Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Structural tailwinds across electrification, transmission, data centers, and specialty pharma remain intact, but these are now consensus trades with expectations fully embedded in earnings and multiples.</li>
<li>Our long basket—ABB India, Hitachi Energy India, Cummins India, and Sun Pharma—represents high-quality proxies where delivery, not discovery, will drive relative outperformance</li>
<li>If markets turn, these businesses remain best positioned given strong balance sheets, visible demand, and execution track record—making them relative winners even in a tougher environment. </li>
</ul>


Structural tailwinds across electrification, transmission, data centers, and specialty pharma remain intact, but these are now consensus trades with expectations fully embedded in earnings and multiples.
Our long basket—ABB India, Hitachi Energy India, Cummins India, and Sun Pharma—represents high-quality proxies where delivery, not discovery, will drive relative outperformance
If markets turn, these businesses remain best positioned given strong balance sheets, visible demand, and execution track record—making them relative winners even in a tougher environment. 


India Top Longs | Execution Alpha in a Turning Market

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>, 16 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index, and 33 changes for the NIFTY Smallcap 250 Index.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes but there are a lot of active assets tracking the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index.</li>
<li>The outright adds to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and the Nifty Midcap 150 Index have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX), 16 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index, and 33 changes for the NIFTY Smallcap 250 Index.
The largest passive flows are in the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index changes but there are a lot of active assets tracking the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index.
The outright adds to the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and the Nifty Midcap 150 Index have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months.


NIFTY Family Index Rebalance: Over US$1.7bn to Trade Across Indices

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>Here we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see no changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 (and NIFTY Next 50).</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
Here we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the March 2026 index rebal event.
We see no changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 (and NIFTY Next 50).


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar26: Five Changes and US$367mn One-Way Flow NIFTY Next 50

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearing completion, there could be 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>Constituent changes and capping for non-F&amp;O stocks leads to an estimated one-way turnover of 10.5% and in a round-trip trade of INR 88.5bn (US$974m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and there could be further performance over the next few weeks ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearing completion, there could be 5 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.
Constituent changes and capping for non-F&amp;O stocks leads to an estimated one-way turnover of 10.5% and in a round-trip trade of INR 88.5bn (US$974m).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and there could be further performance over the next few weeks ahead of the announcement of the changes.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes & Close Names

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
40,000-45,000 Indian containers stranded at sea and in transit as West Asia conflict escalates sharply.</li>
<li>Export Cargo worth USD 1-1.5 billion is at risk, per container surcharges have hit USD 3,000 - 5,000, a 3-5x jump from normal.</li>
<li>Listed exporters in rice, textiles and perishables face acute margin compression. The crises may not resolve quickly.</li>
</ul>



40,000-45,000 Indian containers stranded at sea and in transit as West Asia conflict escalates sharply.
Export Cargo worth USD 1-1.5 billion is at risk, per container surcharges have hit USD 3,000 - 5,000, a 3-5x jump from normal.
Listed exporters in rice, textiles and perishables face acute margin compression. The crises may not resolve quickly.


45,000 Indian Containers Disrupted by War: Which Indian Companies Are Most Exposed?

India

Cummins India Limited manufactures internal combustion engines, including diesel, reciprocating piston, gas turbine and gasoline engines. The Company also manufactures generating sets and public transport-type passenger motor vehicles, including luxury coaches and air-field buses.  In addition, Cummins India Ltd. operates a computerized and fully-equipped research and development facility.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Cummins India (KKC IN)

India Top Longs | Execution Alpha in a Turning Market

Execution, not narrative, will drive returns—own high-quality operators with visible demand and strong balance sheets, best positioned to...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY Family Index Rebalance: Over US$1.7bn to Trade Across Indices

There are plenty of changes to the NIFTY family of indices in March. The net round-trip trade across all indices is estimated at INR 157.7bn...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar26: Five Changes and US$367mn One-Way Flow NIFTY Next 50

These are our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY March 2026 index review. The reference period ended on 31st January 2026. We expect...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes & Close Names

There could be 5 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 10.5% and round-trip trade is INR 88.5bn (US$974m). Passives need to trade more...

Brian Freitas

45,000 Indian Containers Disrupted by War: Which Indian Companies Are Most Exposed?

Thousands of Indian containers stranded at sea due to West Asia conflict, risking billions in export cargo and causing surcharges to skyrocket for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India Top Longs | Execution Alpha in a Turning Market

Execution, not narrative, will drive returns—own high-quality operators with visible demand and strong balance sheets, best positioned to...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY Family Index Rebalance: Over US$1.7bn to Trade Across Indices

There are plenty of changes to the NIFTY family of indices in March. The net round-trip trade across all indices is estimated at INR 157.7bn...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar26: Five Changes and US$367mn One-Way Flow NIFTY Next 50

These are our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY March 2026 index review. The reference period ended on 31st January 2026. We expect...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes & Close Names

There could be 5 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 10.5% and round-trip trade is INR 88.5bn (US$974m). Passives need to trade more...

Brian Freitas

45,000 Indian Containers Disrupted by War: Which Indian Companies Are Most Exposed?

​Thousands of Indian containers stranded at sea due to West Asia conflict, risking billions in export cargo and causing surcharges to skyrocket for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thousands of Indian containers stranded at sea due to West Asia conflict, risking billions in export cargo and causing surcharges to skyrocket for...