Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener">The DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> share price has slipped from a peak of 65 Pesos on June 17th to under 30 Pesos/share as gaming restriction proposals dampen sentiment.  </li>
<li>The bill proposed by Senator Gatchalian prohibits e-wallets, imposes high minimum cash-ins, and stricter advertising regulations. In addition, the Finance department is proposing a tax on online gaming. </li>
<li>The stock now trades at 8.3x PE FY25e. The company has announced a buyback of 6 billion pesos (5% of outstanding shares on current market capitalization). </li>
</ul>



The DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) share price has slipped from a peak of 65 Pesos on June 17th to under 30 Pesos/share as gaming restriction proposals dampen sentiment.  
The bill proposed by Senator Gatchalian prohibits e-wallets, imposes high minimum cash-ins, and stricter advertising regulations. In addition, the Finance department is proposing a tax on online gaming. 
The stock now trades at 8.3x PE FY25e. The company has announced a buyback of 6 billion pesos (5% of outstanding shares on current market capitalization). 


DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM): Six Billion Peso Buy Back To Counter Negative News

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> reported robust Q1 FY25 results, driven by an increase in MAUs to 7.5 million (6.5 in Q4). The company maintained its market share at ~45%.</li>
<li>Net margins expanded 200 bps QoQ (to 18.2%), as the company benefited from a 500 bps reduction in its share of GGR to PAGCOR. </li>
<li>The stock has increased by &gt;400% since January 2024, but it trades at 14.1x FY25 PE, with growth catalysts from the Philippines and Brazil expected in the future. </li>
</ul>



DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) reported robust Q1 FY25 results, driven by an increase in MAUs to 7.5 million (6.5 in Q4). The company maintained its market share at ~45%.
Net margins expanded 200 bps QoQ (to 18.2%), as the company benefited from a 500 bps reduction in its share of GGR to PAGCOR. 
The stock has increased by &gt;400% since January 2024, but it trades at 14.1x FY25 PE, with growth catalysts from the Philippines and Brazil expected in the future. 


DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM): Galloping Away Into A Strong Q2 FY25

<ul>
<li>PAGCOR forecasts a strong FY25 industry GGR of 450 bn pesos (20% YoY), of which the share of bingo/casino games is expected to be 50% (~225 bn pesos).</li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a>  maintains a share of 45% (vs last year's 47%), revenue will increase by 33% to 100 bn pesos. </li>
<li>With the recent correction due to the current geopolitical situation, the stock trades at 12.2x/9.5x FY24/FY25e, 35% ROCE, with multiple catalysts, e.g, a great Q1FY25 and expansion in Brazil.</li>
</ul>


PAGCOR forecasts a strong FY25 industry GGR of 450 bn pesos (20% YoY), of which the share of bingo/casino games is expected to be 50% (~225 bn pesos).
If DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)  maintains a share of 45% (vs last year's 47%), revenue will increase by 33% to 100 bn pesos. 
With the recent correction due to the current geopolitical situation, the stock trades at 12.2x/9.5x FY24/FY25e, 35% ROCE, with multiple catalysts, e.g, a great Q1FY25 and expansion in Brazil.


DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM): Gleanings From the Annual Report FY24 and Management Meeting

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> complete, there could be one change for the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> in the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.</li>
</ul>


With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) complete, there could be one change for the index.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) should replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) in the index. Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

<ul>
<li>We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.</li>
<li>We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% year-over-year, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.</li>
<li>With the Q1 earnings season on, we update our readers on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shakey-s-pizza-asia-ventures" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23706:1" rel="noopener">Shakey's Pizza (PIZZA PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a>, and more. </li>
</ul>


We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.
We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% year-over-year, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.
With the Q1 earnings season on, we update our readers on DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM), Shakey's Pizza (PIZZA PM), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), and more. 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - May 2025

Philippines

DigiPlus Interactive Corp. provides gaming and leisure facilities. The Company offers multi-gaming platforms, numerous products, and games with a strong distribution network of entertainment facilities in neighborhood sites. DigiPlus Interactive serves customers in the Philippines.

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DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)