Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.</li>
<li>We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.</li>
</ul>


The theme we have seen over the past four weeks is an increasing number of indexes reversing 4-10-month downtrends and/or breaking above important resistance levels, with no failed breakouts.
We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but the real test will come during the eventual pullback, which we believe we are now experiencing.
We are watching to see whether these breakout levels and important moving averages (e.g., 50-day MAs) will hold.


Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Juniper Green Energy Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/juniper-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45455:1" rel="noopener">Juniper Green Energy Ltd (1831458D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$187m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of over US$310m.</li>
<li>Juniper Green Energy Limited (JGEL) is an independent power producer (IPP) engaged in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of utility-scale renewable energy projects.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.</li>
</ul>



Juniper Green Energy Ltd (1831458D IN) is looking to raise about US$187m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of over US$310m.
Juniper Green Energy Limited (JGEL) is an independent power producer (IPP) engaged in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of utility-scale renewable energy projects.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.


Aequitas: Juniper Green Energy IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-mim-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45956:1" rel="noopener">Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m.</li>
<li>IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.</li>
</ul>



Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN) is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m.
IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.


Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

<p>Our neutral and cautious outlook continues to be reinforced by market dynamics that have generally deteriorated over the past week. RS improvement for defensives (Utilities, Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care) continues to make these Sectors attractive. Meanwhile, not one MSCI ACWI Sector is breaking down, and important price support levels are holding in the US, Europe, and Japan. Until supports start to break we cannot be bearish, though we would not be surprised to see ~5% downside with potential for more.</p>

Our neutral and cautious outlook continues to be reinforced by market dynamics that have generally deteriorated over the past week. RS improvement for defensives (Utilities, Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care) continues to make these Sectors attractive. Meanwhile, not one MSCI ACWI Sector is breaking down, and important price support levels are holding in the US, Europe, and Japan. Until supports start to break we cannot be bearish, though we would not be surprised to see ~5% downside with potential for more.

Crude Oil and Copper Breakdowns Reinforce Our Concerns; Defensive Sectors Remain Attractive

Bharat Coking Coal Limited (BCCL) / Equity Capital Markets

Bharat Coking Coal Limited (BCCL) (7535956Z IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-coking-coal-limited-bccl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45272:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Coking Coal Limited (BCCL) (7535956Z IN)</a> raised about US$119m in its India IPO in Jan 2026. The lockup on its promoter, Coal India is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>BCCL is a Coal India subsidiary engaged in mining of coking coal, producing grades of coking coal, non-coking coal, and washed coal, primarily for use in steel and power sectors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Bharat Coking Coal Limited (BCCL) (7535956Z IN) raised about US$119m in its India IPO in Jan 2026. The lockup on its promoter, Coal India is set to expire soon.
BCCL is a Coal India subsidiary engaged in mining of coking coal, producing grades of coking coal, non-coking coal, and washed coal, primarily for use in steel and power sectors.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Bharat Coking Coal Ltd IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn Lockup Release; Near-Term Selldown Unlikely

India

Avenue Supermarts Limited, operating as D-Mart, is an Indian retail corporation that runs a chain of hypermarkets and supermarkets. The company offers a wide range of basic home and personal products, including food, groceries, toiletries, beauty products, garments, kitchenware, and home appliances. Avenue Supermarts was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

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Avenue Supermarts (DMART IN)

Japan Among the Latest to Break Out; Buy Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals and Consumer Staples

Japan is the latest major country to break out, and we are buyers. Japan continues to be considerably further along in the bottoming process...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Juniper Green Energy IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Juniper Green Energy is looking to raise about US$187m in its downsized India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and implied...

Akshat Shah

Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Indo-MIM Ltd (IML) is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO, downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

Crude Oil and Copper Breakdowns Reinforce Our Concerns; Defensive Sectors Remain Attractive

Our cautious outlook is reinforced by ongoing developments. Relative strength improvement for defensives (Utilities, Staples, Real Estate, Health...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Bharat Coking Coal Ltd IPO Lockup - US$1.3bn Lockup Release; Near-Term Selldown Unlikely

Bharat Coking Coal Ltd (BCCL) raised about US$119m in its India IPO in Jan 2026. The lockup on its promoter, Coal India is set to expire soon.

Akshat Shah

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