HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.</li>
<li>Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.</li>
<li>The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.</li>
</ul>


The IPO of Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.
Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.
The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/innolight-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:247130" rel="noopener">Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>We study the 32 HK IPOs of at least US$100m listed in 2Q26, comparing Day 1 and 2W performance with the five prior quarters.</li>
<li>2Q26 had more deals, smaller median deal size, and record subscription demand. Day 1 return reached a six-quarter high, while 2W follow-through weakened.</li>
<li>International-Sponsored deals outperformed domestic-only deals after trailing for three quarters, while the high-retail-subscription debut screen produced negative Day 1 closes for the first time.</li>
</ul>


We study the 32 HK IPOs of at least US$100m listed in 2Q26, comparing Day 1 and 2W performance with the five prior quarters.
2Q26 had more deals, smaller median deal size, and record subscription demand. Day 1 return reached a six-quarter high, while 2W follow-through weakened.
International-Sponsored deals outperformed domestic-only deals after trailing for three quarters, while the high-retail-subscription debut screen produced negative Day 1 closes for the first time.


HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

China

Dajin Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells wind power equipment. The Company produces wind turbine frames, offshore wind turbine frames and infrastructures, thermal boiler island steel structures, and more. Dajin Heavy Industry also provides offshore oil and gas rigs industrial structures.

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Dajin Heavy Industry (1081 HK)

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

We review 32 HK IPOs above US$100m in 2Q26 against the six-quarter history since 1Q25. Record subscription demand met a faster post-debut fade,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

​Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

InnoLight, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion. In this note, I...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

We review 32 HK IPOs above US$100m in 2Q26 against the six-quarter history since 1Q25. Record subscription demand met a faster post-debut fade,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...