HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>APIs, generic drugs, CXO, low-end medical consumables will be hit the most due to tariffs.Investors are advised to be cautious on these subsectors as companies’ performance would be negatively affected. </li>
<li>As the tariff war is heating up, blood products, innovative medical device, innovative drugs, chain pharmacies, innovative medical services, pharmaceutical distribution business could be "safe haven assets" for investors. </li>
<li>The logic behind tariffs is to attack China's effective supply and trigger China's overcapacity problem, thereby weakening effective demand and reducing capital accumulation rate, so as to attack the RMB.</li>
</ul>


APIs, generic drugs, CXO, low-end medical consumables will be hit the most due to tariffs.Investors are advised to be cautious on these subsectors as companies’ performance would be negatively affected. 
As the tariff war is heating up, blood products, innovative medical device, innovative drugs, chain pharmacies, innovative medical services, pharmaceutical distribution business could be "safe haven assets" for investors. 
The logic behind tariffs is to attack China's effective supply and trigger China's overcapacity problem, thereby weakening effective demand and reducing capital accumulation rate, so as to attack the RMB.


The Impact of Trump's Tariffs on China Healthcare - The Victims, And the Safe Haven Assets

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the outflows in 1Q2026 were US$1,441 million and holdings were US$379 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, ZHEJIANG CENTURY HUATONG, Luxshare Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2026 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the outflows in 1Q2026 were US$1,441 million and holdings were US$379 billion.
We highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, ZHEJIANG CENTURY HUATONG, Luxshare Precision.


Northbound Flows (1Q2026): CATL, CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT

<ul>
<li>China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era of integration as the industry growth is slowing down. After JD Health/Alibaba Health enter this industry, the game rule changes. </li>
<li>In the short term, the offline chain pharmacies, JD Health, Alibaba Health, etc. would still have the opportunity to carve up market share under the trend of prescription outflow.</li>
<li>In the long term, it depends on who're the first to establish new omni-channel retail scenarios, because the "new retail" model would comprehensively surpass traditional model from cost to experience.</li>
</ul>


China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era of integration as the industry growth is slowing down. After JD Health/Alibaba Health enter this industry, the game rule changes. 
In the short term, the offline chain pharmacies, JD Health, Alibaba Health, etc. would still have the opportunity to carve up market share under the trend of prescription outflow.
In the long term, it depends on who're the first to establish new omni-channel retail scenarios, because the "new retail" model would comprehensively surpass traditional model from cost to experience.


China Retail Pharmacy Industry - New Game Rule, New Challenges, New Outlook

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The National Health Care Security Administration issued relevant guidance to include designated retail pharmacies in the medical insurance drug supply guarantee scope at the national level. </li>
<li>Last week, news released that the information collection of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) is about to start.</li>
<li>To get a good night's sleep, young people in China are happy to spend money on related products and services.</li>
</ul> Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbour-biomed-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29717:1" rel="noopener">Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 7.58%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The National Health Care Security Administration issued relevant guidance to include designated retail pharmacies in the medical insurance drug supply guarantee scope at the national level. 
Last week, news released that the information collection of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) is about to start.
To get a good night's sleep, young people in China are happy to spend money on related products and services.
 Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of Antengene (6996 HK), Harbour Biomed Holdings Limited (2142 HK), Everest Medicines (1952 HK) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 7.58%, while CSI 300 increased 2.29% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables officially kicked off.</li>
<li>Recently, the National Health Commission issued related document about the long-term prescription management.</li>
<li>In the past three years, the domestic patch-type medical skin repair dressing market has grown rapidly, with a CAGR exceeding 40%.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and sites inspections from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK).</a>Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.89%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.45% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables officially kicked off.
Recently, the National Health Commission issued related document about the long-term prescription management.
In the past three years, the domestic patch-type medical skin repair dressing market has grown rapidly, with a CAGR exceeding 40%.
Company news:News about the updated progress of new drugs and sites inspections from Antengene (6996 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) and Everest Medicines (1952 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 0.89%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.45% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company retails medicine pieces, antibiotics, biochemical, prescription and proprietary drugs, and other products. DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group also provides cosmetic products. DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group serves customers worldwide.

DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group (603233 CH)

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DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group (603233 CH)

The Impact of Trump's Tariffs on China Healthcare - The Victims, And the Safe Haven Assets

As tariff war is heating up, some sectors in China healthcare will be victims, but there will also safe haven assets.The logic behind tariffs is to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows (1Q2026): CATL, CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2026 and highlight flows for CATL, ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, SUZHOU TFC OPTICAL COMMUNICATION.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Retail Pharmacy Industry - New Game Rule, New Challenges, New Outlook

China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era with new game rule.As industry growth is slowing down, which companies are the first to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (May.14)

This article analyzed new guidance on retail pharmacies in the medical insurance, information collection of the 5th national VBP, China's sleep...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.9)

The article analyzed intensive procurement of high-value orthopedic consumables,new policy about long-term prescription management,the patch-type...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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