Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell | faces allegations of misleading UK Courts regarding Niger Delta pollution litigation • E-com & Logistics | Canada Post and China’s Chunghwa Post suspend parcel deliveries to EU • Corporate agenda | week 28 - 32</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell | faces allegations of misleading UK Courts regarding Niger Delta pollution litigation • E-com & Logistics | Canada Post and China’s Chunghwa Post suspend parcel deliveries to EU • Corporate agenda | week 28 - 32

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank • E-commerce & Logistics | Netherlands aligns EU-China parcel tax with Brussels approach</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank • E-commerce & Logistics | Netherlands aligns EU-China parcel tax with Brussels approach

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 15 June (ASML Holding | ING Group | E-commerce & logistics)

<ul><li>In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding decisions • Sligro Food Group | Dutch household consumption up 1.0% YoY in April • Dutch banking sector | ASN Bank will remain state-owned for at least another year • Bnode | bpost enters partnership with Colruyt Group to accelerate APM expansion • DHL | FedEx and China Southern Air Logistics sign MoU</li></ul>

In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding decisions • Sligro Food Group | Dutch household consumption up 1.0% YoY in April • Dutch banking sector | ASN Bank will remain state-owned for at least another year • Bnode | bpost enters partnership with Colruyt Group to accelerate APM expansion • DHL | FedEx and China Southern Air Logistics sign MoU

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<p>Despite EAFE’s YTD outperformance relative to EM, EAFE and EM returns have generally been equal since August, shown by the stalemate in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. The U.S. dollar (DXY) is currently trading near support within the 16-17 month uptrend channel. Technicals suggest the most likely scenario is for the DXY uptrend to continue and for support to hold -- which would likely result in EAFE reasserting as leadership.  In this publication we highlight attractive investment themes and individual ideas across developed markets, with special attention given to Japan, Germany, Sweden, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland.</p>

Despite EAFE’s YTD outperformance relative to EM, EAFE and EM returns have generally been equal since August, shown by the stalemate in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. The U.S. dollar (DXY) is currently trading near support within the 16-17 month uptrend channel. Technicals suggest the most likely scenario is for the DXY uptrend to continue and for support to hold -- which would likely result in EAFE reasserting as leadership.  In this publication we highlight attractive investment themes and individual ideas across developed markets, with special attention given to Japan, Germany, Sweden, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland.

Developed Markets Strategy: Stick with Japan

Germany

Deutsche Post AG provides mail delivery and other services to the public and businesses. The Company offers domestic mail delivery, international parcel and mail delivery services, and freight delivery and logistics services.

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Deutsche Post (DHL GR)

Arcadis NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc...

The IDEA!

Shell PLC - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASM Int’l / KPN | Mr. Chris Figee to succeed Mr. Paul Verhangen as CFO • ING | acquired a 40% stake in Singular Bank • Shell |...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 15 June (ASML Holding | ING Group | E-commerce & logistics)

In this edition: • ASML Holding | Mistral in talks to raise at EUR 20bn valuation • ING Group | reduces its stake in TMBThanachart Bank...

The IDEA!

bpost SA - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ING | rolls out global subscription banking model • Arcadis | launches PRICE framework for better adaptation investment funding...

The IDEA!

Developed Markets Strategy: Stick with Japan

Despite EAFE’s YTD outperformance relative to EM, EAFE and EM returns have generally been equal since August, shown by the stalemate in the EAFE...

Vermilion Research

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