Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> will take place at the close of trading today.</li>
<li>There are a couple of deletions and one inclusion. Plus there will be capping changes on the other stocks, but the impact of those changes is not large.</li>
<li>The stocks have already been moving in the right direction during the day and the pre-positions could be flipped to the ETF at the close.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) will take place at the close of trading today.
There are a couple of deletions and one inclusion. Plus there will be capping changes on the other stocks, but the impact of those changes is not large.
The stocks have already been moving in the right direction during the day and the pre-positions could be flipped to the ETF at the close.


KWEB Index Rebalance: Few Changes at the Close Today

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.</li>
<li>The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) and Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.
The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.


ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23628:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express (ZTO US)</a> met consensus Q422 EPS estimate despite a miss on Revenue</li>
<li>Management expects to exceed industry volume growth (around +10%) in 2023</li>
<li>Likely obstacles to a sharp earnings recovery are: ASP momentum, "new-old" competition, and a lack of demonstrated cost control</li>
</ul>



ZTO Express (ZTO US) met consensus Q422 EPS estimate despite a miss on Revenue
Management expects to exceed industry volume growth (around +10%) in 2023
Likely obstacles to a sharp earnings recovery are: ASP momentum, "new-old" competition, and a lack of demonstrated cost control


ZTO Express Q4/2022 Results & Guidance:  Moderate Growth in '23, but Also Obstacles

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Grizzly Research LLC publishes a short selling report on ZTO.</li>
<li>Meituan plans to shift car hailing from direct operation to a platform for third-party operators.</li>
<li>Dada, which was acquired by JD.com last year, posts good 4Q22 results.</li>
</ul>


Grizzly Research LLC publishes a short selling report on ZTO.
Meituan plans to shift car hailing from direct operation to a platform for third-party operators.
Dada, which was acquired by JD.com last year, posts good 4Q22 results.


China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>On Tuesday last week, short-video app Douyin announced that it plans to offer its food delivery service in more Chinese cities expanding its current trial in Beijing, Chengdu and Shanghai.</li>
<li>Following this, on Wednesday last week, Meituan announced that it plans to recruit 10,000 workers in 1Q2023 across a number of its business divisions including technology development and customer services.</li>
<li>Though we don't expect Douyin’s entry into food delivery to have large impact, increased competitive pressure and headcount increase would drag down Meituan’s profitability in the near-term.</li>
</ul>


On Tuesday last week, short-video app Douyin announced that it plans to offer its food delivery service in more Chinese cities expanding its current trial in Beijing, Chengdu and Shanghai.
Following this, on Wednesday last week, Meituan announced that it plans to recruit 10,000 workers in 1Q2023 across a number of its business divisions including technology development and customer services.
Though we don't expect Douyin’s entry into food delivery to have large impact, increased competitive pressure and headcount increase would drag down Meituan’s profitability in the near-term.


Meituan to Hire 10k Employees to Compete with Douyin’s Food Delivery Business

China

Dada Nexus Limited operates a platform for local on-demand retail and delivery. The Company provides a digital solution leveraging the crowdsourcing model to address the challenge of frequent fluctuations brought forward by the nature of on-demand orders and to match the surging demand for delivery capacity with efficient supply. Dada Nexus serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dada Nexus (DADA US)

KWEB Index Rebalance: Few Changes at the Close Today

The KWEB ETF rebalances at the close today. There are 2 adds & 1 delete. There will be capping changes and funding flows across the other index...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

ZTO Express Q4/2022 Results & Guidance: Moderate Growth in '23, but Also Obstacles

ZTO guides strong volume growth and potentially better unit economics in '23, but we expect price pressure to return, and the company needs to rein...

Daniel Hellberg

China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com

Grizzly Research LLC publishes a short selling report on ZTO. Meituan plans to give up on direct sales of car hailing. Dada, which was acquired...

Ming Lu

Meituan to Hire 10k Employees to Compete with Douyin’s Food Delivery Business

Though we don't expect Douyin’s entry into food delivery market to have large impact, increased competitive pressure and headcount increase would...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)