External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Infoedge: Infoedge reported a decent quarter with better-than-expected revenue, billings, and margin performance in a challenging environment</li><li>The core recruitment segment billing was flat YoY (-4% YoY in Q1) due to the continued slowdown in IT hiring (~60% of recruitment), offset by traction in non-IT sectors like BFSI, travel, auto, construction, etc</li><li>Recruitment billings have witnessed two strong years of &gt;30% YoY growth, which is slowing down in FY24E due to the base effect and lower hiring activity</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Infoedge: Infoedge reported a decent quarter with better-than-expected revenue, billings, and margin performance in a challenging environmentThe core recruitment segment billing was flat YoY (-4% YoY in Q1) due to the continued slowdown in IT hiring (~60% of recruitment), offset by traction in non-IT sectors like BFSI, travel, auto, construction, etcRecruitment billings have witnessed two strong years of &gt;30% YoY growth, which is slowing down in FY24E due to the base effect and lower hiring activityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Infoedge, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, JK Cement

<ul><li>Demand weakness persists: Over the past few quarters, our QSR universe has seen sustained demand deceleration</li><li>Demand normalisation and deteriorating consumer sentiment caused SSSG to turn from flat to negative</li><li>We expect a further slowdown in growth metrics (SSSG, ADS, etc.) in Q2FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand weakness persists: Over the past few quarters, our QSR universe has seen sustained demand decelerationDemand normalisation and deteriorating consumer sentiment caused SSSG to turn from flat to negativeWe expect a further slowdown in growth metrics (SSSG, ADS, etc.) in Q2FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

QSR (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Weakness in demand,margins to persist

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)</li><li>This was driven mainly by strong pre-buy for CPCB 2 gensets</li><li>The deadline for the sale of these gensets has been extended until Jul’24 (an extension of six months)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)This was driven mainly by strong pre-buy for CPCB 2 gensetsThe deadline for the sale of these gensets has been extended until Jul’24 (an extension of six months)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Devyani International, Radico Khaitan

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barbeque-nation-hospitality-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28868:1" rel="noopener">Barbeque Nation Hospitality (BARBEQUE IN)</a> has a strong operating model, well-regarded management, and a good dining experience, resonating well with non-vegetarian and corporate customers.</li>
<li>Current consumer trends show increased spending in the restaurant business, driven by social pressure to showcase lifestyles on platforms like Instagram.</li>
<li>ONDC has potential as a platform but faces challenges in scaling up due to infrastructure and delivery integration issues.</li>
</ul>



Barbeque Nation Hospitality (BARBEQUE IN) has a strong operating model, well-regarded management, and a good dining experience, resonating well with non-vegetarian and corporate customers.
Current consumer trends show increased spending in the restaurant business, driven by social pressure to showcase lifestyles on platforms like Instagram.
ONDC has potential as a platform but faces challenges in scaling up due to infrastructure and delivery integration issues.


Trends in Casual Dining, Quick Service and Online Food Delivery

India

Devyani International is one of India's largest and fastest-growing Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) operators, functioning as the largest franchisee for Yum! Brands, operating KFC and Pizza Hut outlets, and the exclusive franchisee for Costa Coffee in India. The company also develops its own brands, including Vaango and The Food Street. Devyani International was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Gurugram, Haryana, India.

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Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Infoedge, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, JK Cement

Infoedge reported a decent quarter with better-than-expected revenue, billings, and margin performance in a challenging environment

HDFC Securities

QSR (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Weakness in demand,margins to persist

Demand normalisation and deteriorating consumer sentiment caused SSSG to turn from flat to negative. We expect a further slowdown in growth metrics...

HDFC Securities

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Devyani International, Radico Khaitan

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) recorded the highest-ever revenue of INR 22b (+31%/+15% YoY/QoQ, in line with our estimate)

HDFC Securities

Trends in Casual Dining, Quick Service and Online Food Delivery

Consumer trends: Rising spending, influenced by social pressure and online presence. ONDC: Promising platform, facing scaling challenges with...

Pranav Bhavsar

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