peritoneal cancers.</li>
<li>FDA granted priority review to Takeda’s zasocitinib for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. Daiichi Sankyo announced positive results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Enhertu as a first-line treatment of NSCLC.</li>
<li>SK Biopharmaceuticals has signed a license and equity investment agreement with 1ST Biotherapeutics to secure global exclusive development and commercialization rights for a new drug candidate for Parkinson's disease.</li>
</ul>


Sino Biopharmaceutical’s NDA for bispecific ADC, TQB2102, has been accepted by NMPA for breast cancer. CHMP recommended approval of Impact Therapeutics’ Sepalna for epithelial ovarian, fallopian tube, and peritoneal cancers.
FDA granted priority review to Takeda’s zasocitinib for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. Daiichi Sankyo announced positive results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Enhertu as a first-line treatment of NSCLC.
SK Biopharmaceuticals has signed a license and equity investment agreement with 1ST Biotherapeutics to secure global exclusive development and commercialization rights for a new drug candidate for Parkinson's disease.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 20) –Sino Bio, Impact Therapeutics, Takeda, Daiichi Sankyo, SK Biopharm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK)</a> 1Q26 revenue dropped 8% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. License fees compensated to an extent.</li>
<li>CSPC received upfront payment of US$ 1.2B from AstraZeneca for agreement entered to develop innovative long-acting peptide medicines, utilising the CSPC’s proprietary delivery technology platform and AI-driven drug discovery platform.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices. We remain bullish on the name.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) 1Q26 revenue dropped 8% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. License fees compensated to an extent.
CSPC received upfront payment of US$ 1.2B from AstraZeneca for agreement entered to develop innovative long-acting peptide medicines, utilising the CSPC’s proprietary delivery technology platform and AI-driven drug discovery platform.
CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices. We remain bullish on the name.


CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): 1Q26 Revenue Down, Regular Approvals and New Launches Hold Key For Future

China

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited is a prominent Chinese pharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products, including innovative drugs and bulk drugs. Its key products include innovative drugs for nervous system diseases, oncology, anti-infectives, and cardiovascular diseases, as well as bulk products like vitamin C, antibiotics, and caffeine. The company was formally established in 1997 and is headquartered in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China.

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CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND bought another HK$14bn+ last week in the four-day week. ENERGY was big again, as was CONSUMER DISC though some of the latter was index...

Travis Lundy

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. Shareholders will have a bruising...

Arun George

HSCEI Dec 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Shenzhou to be deleted below rank 60 and Hua Hong Grace to fill its seat, while a mid-conviction WuXi Bio ADD would also see ZTO deleted.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 20) –Sino Bio, Impact Therapeutics, Takeda, Daiichi Sankyo, SK Biopharm

NMPA accepted Sino Bio’s NDA for bispecific ADC drug candidate. FDA granted priority review to Takeda’s zasocitinib for moderate-to-severe plaque...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): 1Q26 Revenue Down, Regular Approvals and New Launches Hold Key For Future

CSPC Pharma's 1Q26 revenue declined as finished drugs dragged. Recent $1.2B upfront payment from AstraZeneca will help boost upcoming quarters....

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND bought another HK$14bn+ last week in the four-day week. ENERGY was big again, as was CONSUMER DISC though some of the latter was index...

Travis Lundy

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Disaster as Offer Lapses, Potential Deal Break Price

This deal break caught many, including me, off guard. There are lessons to be learnt and questions to be asked. Shareholders will have a bruising...

Arun George

HSCEI Dec 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Shenzhou to be deleted below rank 60 and Hua Hong Grace to fill its seat, while a mid-conviction WuXi Bio ADD would also see ZTO deleted.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 20) –Sino Bio, Impact Therapeutics, Takeda, Daiichi Sankyo, SK Biopharm

NMPA accepted Sino Bio’s NDA for bispecific ADC drug candidate. FDA granted priority review to Takeda’s zasocitinib for moderate-to-severe plaque...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): 1Q26 Revenue Down, Regular Approvals and New Launches Hold Key For Future

​CSPC Pharma's 1Q26 revenue declined as finished drugs dragged. Recent $1.2B upfront payment from AstraZeneca will help boost upcoming quarters....

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma's 1Q26 revenue declined as finished drugs dragged. Recent $1.2B upfront payment from AstraZeneca will help boost upcoming quarters....