Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/otsuka-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12292:1" rel="noopener">Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP)</a> is looking for 2% YoY revenue growth to ¥2,380B. However, net profit is expected to decline 20% YoY to ¥275B.</li>
<li>Even upon a massive impact from LoE of Jinarc/Jynarque, total revenue will grow in 2025. Excluding one-time of impact of the tax adjustments, 2025 net profit guidance implies 6% growth.</li>
<li>Otsuka intends to reduce buyback to create a more investable environment, encourage individual investors to participate in the market, and revitalize the stock market.</li>
</ul>


For 2025, Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP) is looking for 2% YoY revenue growth to ¥2,380B. However, net profit is expected to decline 20% YoY to ¥275B.
Even upon a massive impact from LoE of Jinarc/Jynarque, total revenue will grow in 2025. Excluding one-time of impact of the tax adjustments, 2025 net profit guidance implies 6% growth.
Otsuka intends to reduce buyback to create a more investable environment, encourage individual investors to participate in the market, and revitalize the stock market.


Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP): Soft Guidance for 2025; Reduction of Investment Units

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo has announced that Dato-DXd has been recommended for approval in EU. Astellas Pharma has submitted new drug application for conditional approval of Izervay for Geographic Atrophy in Japan.</li>
<li>SanBio has successfully secured the planned production yield for the second commercial production run to meet the approval conditions for the shipment of Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation.</li>
<li>IHH Healthcare is seeking compensation of INR109.3B from Daiichi Sankyo for its stake buy in Fortis Healthcare. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories entered licensing agreement with Shanghai Henlius Biotech for Darzalex biosimilar.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo has announced that Dato-DXd has been recommended for approval in EU. Astellas Pharma has submitted new drug application for conditional approval of Izervay for Geographic Atrophy in Japan.
SanBio has successfully secured the planned production yield for the second commercial production run to meet the approval conditions for the shipment of Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation.
IHH Healthcare is seeking compensation of INR109.3B from Daiichi Sankyo for its stake buy in Fortis Healthcare. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories entered licensing agreement with Shanghai Henlius Biotech for Darzalex biosimilar.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Astellas, SanBio, IHH, Henlius Biotech, Dr. Reddy’s

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> reported a 22% YoY (6% from favourable Fx rates) revenue growth to ¥1,453B in 9MFY25. The U.S. market continue to be key, contributing 46% of revenue.</li>
<li>Operating profit rose 44% YoY to ¥297.5B, with operating margin expanding 310bps to 20.5%. Core profit increased 35% YoY to ¥223B, with margins improving 150bps to 15.4% in 9MFY25.</li>
<li>Guidance revised upward, with revenue now expected at ¥1,900B on robust XTANDI performance and favorable forex movement.</li>
</ul>



Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) reported a 22% YoY (6% from favourable Fx rates) revenue growth to ¥1,453B in 9MFY25. The U.S. market continue to be key, contributing 46% of revenue.
Operating profit rose 44% YoY to ¥297.5B, with operating margin expanding 310bps to 20.5%. Core profit increased 35% YoY to ¥223B, with margins improving 150bps to 15.4% in 9MFY25.
Guidance revised upward, with revenue now expected at ¥1,900B on robust XTANDI performance and favorable forex movement.


Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): 9MFY25 Result- Strategic Brands Strong; Margins Expand; Guidance Raised

<ul>
<li>In November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)</a> entered into an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo for an upfront payment of $20M (KRW28B).</li>
<li>With increasing number of players developing ADC drugs mainly targeting various cancers, we can expect more big-ticket licensing deals for ALT-B4, going ahead.</li>
<li>On February 4, Alteogen has raised ~KRW155B through redeemable convertible preference shares. Over the last few months, Alteogen shares had a roller coaster ride due to fund raising rumors.</li>
</ul>


In November 2024, Alteogen Inc (196170 KS) entered into an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo for an upfront payment of $20M (KRW28B).
With increasing number of players developing ADC drugs mainly targeting various cancers, we can expect more big-ticket licensing deals for ALT-B4, going ahead.
On February 4, Alteogen has raised ~KRW155B through redeemable convertible preference shares. Over the last few months, Alteogen shares had a roller coaster ride due to fund raising rumors.


Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

<ul>
<li>In its January 2025 meeting, EMA’s human medicines committee (CHMP) recommended eight medicines for approval, including four innovative, three biosimilars, and one generic drugs.</li>
<li>The committee has also recommended extensions of indication for eight medicines that are already authorized in the EU.</li>
<li>Marketing applications for two medicines were withdrawn. Among them, withdrawal of Daiichi Sankyo’s datopotamab deruxtecan for non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer is noteworthy.</li>
</ul>


In its January 2025 meeting, EMA’s human medicines committee (CHMP) recommended eight medicines for approval, including four innovative, three biosimilars, and one generic drugs.
The committee has also recommended extensions of indication for eight medicines that are already authorized in the EU.
Marketing applications for two medicines were withdrawn. Among them, withdrawal of Daiichi Sankyo’s datopotamab deruxtecan for non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer is noteworthy.


CHMP Meeting Update: Eight New Medicines Recommended For Approval

Japan

Daiichi Sankyo Co, Ltd is a holding company established through merger of Sankyo and Daiichi pharmaceutical. The Group manufactures pharmaceuticals for human/veterinary use and medical tools and equipment. It also researches and promotes products through related companies throughout the world. The Group also produces food, food additives, livestock feeds, and agrochemicals.

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Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)

Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP): Soft Guidance for 2025; Reduction of Investment Units

Otsuka is looking for 2% revenue growth in 2025 but expects a 20% decline in net profit. The company plans to reduce buyback to boost market...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Astellas, SanBio, IHH, Henlius Biotech, Dr. Reddy’s

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): 9MFY25 Result- Strategic Brands Strong; Margins Expand; Guidance Raised

Astellas Pharma reports strong revenue growth and profit increase in 9MFY25, with U.S. market being the key contributor. Guidance revised upward...

Tina Banerjee

Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...

Tina Banerjee

CHMP Meeting Update: Eight New Medicines Recommended For Approval

In its January 2025 meeting, CHMP recommended 8 drugs for approval, including 4 innovative, 3 biosimilars, and 1 generic drugs. The committee has...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP): Soft Guidance for 2025; Reduction of Investment Units

​Otsuka is looking for 2% revenue growth in 2025 but expects a 20% decline in net profit. The company plans to reduce buyback to boost market...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Astellas, SanBio, IHH, Henlius Biotech, Dr. Reddy’s

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): 9MFY25 Result- Strategic Brands Strong; Margins Expand; Guidance Raised

​Astellas Pharma reports strong revenue growth and profit increase in 9MFY25, with U.S. market being the key contributor. Guidance revised upward...

Tina Banerjee

Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

​Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...

Tina Banerjee

CHMP Meeting Update: Eight New Medicines Recommended For Approval

In its January 2025 meeting, CHMP recommended 8 drugs for approval, including 4 innovative, 3 biosimilars, and 1 generic drugs. The committee has...

Tina Banerjee

Otsuka is looking for 2% revenue growth in 2025 but expects a 20% decline in net profit. The company plans to reduce buyback to boost market...

Astellas Pharma reports strong revenue growth and profit increase in 9MFY25, with U.S. market being the key contributor. Guidance revised upward...

Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...