Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY</li>
<li>Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics</li>
<li>Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines</li>
</ul>


Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY
Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics
Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines


HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

<ul>
<li>Real estate lending growth in Hong Kong remains weak and now at lowest growth rate in the HKMA series since early FY05</li>
<li>Deposits are overwhelming HK's banks with LDR now moving to 55% in April FY25, nearly the lowest on record from HKMA series</li>
<li>Capital flight risk on the HK currency is also more severe than in the past, at any time, with FX reserves at 1.6x , well below past levels</li>
</ul>


Real estate lending growth in Hong Kong remains weak and now at lowest growth rate in the HKMA series since early FY05
Deposits are overwhelming HK's banks with LDR now moving to 55% in April FY25, nearly the lowest on record from HKMA series
Capital flight risk on the HK currency is also more severe than in the past, at any time, with FX reserves at 1.6x , well below past levels


Hong Kong Banks - Weak Property Lending Weakens More, Aggressive LDR Fall, Expect Poor Profit

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the earnings reporting season, our earnings estimate tracker identified 11 robust earnings estimate gainers - with consensus EPS estimates up across 3-month and 6-month time horizons.</li>
<li>Onshore China communications and financials, HK technology, Korean and Singapore financials are the prominent "winner" sectors. Five other ASEAN sectors also figure on the list. </li>
<li>Earlier, in June, we detected 16 "consistent winner" market-sectors. The earnings environment has deteriorated slightly. Of the prominent stocks, Tencent, Hana Financials and DBS Group figure in our Model Portfolio.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the earnings reporting season, our earnings estimate tracker identified 11 robust earnings estimate gainers - with consensus EPS estimates up across 3-month and 6-month time horizons.
Onshore China communications and financials, HK technology, Korean and Singapore financials are the prominent "winner" sectors. Five other ASEAN sectors also figure on the list. 
Earlier, in June, we detected 16 "consistent winner" market-sectors. The earnings environment has deteriorated slightly. Of the prominent stocks, Tencent, Hana Financials and DBS Group figure in our Model Portfolio.


Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul><li>PhillipCapital's Chew maintains 'accumulate' rating for HRnetGroup, target 78 cents.</li><li>RHB maintains DBS as its top banking choice in challenging 2QFY2025.</li><li>DBS raises Yanlord's target price, noting improved debt repayment progress.</li></ul>

PhillipCapital's Chew maintains 'accumulate' rating for HRnetGroup, target 78 cents.RHB maintains DBS as its top banking choice in challenging 2QFY2025.DBS raises Yanlord's target price, noting improved debt repayment progress.

Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup 'accumulate', target 78 cents.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Temasek aims to raise around US$104m via selling nearly half of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ifast-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17798:1" rel="noopener">iFAST (IFAST SP)</a>.</li>
<li>The stock has done exceptionally well over the past few years, however, it is now trading at its all time highs.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Temasek aims to raise around US$104m via selling nearly half of its stake in iFAST (IFAST SP).
The stock has done exceptionally well over the past few years, however, it is now trading at its all time highs.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


IFAST Placement - Great Track Record but the Stock Is Toppish

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

DBS (DBS SP)

HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Dah Sing Financial shows 4x growth YoY in its Macau and China credit costs. This is not clearly visible, or its Overdue Loan migration, in headline...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Banks - Weak Property Lending Weakens More, Aggressive LDR Fall, Expect Poor Profit

Bank of East Asia 1H25 release shows considerable worsening in CRE in Hong Kong and in Mainland China. Its credit metrics in Macau, are also...

Daniel Tabbush

Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup 'accumulate', target 78 cents.

PhillipCapital rates HRnetGroup as 'accumulate' with a target of 78 cents. RHB favors DBS in tough 2QFY2025, while DBS raises Yanlord's target price.

Singapore Market Roundup

IFAST Placement - Great Track Record but the Stock Is Toppish

Temasek aims to raise around US$104m via selling nearly half of its stake in iFAST (IFAST SP). In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Dah Sing Financial shows 4x growth YoY in its Macau and China credit costs. This is not clearly visible, or its Overdue Loan migration, in headline...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Banks - Weak Property Lending Weakens More, Aggressive LDR Fall, Expect Poor Profit

Bank of East Asia 1H25 release shows considerable worsening in CRE in Hong Kong and in Mainland China. Its credit metrics in Macau, are also...

Daniel Tabbush

Asian Equities: Eleven Robust Earnings Gainers Post Reporting Season

​Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Singapore Market Roundup (19-Aug-2025): Chew rates HRnetGroup 'accumulate', target 78 cents.

PhillipCapital rates HRnetGroup as 'accumulate' with a target of 78 cents. RHB favors DBS in tough 2QFY2025, while DBS raises Yanlord's target price.

Singapore Market Roundup

IFAST Placement - Great Track Record but the Stock Is Toppish

Temasek aims to raise around US$104m via selling nearly half of its stake in iFAST (IFAST SP). In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

Eleven sectors show robust earnings estimate gains, with CN communications, HK technology, Korean & SGP financials leading the way. Tencent, Hana...