Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia / Event-Driven

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)

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<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a></strong> is currently trading at a ~9% discount to NAV, around the narrowest since the post-Covid nadir in April 2020.</li>
<li>JCNC's recent results highlighted a marked improvement in its unlisted Vietnamese automotive ops. </li>
<li>Weakness in the Indonesian rupiah has taken some of the shine off <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a></strong>'s strong sales growth. </li>
</ul>



Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is currently trading at a ~9% discount to NAV, around the narrowest since the post-Covid nadir in April 2020.
JCNC's recent results highlighted a marked improvement in its unlisted Vietnamese automotive ops. 
Weakness in the Indonesian rupiah has taken some of the shine off Astra International (ASII IJ)'s strong sales growth. 


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<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a></strong> (JMH) has shed ~8% since MSCI said it was cutting the conglomerate's weighing in two indices.</li>
<li>The reweighting follows the cancellation of the 59% shareholding in JMH held by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a></strong>, which was privatised last year.</li>
<li>I see the discount to NAV at ~40%, right at the 12-month -2 STD level. JMH bought back ~149mn shares in the 1Q22, paying ~US$59/share, 17% above the current price.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) (JMH) has shed ~8% since MSCI said it was cutting the conglomerate's weighing in two indices.
The reweighting follows the cancellation of the 59% shareholding in JMH held by Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP), which was privatised last year.
I see the discount to NAV at ~40%, right at the 12-month -2 STD level. JMH bought back ~149mn shares in the 1Q22, paying ~US$59/share, 17% above the current price.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</strong></a>'s underlying net profit in FY21 was up 39% against 2020, and just 5% shy of 2019's level.</li>
<li>The latest US$250mn buyback program appears to have been completed.</li>
<li>Shares are down ~5% since the FY21 results. At a ~28% discount to NAV, JMH is inexpensive here. </li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)'s underlying net profit in FY21 was up 39% against 2020, and just 5% shy of 2019's level.
The latest US$250mn buyback program appears to have been completed.
Shares are down ~5% since the FY21 results. At a ~28% discount to NAV, JMH is inexpensive here. 


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Reloading The Buyback?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> has <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/JMH.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=693661" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it intends to increase the amount of its share buyback programme announced on 30th September 2021 by US$250mn to US$500mn.</li>
<li>JMH has already acquired close to US$250mn of shares under the initial buyback. All shares repurchases will be canceled.</li>
<li>Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a> is now underway in the Supreme Court of Bermuda.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) has announced it intends to increase the amount of its share buyback programme announced on 30th September 2021 by US$250mn to US$500mn.
JMH has already acquired close to US$250mn of shares under the initial buyback. All shares repurchases will be canceled.
Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP) is now underway in the Supreme Court of Bermuda.


Matheson Doubles Buybacks As Strategic Dissentient Shareholders Make Their Case

Equity Bottom-Up

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<p>On the 6th September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a> <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/HKLH0906.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=682657" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a US$500mn share buyback program, which will run until 31st December 2022. Based on the average daily volume over the last year of US$9-10mn, this buyback is roughly equivalent to ~15% of daily volume through to 2022 year-end. Pretty punchy.</p>
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<p>In <em><a href="https://skr.ma/aFS5q" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land's (HKL SP) Big Buyback</a></em>, I said the Jardine's group evidently believes it makes good business sense to buy back its own shares in place of deploying capital into HKL's investment and development property portfolio.</p>
<p>Now it's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>'s turn to buy back its own shares. </p>
<p>Yesterday the conglomerate <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/JMH.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=685150" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a US$250mn buyback which will run through to 30 June next year.</p>
<p>As with HKL, the holding of treasury shares is not permitted in JMH's constitution, therefore any shares repurchased will be cancelled.</p>
<p>I see JMH's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its lowest level since taking <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a> private.</p>
<p>We now have some indication as to what the Keswick family considers a cheap entry-level. </p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
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On the 6th September, Hongkong Land (HKL SP) announced a US$500mn share buyback program, which will run until 31st December 2022. Based on the average daily volume over the last year of US$9-10mn, this buyback is roughly equivalent to ~15% of daily volume through to 2022 year-end. Pretty punchy.


In Hongkong Land's (HKL SP) Big Buyback, I said the Jardine's group evidently believes it makes good business sense to buy back its own shares in place of deploying capital into HKL's investment and development property portfolio.
Now it's Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)'s turn to buy back its own shares. 
Yesterday the conglomerate announced a US$250mn buyback which will run through to 30 June next year.
As with HKL, the holding of treasury shares is not permitted in JMH's constitution, therefore any shares repurchased will be cancelled.
I see JMH's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its lowest level since taking Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP) private.
We now have some indication as to what the Keswick family considers a cheap entry-level. 
More below the fold.






Jardine Matheson's (JM SP) Turn To Buy Back Shares

Hong Kong

DFI Retail Group is a leading pan-Asian retailer operating supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, health and beauty stores, home furnishings stores, and restaurants. The company manages a portfolio of well-known brands including Wellcome, 7-Eleven, Mannings, Guardian, and IKEA. DFI Retail Group was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.

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DFI Retail Group (DFI SP)

JCNC Is Overstretched Vs. Astra

If you had set up the stub, I would be unwinding here. I'd look to reverse the stub as and when the current momentum reverses.

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): MSCI Blues

Given JMH's strong underlying operating performance, the 40% discount to NAV - one in which there are discounts of discounts, JMH is attractive...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Reloading The Buyback?

Given JMH's strong underlying performance and discount to NAV, another round of buybacks is feasible. Especially given management was consistently...

David Blennerhassett

Matheson Doubles Buybacks As Strategic Dissentient Shareholders Make Their Case

Matheson has announced it intends to increase the amount of its share buyback programme by US$250mn to US$500mn. Court proceedings for Strategic...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson's (JM SP) Turn To Buy Back Shares

The Keswick's believe at current levels, there is better value to be had buying its own shares rather than investing elsewhere. As with HKL, JMH is...

David Blennerhassett

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