Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>K200 ad hoc change announcement date should be March 30 as the buyback ends on March 28, and rebalancing trading should occur on March 31.</li>
<li>From a juice-level perspective, the entry point and timing for JB Financial showed much better performance from EGM approval rather than the announcement.</li>
<li>We should consider gradually building up positions from this point until March 30 announcement or one day after (T-1 effective) while utilizing Kodex Banks ETF to hedge our long positions.</li>
</ul>


K200 ad hoc change announcement date should be March 30 as the buyback ends on March 28, and rebalancing trading should occur on March 31.
From a juice-level perspective, the entry point and timing for JB Financial showed much better performance from EGM approval rather than the announcement.
We should consider gradually building up positions from this point until March 30 announcement or one day after (T-1 effective) while utilizing Kodex Banks ETF to hedge our long positions.


Meritz Merger Approved: Let's Now Discuss Key Dates & Entry Points For LONG DGB Financial

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-greenfood-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19560:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Greenfood (005440 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 April.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dgb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6138:1" rel="noopener">DGB Financial Group (139130 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities (008560 KS)</a> in early April.</li>
<li>Then we expect another 3 changes at the regular rebalance in June. The potential adds have moved sharply higher recently and there are flows from other index trackers too.</li>
</ul>



Samyang Foods (003230 KS) will replace Hyundai Greenfood (005440 KS) in the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the close on 12 April.
We expect DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) will replace Meritz Securities (008560 KS) in early April.
Then we expect another 3 changes at the regular rebalance in June. The potential adds have moved sharply higher recently and there are flows from other index trackers too.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in April & June

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We discuss potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023. With regards to the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance, we like the following long-short trading strategy.</li>
<li>We would short a basket of potential exclusions from KOSPI 200 rebalance which would include the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index (10 stocks).</li>
<li>We would go long a basket of potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance which include four stocks including Dentium, Jeju Air, Samyang Foods, and DGB Financial. </li>
</ul>


We discuss potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023. With regards to the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance, we like the following long-short trading strategy.
We would short a basket of potential exclusions from KOSPI 200 rebalance which would include the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index (10 stocks).
We would go long a basket of potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance which include four stocks including Dentium, Jeju Air, Samyang Foods, and DGB Financial. 


Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSPI 200 Rebalance in May 2023

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the five most aggressive corporate activist firms that have been moving the Korean equity market in the past year.</li>
<li>They include Align Partners Capital Management, KCGI, Flashlight Capital Partners, Truston, and LIFE Asset Management.</li>
<li>Share prices of 15 companies that the corporate activist firms have invested in Korea are up on average 9.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 7.1% in the same period.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the five most aggressive corporate activist firms that have been moving the Korean equity market in the past year.
They include Align Partners Capital Management, KCGI, Flashlight Capital Partners, Truston, and LIFE Asset Management.
Share prices of 15 companies that the corporate activist firms have invested in Korea are up on average 9.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 7.1% in the same period.


Five Most Aggressive Corporate Activists Moving the Korean Market: Align, KCGI, FCP, Truston, & LIFE

<ul>
<li>With JB Financial Group gone for Meritz Fire, the next one in line will enter KOSPI 200 in place of Meritz Securities. And the lucky one is DGB Financial.</li>
<li>DGB can expect an inflow of 8.23x ADTV and will face a 2.8x ADTV in one day on March 31.</li>
<li>Given the size of the preemptive flow that JB Financial is currently attracting, we should prepare for DBG to start receiving a similar level of price impact earlier than usual.</li>
</ul>


With JB Financial Group gone for Meritz Fire, the next one in line will enter KOSPI 200 in place of Meritz Securities. And the lucky one is DGB Financial.
DGB can expect an inflow of 8.23x ADTV and will face a 2.8x ADTV in one day on March 31.
Given the size of the preemptive flow that JB Financial is currently attracting, we should prepare for DBG to start receiving a similar level of price impact earlier than usual.


KOSPI 200 Ad Hoc Rebalance for Meritz Securities: DGB Financial Will Be Added

South Korea

DGB Financial Group Inc., a financial holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.  The Company operates and controls its financial subsidiaries such as Daegu Bank, Daegu Credit Information, and DBG Capital.

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DGB Financial Group (139130 KS)

Meritz Merger Approved: Let's Now Discuss Key Dates & Entry Points For LONG DGB Financial

Entry points and key dates for long positions in DGB Financial following KOSPI 200 ad hoc change due to the Meritz merger

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in April & June

There will be 2 changes to the index in April and then another 3 in June. Flows are significant on some stocks. The adds have all moved higher in...

Brian Freitas

Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSPI 200 Rebalance in May 2023

We discuss potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023. We also discuss a long-short trading strategy...

Douglas Kim

Five Most Aggressive Corporate Activists Moving the Korean Market: Align, KCGI, FCP, Truston, & LIFE

In this insight, we discuss the five most aggressive corporate activist firms that have been moving the Korean equity market in the past year.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Ad Hoc Rebalance for Meritz Securities: DGB Financial Will Be Added

This post details the upcoming ad hoc rebalancing of KOSPI 200 for the departure of Meritz Securities. The replacement will be DGB Financial, which...

Sanghyun Park

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