Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nvidia–OpenAI tie-up: A US$100bn LOI to deploy 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the unprecedented scale of AI compute build-out, anchored in Asia’s memory, packaging, substrate, and testing ecosystem.</li>
<li>SK hynix (HBM leader, backlog sold out to 2027), TSMC (CoWoS packaging), Ibiden/Ajinomoto (substrates), and Advantest/TEL/Disco (test/tools) are positioned as key winners.</li>
<li>While the deal confirms multi-year order visibility, much of the “good news” may be priced in — execution of capacity ramps and sustained demand will determine further upside.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia–OpenAI tie-up: A US$100bn LOI to deploy 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the unprecedented scale of AI compute build-out, anchored in Asia’s memory, packaging, substrate, and testing ecosystem.
SK hynix (HBM leader, backlog sold out to 2027), TSMC (CoWoS packaging), Ibiden/Ajinomoto (substrates), and Advantest/TEL/Disco (test/tools) are positioned as key winners.
While the deal confirms multi-year order visibility, much of the “good news” may be priced in — execution of capacity ramps and sustained demand will determine further upside.


Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Technology stocks led gains with Tokyo Electron (+20%) and Resonac (+19%) driven by Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations.</li>
<li>Bank of Japan surprised markets by announcing ETF sales while maintaining rates, intensifying October rate hike speculation and triggering profit-taking.</li>
<li>Mixed economic data showed fourth consecutive month of export declines, but core inflation eased to 2.7%, lowest since November 2024.</li>
</ul>


Technology stocks led gains with Tokyo Electron (+20%) and Resonac (+19%) driven by Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations.
Bank of Japan surprised markets by announcing ETF sales while maintaining rates, intensifying October rate hike speculation and triggering profit-taking.
Mixed economic data showed fourth consecutive month of export declines, but core inflation eased to 2.7%, lowest since November 2024.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.</li>
<li>Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.</li>
<li>Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.</li>
</ul>


Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.
Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.
Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

<ul>
<li>Trump's Miram quick to show how dovish a republican picked committee could look.</li>
<li>Quantum names surged higher with D-Wave touting successes in Japan.</li>
<li>Kokusai Elec now +36% in a week as the market finally sees the NAND connection with flash memory pricing to remain tight through 2026.</li>
</ul>


Trump's Miram quick to show how dovish a republican picked committee could look.
Quantum names surged higher with D-Wave touting successes in Japan.
Kokusai Elec now +36% in a week as the market finally sees the NAND connection with flash memory pricing to remain tight through 2026.


Japan Morning Connection: Fed Cuts 25 Bps as Expected, Markets Finish Largely Unchanged

<ul>
<li>Memory continues higher with WD announcing price hikes due to extreme demand.</li>
<li>More and more chatter about high-bandwidth-flash as the next-gen memory for AI.</li>
<li>China launching anti-dumping measures against analog IC's keeping power-names down.</li>
</ul>


Memory continues higher with WD announcing price hikes due to extreme demand.
More and more chatter about high-bandwidth-flash as the next-gen memory for AI.
China launching anti-dumping measures against analog IC's keeping power-names down.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Juggernaut Continues with No Signs of a Slowdown

Japan

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

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DISCO Corp (6146 JP)

Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications

Nvidia's $100bn LOI with OpenAI for 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the massive AI compute build-out in Asia, benefiting key players like SK...

Rahul Jain

Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

NVDA taking a stake in Intel to allow codevelopment of chips sent INTC rocketing higher, a positive for Shin Etsu as Intel's largest wafer...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Fed Cuts 25 Bps as Expected, Markets Finish Largely Unchanged

Positive news sent Quantum computing names surging higher. NVDA dropped on news that Chinese Govt is encouraging companies towards Chinese made AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Juggernaut Continues with No Signs of a Slowdown

Market expecting Elon Musk to have something up his sleeve after buying 1bl worth of Tesla Stock. New catalysts for AI memory may oush NAND names...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications

​Nvidia's $100bn LOI with OpenAI for 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the massive AI compute build-out in Asia, benefiting key players like SK...

Rahul Jain

Japan Strategy Weekly | Tech Surges on Intel News While BOJ Policy Shift Sparks Volatility

​Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

NVDA taking a stake in Intel to allow codevelopment of chips sent INTC rocketing higher, a positive for Shin Etsu as Intel's largest wafer...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Fed Cuts 25 Bps as Expected, Markets Finish Largely Unchanged

Positive news sent Quantum computing names surging higher. NVDA dropped on news that Chinese Govt is encouraging companies towards Chinese made AI...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Juggernaut Continues with No Signs of a Slowdown

Market expecting Elon Musk to have something up his sleeve after buying 1bl worth of Tesla Stock. New catalysts for AI memory may oush NAND names...

Andrew Jackson

Nvidia's $100bn LOI with OpenAI for 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the massive AI compute build-out in Asia, benefiting key players like SK...

Technology stocks surged on Intel investment news and semiconductor demand recovery expectations, while Bank of Japan's ETF sales announcement...