Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A doubling of the stock price over the last 3 months could lead to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7423:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Corp (000150 KS)</a> being included in a global index in August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7423:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Corp (000150 KS)</a> has outperformed its peers over the last few months and now trades at a huge valuation premium to its peer group.</li>
<li>The stock is 17% off its recent highs and that provides an opportunity for a relative value trade heading into the index inclusion event.</li>
</ul>


A doubling of the stock price over the last 3 months could lead to Doosan Corp (000150 KS) being included in a global index in August.

Doosan Corp (000150 KS) has outperformed its peers over the last few months and now trades at a huge valuation premium to its peer group.
The stock is 17% off its recent highs and that provides an opportunity for a relative value trade heading into the index inclusion event.


Doosan Corp (000150 KS): Global Index Inclusion & A Relative Value Trade

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD636.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD758mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD636.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD758mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 18th): Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 27th. The aggregated holding was USD625.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD100mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Kakaopay, Naver.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 27th. The aggregated holding was USD625.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD100mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Kakaopay, Naver.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 27th): SK Hynix, Kakaopay, Naver

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.</li>
<li>An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.</li>
<li>Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.</li>
</ul>


Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.
An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.
Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.


Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

South Korea

Doosan Co., Ltd operates as a diversified manufacturing and service company. The Company conducts electronic components production, logistics equipment manufacturing, information technology consulting, and other businesses. Doosan provides services worldwide.

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Doosan Corp (000150 KS)