Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Semirara Mining And Power Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over a month to go in the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>, we expect one potential change. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a> is a potential deletion. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> has a higher inclusion probability as compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive funds will need to trade quite a few days of ADV on the stocks. Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last leg of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With just over a month to go in the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX), we expect one potential change. 

Security Bank (SECB PM) is a potential deletion. Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) has a higher inclusion probability as compared to UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM). 
Passive funds will need to trade quite a few days of ADV on the stocks. Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last leg of the review period.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Aug 22: One Set of Potential Changes

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 75% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 64%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join the fray
Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 75% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 64%


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-retail-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10598:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP)</a>.</li>
<li>There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador Inc (EMP PM)</a> has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.</li>
</ul>



Emperador Inc (EMP PM) and Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM) will replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) and Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) in the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP).
There will be a lot to trade from passive funds. Implementation will take place at the close on 11 February - there are only 5 days to go.

Emperador Inc (EMP PM) has rallied over the last month while the deletions have traded lower. As re-opening plays, the passive selling could provide an opportunity to buy the deletes.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

<ul>
<li>We see three potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> at the February rebalance. Two are higher probability changes, while one has a lower probability.</li>
<li>Typically, the inclusions rally and the deletions drop between announcement and implementation with a big jump immediately post announcement. Pre-positioning prior to announcement is important.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-retail-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10598:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM)</a> are reopening plays and investors that are looking to buy the stocks could wait for index deletion to get liquidity.</li>
</ul>


We see three potential changes to the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) at the February rebalance. Two are higher probability changes, while one has a lower probability.
Typically, the inclusions rally and the deletions drop between announcement and implementation with a big jump immediately post announcement. Pre-positioning prior to announcement is important.

Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) and Robinsons Retail Holdings (RRHI PM) are reopening plays and investors that are looking to buy the stocks could wait for index deletion to get liquidity.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb22: Three Potential Changes & Large Impact

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> shares debut at S$2.95/share; Total RE AUM at S$119bn</h3><p>CLI made its trading debut at S$2.95/share (US$11.4bn market cap) on the Singapore Exchange under the trading name CapitaLandInvest. CLI takes over from CapitaLand Limited, which ceased trading at S$4.00 and will delist from the SGX on 21Sep. For every 100 CapitaLand shares owned, shareholders received 100 shares of CLI, S$95.10 in cash and 15.5 units of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. The total implied consideration was S$4.102/share, with CLI shares valued at S$2.823 each. CLI's listing comes after CapitaLand Limited restructured business to form two distinct entities – CLI, the listed real estate investment management business; and CapitaLand Development, the privatised property development arm. The former had about S$119bn of RE AUM as at 30Jun21, of which more than 80% are located in Asia. Its real estate funds under management stood at about S$83bn, spanning six listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts and over 20 private funds.</p>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) shares debut at S$2.95/share; Total RE AUM at S$119bnCLI made its trading debut at S$2.95/share (US$11.4bn market cap) on the Singapore Exchange under the trading name CapitaLandInvest. CLI takes over from CapitaLand Limited, which ceased trading at S$4.00 and will delist from the SGX on 21Sep. For every 100 CapitaLand shares owned, shareholders received 100 shares of CLI, S$95.10 in cash and 15.5 units of CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust. The total implied consideration was S$4.102/share, with CLI shares valued at S$2.823 each. CLI's listing comes after CapitaLand Limited restructured business to form two distinct entities – CLI, the listed real estate investment management business; and CapitaLand Development, the privatised property development arm. The former had about S$119bn of RE AUM as at 30Jun21, of which more than 80% are located in Asia. Its real estate funds under management stood at about S$83bn, spanning six listed real estate investment trusts and business trusts and over 20 private funds.

Philippines

DMCI Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides general construction and infrastructure construction. DMCI also develops real estate and mines coal. In addition, DMCI manufactures cement and other products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Aug 22: One Set of Potential Changes

We expect SCC PM to be added to the PCOMP Index at the August rebalance replacing SECB PM. Historically, the adds outperform the deletes and there...

Brian Freitas

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 36

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, and nine new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

PCOMP Index Rebalance: EMP, MONDE Could Pop; BLOOM, RRHI Could Drop

Emperador and Monde Nissin will replace Bloomberry Resorts and Robinson Retail in the PCOMP after the close on 11 February. Only 5 days to...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb22: Three Potential Changes & Large Impact

We forecast 3 potential changes to the PCOMP at the February rebalance that could see MONDE, EMP and DITO added and BLOOM, RRHI and SECB deleted....

Brian Freitas

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (21Sep21)

CLI debuts with S$119bn RE AUM; RLC developing 2 office towers in Bridgetowne; More townships for MEG in Luzon, Palawan; SIME reopens all sales...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)