Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>According to our NAV valuation analysis, it suggests NAV per share of 25,624 won for DN Automotive which is 35% higher than current price.</li>
<li>We assumed DN Automotive's estimated post IPO stake of DN Solutions (72.2% stake) would be worth about 4 trillion won. </li>
<li>We used a very large holdco discount rate of 70%. DN Automotive is not a pure holdco company but a quasi holding company.</li>
</ul>


According to our NAV valuation analysis, it suggests NAV per share of 25,624 won for DN Automotive which is 35% higher than current price.
We assumed DN Automotive's estimated post IPO stake of DN Solutions (72.2% stake) would be worth about 4 trillion won. 
We used a very large holdco discount rate of 70%. DN Automotive is not a pure holdco company but a quasi holding company.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>DN Solutions is planning to complete its IPO in Korea in 2025. The expected value of DN Solutions is estimated to be about 5 trillion won to 6 trillion won.</li>
<li>DN Solutions' revenue and operating profit increased at CAGR of 19.9% and 62.2%, respectively from 2020 to 2023.</li>
<li>Currently, the largest shareholder of DN Solutions is GMT Holdings which has a 90.32% stake. DN Automotive (007340 KS) owns a 100% stake in GMT Holdings.</li>
</ul>


DN Solutions is planning to complete its IPO in Korea in 2025. The expected value of DN Solutions is estimated to be about 5 trillion won to 6 trillion won.
DN Solutions' revenue and operating profit increased at CAGR of 19.9% and 62.2%, respectively from 2020 to 2023.
Currently, the largest shareholder of DN Solutions is GMT Holdings which has a 90.32% stake. DN Automotive (007340 KS) owns a 100% stake in GMT Holdings.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Hyundai Heavy Industries, Isupetasys.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Hyundai Heavy Industries, Isupetasys.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Daewoo Shipbuilding, Hyundai Heavy Industries, Isupetasys

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/han-kuk-carbon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17241:1" rel="noopener">Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS)</a> appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 3.6-16.5 days of ADV.

Han Kuk Carbon (017960 KS) appeared as a forecast add in the week starting 22 March and the stock is up 38% since then.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

<ul>
<li>DN Solutions cancelled its IPO today due to low demand. There were not enough institutional investors willing to put their hard earned capital into this IPO. </li>
<li>The IPO price range was between 65,000 won and 89,700 won with market cap ranging from 4.1 trillion won to 5.7 trillion won.</li>
<li>The cancellation of the IPO for DN Solutions is also likely to have a negative impact on DN Automotive which is up 23% in the past one year. </li>
</ul>


DN Solutions cancelled its IPO today due to low demand. There were not enough institutional investors willing to put their hard earned capital into this IPO. 
The IPO price range was between 65,000 won and 89,700 won with market cap ranging from 4.1 trillion won to 5.7 trillion won.
The cancellation of the IPO for DN Solutions is also likely to have a negative impact on DN Automotive which is up 23% in the past one year. 


South Korea

DN Automotive Corporation manufactures and distributes automobile parts. The Company produces automobile tires, tubes, recycled tires, flaps, automobile vibration proof parts, automobile batteries, and other related products. DN Automotive markets its products worldwide.

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DN Automotive (007340 KS)

DN Automotive NAV Valuation Analysis

According to our NAV valuation analysis, it suggests NAV per share of 25,624 won for DN Automotive which is 35% higher than current price.

Douglas Kim

Initial Thoughts on the DN Solutions IPO

DN Solutions is planning to complete its IPO in Korea in 2025. The expected value of DN Solutions is estimated to be about 5 trillion won to 6...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 2nd): Daewoo Shipbuilding, Hyundai Heavy Industries, Isupetasys

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Hyundai Heavy Industries,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for June

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. Potential impact ranges from 1.6-22 days of ADV. HDC Holdings has jumped the most while Hankuk...

Brian Freitas

DN Solutions Cancels IPO

DN Solutions cancelled its IPO today due to low demand. There were not enough institutional investors willing to put their hard earned capital into...

Douglas Kim

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