Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>FSS Governor Lee challenged the legality of the Robotics-Bobcat merger ratio, citing Article 176-5 of the Capital Markets Act, allowing a 10% premium or discount.</li>
<li>Following the FSS Governor's statements, Doosan must likely apply a 10% premium/discount to the Robotics-Bobcat merger, creating a 30% spread based on current stock prices.</li>
<li>Doosan may still revise or cancel the merger, but the FSS Governor's comments might boost Bobcat short-term. Given the uncertainty, aggressive trading is risky.</li>
</ul>


FSS Governor Lee challenged the legality of the Robotics-Bobcat merger ratio, citing Article 176-5 of the Capital Markets Act, allowing a 10% premium or discount.
Following the FSS Governor's statements, Doosan must likely apply a 10% premium/discount to the Robotics-Bobcat merger, creating a 30% spread based on current stock prices.
Doosan may still revise or cancel the merger, but the FSS Governor's comments might boost Bobcat short-term. Given the uncertainty, aggressive trading is risky.


Korea FSS Chief Calls for 10% Premium/Discount on Doosan Merger, Boosting Swap Spread to 30%

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD518.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,842mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The trade in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s Tender offer Buyback is to understand what YOU can do in your particular position.</li>
<li>Despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a>'s recent share buyback, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> is still preferable on a look-through P/B of 0.34x.</li>
<li>Kirin bumps the Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>. Given market gyration, it may represent enough of a switching opportunity to let those who still object in principle to re-allocate elsewhere. </li>
</ul>


The trade in Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s Tender offer Buyback is to understand what YOU can do in your particular position.
Despite Swire Properties (1972 HK)'s recent share buyback, Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) is still preferable on a look-through P/B of 0.34x.
Kirin bumps the Offer for Fancl (4921 JP). Given market gyration, it may represent enough of a switching opportunity to let those who still object in principle to re-allocate elsewhere. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota, Swire, Fancl, Barito Complex, Descente

<ul>
<li>The FSS requested Doosan Robotics to revise the prospectuses for both the Share Swap with Doosan Bobcat and Merger with Doosan Enerbility.</li>
<li>Although the FSS's wording seems aggressive, it does not request the cancellation. Authorities are displeased but lack political momentum to derail Doosan's restructuring.</li>
<li>The FSS asks Doosan to clarify merger synergies, warn of Robotics' overvalued stock price and potential decline, and highlight the collaborative robot market's growth risks.</li>
</ul>


The FSS requested Doosan Robotics to revise the prospectuses for both the Share Swap with Doosan Bobcat and Merger with Doosan Enerbility.
Although the FSS's wording seems aggressive, it does not request the cancellation. Authorities are displeased but lack political momentum to derail Doosan's restructuring.
The FSS asks Doosan to clarify merger synergies, warn of Robotics' overvalued stock price and potential decline, and highlight the collaborative robot market's growth risks.


Clarifications Regarding the FSS's Unexpected Revision Request for the Doosan Mergers

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,687mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace, Samsung Biologic, Sk Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,687mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace, Samsung Biologic, Sk Hynix.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace

South Korea

Bobcat Company specializes in design, manufacture, marketing and distribution of compact equipment for construction, rental, landscaping, agriculture, grounds maintenance, government, utility, industry and mining.

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Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS)

Korea FSS Chief Calls for 10% Premium/Discount on Doosan Merger, Boosting Swap Spread to 30%

The FSS Governor made a shocking statement on TV today, saying that a 10% premium and discount should be applied to the Doosan merger ratio. This...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota, Swire, Fancl, Barito Complex, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Clarifications Regarding the FSS's Unexpected Revision Request for the Doosan Mergers

Doosan submitted the revised securities registration statement for its restructuring. As suggested in this post, the merger ratio remains...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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