Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to see a mixed market, and weak market dynamics lead us to be cautious. One of the primary issues is weak breadth; the large-cap indexes (S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq) remain bullish despite being held up by a relatively small number of mega-cap growth stocks, a condition that can persist for weeks or months. Ultimately, as long as there continues to be an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level we remain constructive overall.

We continue to see a mixed market, and weak market dynamics lead us to be cautious. One of the primary issues is weak breadth; the large-cap indexes (S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq) remain bullish despite being held up by a relatively small number of mega-cap growth stocks, a condition that can persist for weeks or months. Ultimately, as long as there continues to be an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level we remain constructive overall.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cautious Overall; Favor Large-Caps & Growth; Key Supports Holding In The U.S.

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their currencies suggest global risk aversion. U.S. equity markets are, by contrast, not showing any significant signs of coming unhinged as a result of this rout in emerging markets.  In this report we examine the factors likely to impact the U.S. equity markets, and explore actionable opportunities within the Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their currencies suggest global risk aversion. U.S. equity markets are, by contrast, not showing any significant signs of coming unhinged as a result of this rout in emerging markets.  In this report we examine the factors likely to impact the U.S. equity markets, and explore actionable opportunities within the Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Remain Leadership - Staples & Utilities Are Strengthening

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.

U.S. Equity Outlook: Sector Themes & Synopsis

United States

Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs and markets footwear and accessories.  The Company offers footwear for men, women and children. Deckers sells its products including accessories such as handbags, headwear, and outerwear, through domestic retailers and international distributors and directly to end-user consumers, through call centers, retail concept stores and retail outlet stores.

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Deckers Outdoor (DECK US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cautious Overall; Favor Large-Caps & Growth; Key Supports Holding In The U.S.

The S&P 500 remains bullish, recently hitting our 4400-4406 target as large-caps remain attractive. As long as support at the 50-day MA and 4257...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Remain Leadership - Staples & Utilities Are Strengthening

Investors continue to prefer the stability of the U.S. relative to emerging markets. The recent declines recorded in emerging markets and their...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector. Charts highlighted: AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Outlook: Sector Themes & Synopsis

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer...

Vermilion Research

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