Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ZTO Express reported another set of weak results after the US close on November 19</li>
<li>Although Q3 unit prices rose slightly, unit costs increased by much more, crushing margins</li>
<li>On both sides of the price-volume tradeoff, ZTO continues to lose profitability | AVOID</li>
</ul>


ZTO Express reported another set of weak results after the US close on November 19
Although Q3 unit prices rose slightly, unit costs increased by much more, crushing margins
On both sides of the price-volume tradeoff, ZTO continues to lose profitability | AVOID


ZTO Express Q325 Results | Revenue, ASPs Both Up Y/Y | But Earnings, Margins Both Down | AVOID

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

<ul><li>In this edition: • Philips | DRRT and Rubicon are the next ones to go to court • SBM Offshore | raises FY25 directional EBITDA guidance • PostNL | consortium of Business Post and Spotta has an appetite for the UPD • Triodos Bank | not liable towards DR holders represented by Stichting Triodos Tragedie • E-commerce & Logistics | EU plans to accelerate imposing levy on low-value parcels • Dutch politics | Hans Wijers and Sybrand Buma nominated to lead D66/CDA talks</li></ul>

In this edition: • Philips | DRRT and Rubicon are the next ones to go to court • SBM Offshore | raises FY25 directional EBITDA guidance • PostNL | consortium of Business Post and Spotta has an appetite for the UPD • Triodos Bank | not liable towards DR holders represented by Stichting Triodos Tragedie • E-commerce & Logistics | EU plans to accelerate imposing levy on low-value parcels • Dutch politics | Hans Wijers and Sybrand Buma nominated to lead D66/CDA talks

Triodos Bank N.V. - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In today's edition: • Ahold Delhaize | holding on to our neutral stance despite solid 3Q25 results • KPN | post investor update event comment • Unilever/The MICC | conflict with Ben & Jerry's flares up ahead of IPO • Wolters Kluwer | good growth acceleration in 3Q25; new buyback announced • AMG Critical Materials | upward revision of FY25 adjusted EBITDA outlook solely due to antimony (and not lithium) • BAM Group | reiterates to deliver adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 5% • CM.com | receives offer of EUR 5.16 per share from Bird • ForFarmers | 3Q25: impressive example of cost management (and more) • DHL | 3Q25: clear beat of consensus; reiterates FY25 guidance • bpostgroup | post earnings call comment • E-commerce & Logistics | French authorities attempting to block Shein website in France</li></ul>

In today's edition: • Ahold Delhaize | holding on to our neutral stance despite solid 3Q25 results • KPN | post investor update event comment • Unilever/The MICC | conflict with Ben & Jerry's flares up ahead of IPO • Wolters Kluwer | good growth acceleration in 3Q25; new buyback announced • AMG Critical Materials | upward revision of FY25 adjusted EBITDA outlook solely due to antimony (and not lithium) • BAM Group | reiterates to deliver adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 5% • CM.com | receives offer of EUR 5.16 per share from Bird • ForFarmers | 3Q25: impressive example of cost management (and more) • DHL | 3Q25: clear beat of consensus; reiterates FY25 guidance • bpostgroup | post earnings call comment • E-commerce & Logistics | French authorities attempting to block Shein website in France

<ul><li>In this edition: • Adyen | strong net revenue growth and take rate, both ahead of expectations • ASM International | clearly better than expected 25Q3 results, however, order intake well below consensus • InPost | High Court to rule on legal ownership dispute regarding Yodel • Philips | received warning letter from FDA after inspection at three facilities • Corbion | solid 25Q3 results – reiterates FY25 outlook guidance • PostNL/DHL/InPost | reliability of parcel delivery in the Netherlands is deteriorating • Dutch banking sector | Argenta believed to be interested in buying NIBC • Dutch General Elections | polls are predicting a close finish</li></ul>

In this edition: • Adyen | strong net revenue growth and take rate, both ahead of expectations • ASM International | clearly better than expected 25Q3 results, however, order intake well below consensus • InPost | High Court to rule on legal ownership dispute regarding Yodel • Philips | received warning letter from FDA after inspection at three facilities • Corbion | solid 25Q3 results – reiterates FY25 outlook guidance • PostNL/DHL/InPost | reliability of parcel delivery in the Netherlands is deteriorating • Dutch banking sector | Argenta believed to be interested in buying NIBC • Dutch General Elections | polls are predicting a close finish

ASM International NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • CM.com | despite record high EBITDA, marked downward FY25 outlook adjustment • bpost | expands bbox network with 240 Lockers at Lidl Supermarkets • Dutch politics | coalition of financial organizations speaks out against tax on share buybacks</li></ul>

In this edition: • CM.com | despite record high EBITDA, marked downward FY25 outlook adjustment • bpost | expands bbox network with 240 Lockers at Lidl Supermarkets • Dutch politics | coalition of financial organizations speaks out against tax on share buybacks

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 21 October (CM.com | bpostgroup | Dutch politics)

Germany

Deutsche Post AG provides mail delivery and other services to the public and businesses. The Company offers domestic mail delivery, international parcel and mail delivery services, and freight delivery and logistics services.

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Deutsche Post (DHL GR)

ZTO Express Q325 Results | Revenue, ASPs Both Up Y/Y | But Earnings, Margins Both Down | AVOID

ZTO reported another weak set of results on Wednesday, as margins collapsed in Q3 despite modest pricing improvement. Oh, and management cut volume...

Tracking Traffic

Triodos Bank N.V. - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Philips | DRRT and Rubicon are the next ones to go to court • SBM Offshore | raises FY25 directional EBITDA guidance • PostNL |...

The IDEA!

bpost SA - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In today's edition: • Ahold Delhaize | holding on to our neutral stance despite solid 3Q25 results • KPN | post investor update event...

The IDEA!

ASM International NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Adyen | strong net revenue growth and take rate, both ahead of expectations • ASM International | clearly better than expected...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 21 October (CM.com | bpostgroup | Dutch politics)

In this edition: • CM.com | despite record high EBITDA, marked downward FY25 outlook adjustment • bpost | expands bbox network with 240 Lockers at...

The IDEA!

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