Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During H1FY26, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> maintained revenue, operating profit, and net profit at the same level as previous year. None of the key parameters achieved their respective targets.</li>
<li>Better-Than-Expected contribution from Torii, additional revenue generation from Quviviq, double-digit revenue growth of cefiderocol in the U.S. and EU, and stable growth in HIV royalty drove overall performance.</li>
<li>Shionogi has reduced FY26 revenue guidance (due to weak prescription drug sales) and raised operating and net profit guidance, driven by strong growth in royalty income and cost optimization initiatives.</li>
</ul>


During H1FY26, Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) maintained revenue, operating profit, and net profit at the same level as previous year. None of the key parameters achieved their respective targets.
Better-Than-Expected contribution from Torii, additional revenue generation from Quviviq, double-digit revenue growth of cefiderocol in the U.S. and EU, and stable growth in HIV royalty drove overall performance.
Shionogi has reduced FY26 revenue guidance (due to weak prescription drug sales) and raised operating and net profit guidance, driven by strong growth in royalty income and cost optimization initiatives.


Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Muted 1H Result; Solid HIV Business Leads FY Profit Guidance Raise

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugai-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1" rel="noopener">Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)</a> reported flat Hemlibra sales in 9M25 overcoming shipment issues. Higher volumes boosted Actemra revenue (up 27% YoY) amid declining in export unit price.</li>
<li>2025 guidance reiterated. Satisfactory progress after 9M25 with major line-items achieving 76-81% of full year guidance. Management expects to beat the export forecast in case of both Hemlibra and Actemra.</li>
<li>Strong progress of out-licensed products (nemluvio and orforglipron) with high sales potential will help drive growth in the short to medium term.</li>
</ul>



Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) reported flat Hemlibra sales in 9M25 overcoming shipment issues. Higher volumes boosted Actemra revenue (up 27% YoY) amid declining in export unit price.
2025 guidance reiterated. Satisfactory progress after 9M25 with major line-items achieving 76-81% of full year guidance. Management expects to beat the export forecast in case of both Hemlibra and Actemra.
Strong progress of out-licensed products (nemluvio and orforglipron) with high sales potential will help drive growth in the short to medium term.


Chugai Pharma (4519 JP): Hemlibra Steady, Actemra Shine, Outlicensed Drug and New Launches Key

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. </li>
<li>Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.
Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. 
Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

<ul>
<li>InnoCare Pharma granted global rights to Zenas BioPharm to develop and commercialize an experimental drug, orelabrutinib for multiple sclerosis and other autoimmune conditions. The deal is worth of $2B+.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo submitted application for additional indication of Enhertu as first-line therapy for HER2 positive breast cancer in Japan. Celltrion got FDA clearance for its Eylea biosimilar, Eydenzelt.</li>
<li>Mesoblast announced gross revenue of $22M from Ryoncil for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, up 66% QoQ. Lupin will invest $250M for new pharmaceutical manufacturing plant in Florida.</li>
</ul>


InnoCare Pharma granted global rights to Zenas BioPharm to develop and commercialize an experimental drug, orelabrutinib for multiple sclerosis and other autoimmune conditions. The deal is worth of $2B+.
Daiichi Sankyo submitted application for additional indication of Enhertu as first-line therapy for HER2 positive breast cancer in Japan. Celltrion got FDA clearance for its Eylea biosimilar, Eydenzelt.
Mesoblast announced gross revenue of $22M from Ryoncil for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, up 66% QoQ. Lupin will invest $250M for new pharmaceutical manufacturing plant in Florida.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 12) – InnoCare, Daiichi Sankyo, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,873m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics, Pan Pacific International, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Disco, Kintetsu, Yamada, Ihi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,873m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics, Pan Pacific International, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Disco, Kintetsu, Yamada, Ihi.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 3rd): IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics

Japan

Daiichi Sankyo Co, Ltd is a holding company established through merger of Sankyo and Daiichi pharmaceutical. The Group manufactures pharmaceuticals for human/veterinary use and medical tools and equipment. It also researches and promotes products through related companies throughout the world. The Group also produces food, food additives, livestock feeds, and agrochemicals.

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Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Muted 1H Result; Solid HIV Business Leads FY Profit Guidance Raise

Shionogi reported flat revenue and profits in H1FY26, missing targets. The company has lowered FY26 revenue guidance, but raised operating and net...

Tina Banerjee

Chugai Pharma (4519 JP): Hemlibra Steady, Actemra Shine, Outlicensed Drug and New Launches Key

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) sees flat Hemlibra sales, higher Actemra revenue amid competition in 9M25. Strong progress in out-licensed...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 12) – InnoCare, Daiichi Sankyo, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

InnoCare stuck outlicensing deal with Zenas Bio. Daiichi Sankyo filed for label expansion of Enhertu in Japan. Celltrion got FDA nod for Eylea...

Tina Banerjee

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 3rd): IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Nippon Steel (5401 JP), Nitori (9843 JP), Ai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Muted 1H Result; Solid HIV Business Leads FY Profit Guidance Raise

​Shionogi reported flat revenue and profits in H1FY26, missing targets. The company has lowered FY26 revenue guidance, but raised operating and net...

Tina Banerjee

Chugai Pharma (4519 JP): Hemlibra Steady, Actemra Shine, Outlicensed Drug and New Launches Key

​Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) sees flat Hemlibra sales, higher Actemra revenue amid competition in 9M25. Strong progress in out-licensed...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 12) – InnoCare, Daiichi Sankyo, Celltrion, Mesoblast, Lupin

InnoCare stuck outlicensing deal with Zenas Bio. Daiichi Sankyo filed for label expansion of Enhertu in Japan. Celltrion got FDA nod for Eylea...

Tina Banerjee

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 3rd): IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Nippon Steel (5401 JP), Nitori (9843 JP), Ai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shionogi reported flat revenue and profits in H1FY26, missing targets. The company has lowered FY26 revenue guidance, but raised operating and net...

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) sees flat Hemlibra sales, higher Actemra revenue amid competition in 9M25. Strong progress in out-licensed...