Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank (323410)</a></strong> will experience the biggest change, followed by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM (011200)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a></strong>. The float rate of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdc-hyundai-development-co-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27397:1" rel="noopener">HDC Hyundai Development (294870)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670)</a></strong> will decrease.</li>
<li>
<strong>Kakao Bank</strong> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Kakao Pay (377300)</strong></a> have the most significant passive impact. And <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woori-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27995:1" rel="noopener">Woori Financial Group (316140)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a></strong> are also worth noting.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.

Kakao Bank (323410) will experience the biggest change, followed by HMM (011200) and  Krafton Inc (259960). The float rate of HDC Hyundai Development (294870) and Doosan Infracore (042670) will decrease.

Kakao Bank and Kakao Pay (377300) have the most significant passive impact. And LG Corp (003550), Woori Financial Group (316140), and  Krafton Inc (259960) are also worth noting.


KOSPI 200 Constituents with a Float Rate Change: 11 Increases & 2 Reductions

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p>In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of<strong> momentum-driven strategy.</strong> The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances <strong>(up 55% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
<p>On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (<strong>down 6.1% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
</div>

In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.
This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of momentum-driven strategy. The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances (up 55% on average in the past six months). 
On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (down 6.1% on average in the past six months). 


Potential Changes of KOSPI 200 Index Components in the November 2021 Rebalance

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Infracore / Equity Capital Markets

<h2>Overview</h2><p>This is again an offering to the stockholders with forfeited shares going to a public offering. A total of 115 million new shares are issued, and the tentative issuance price is set at ₩6,950. So, the total issuance size is ₩0.8T.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Overview"}'>Overview</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Target"}'>Target</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"A public offering of forfeited shares after offering to stockholders"}'>A public offering of forfeited shares after offering to stockholders</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Transferability"}'>Transferability</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Renounceable"}'>Renounceable</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Volume"}'><strong>Offering volume</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":115107913}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>115,107,913</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Preliminary price"}'><strong>Preliminary price</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6950}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}'><strong>₩6,950</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Preliminary value"}'><strong>Preliminary value</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":799999995350}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"[$₩-412]#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-3]C[0]*R[-1]C[0]"><strong>₩799,999,995,350</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Oversubscription privilege"}'>Oversubscription privilege</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>20.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Banker"}'>Banker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KB, NH, KIS, Mirae Asset, Hana, Samsung, DB, Daishin, &amp; Hi"}'>KB, NH, KIS, Mirae Asset, Hana, Samsung, DB, Daishin, &amp; Hi</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Underwriting type"}'>- Underwriting type</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Standby"}'>Standby</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div class="content-highlight"><p>The tentative issuance price of ₩6,950 was calculated based on this formula: Average [1M VWAP, 1W VWAP, 1D Close], as of September 9, 2021.</p></div><h2>Allocation</h2><p>Currently, the number of issued common stock is 79.5 million. So the capital increase rate is a whopping 144.75%, and the dilution per share is 59.14%. Since 20% is allocated to the ESOP, the allocation ratio to stockholders is <strong>1.1589273</strong>.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Allocation"}'>Allocation</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Offer volume"}'><strong>Offering volume</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":115107913}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[1]C[0]+R[2]C[0]"><strong>115,107,913</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital increase"}'>Capital increase</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.447498858082393}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-4]C[0]/R[-7]C[0]">144.75%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Dilution"}'>Dilution</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5914196255096533}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-5]C[0]/(R[-8]C[0]+R[-5]C[0])">59.14%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total shares after rights offer"}'>Total shares after rights offer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":194629850}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[1]C[0]+R[2]C[0]">194,629,850</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"ESOP allocation"}'>ESOP allocation</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":23021582}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>23,021,582</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - %"}'>- %</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.19999999478749997}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]/R[-17]C[0]">20.00%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Stockholder allocation"}'><strong>Stockholder allocation</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":92086331}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-18]C[0]-R[-2]C[0]"><strong>92,086,331</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - %"}'><strong>- %</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8000000052125}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]/R[-19]C[0]"><strong>80.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Per-share allocation</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1.1589273</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>Schedule</h2><div>
<p>This event's schedule has pretty much nothing unusual, except for the addition of the short-selling ban period. Oh, there is one more thing. This event takes an unusually long time. We have like one and half months gap from now to the first round pricing. It is probably to avoid schedule conflict with another major rights offering, Samsung Heavy Industries, whose payment date falls on November 5th.</p>
<p>So, Doosan Infracore's first-round pricing will be November 11. And ex-rights are on November 3rd, with the subscription rights trading period falling on November 24~30. The issuer will confirm the final price on December 6th, and the listing date is December 28th.</p>
</div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Schedule"}'>Schedule</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"BOD meeting"}'>BOD meeting</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44449}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Preliminary pricing"}'><strong>Preliminary pricing</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44501}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 11. 01</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ex-rights date"}'><strong>Ex-rights date</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44503}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 11. 03</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Record date"}'>Record date</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44504}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Subscription rights trade beginning"}'><strong>Subscription rights trade beginning</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44524}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 11. 24</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Subscription rights trade ending"}'><strong>Subscription rights trade ending</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44530}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 11. 30</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Final pricing"}'><strong>Final pricing</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44536}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 12. 06</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Stockholder subscription"}'>Stockholder subscription</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44538}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 12. 08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Public subscription"}'>Public subscription</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44540}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 12. 10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Payment"}'>Payment</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44546}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 12. 16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Listing"}'>Listing</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44558}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 12. 28</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2"></td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Short restriction begins"}'><strong>Short restriction begins</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44452}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 09. 13</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Short restriction ends"}'><strong>Short restriction ends</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44533}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'><strong>2021. 12. 03</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'><p>Source: DART</p></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>The short-selling ban period is from September 13 to December 3rd. Investors who short-sell during this period cannot participate in this capital increase unless they purchase the same quantity they shorted within this period.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>There seems to be a lot of confusion about this. According to the official documents of the FSC, it is not that only the quantity sold short during the short-selling ban period cannot participate in the rights issue. If we short-sell even one share during this period, we will be completely banned from participating in the rights issue. Then, the only exception is to buy more than the number of stocks short-sold during this period.</p></div><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/229/161/original/Screen+Shot+2021-09-10+at+11.09.54+AM.png?1631287116" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="229161"></figure></section><h2>Pricing</h2><p>The procedure for determining the offering price is as follows, again nothing unusual here. The discount rate of this event is 20%, which is the usual discount rate for local rights offerings. Just, this is a bit less aggressive than the 15% discount rate of Samsung Heavy Industries announced last month. Given the current market liquidity, it seems to me that Doosan Infracore could have gone for a little more aggressive discount, say 15%.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="400">
<col width="400">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Pricing"}'>Pricing</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"1st round"}'><strong>1st round</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"RP × (1 - 20%) / [1 + (144.75% × 20%)]"}' data-sheets-formula='="RP × (1 - "&amp;(R[11]C[0]*100&amp;"%")&amp;") / [1 + ("&amp;(R[12]C[0]*100&amp;"%"&amp;" × "&amp;(R[11]C[0]*100&amp;"%"&amp;")]"))'><strong>RP × (1 - 20%) / [1 + (144.75% × 20%)]</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference price (RP)"}'><strong>- Reference price (RP)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP, 1M VWAP)]"}'><strong>Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP, 1M VWAP)]</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference date"}'><strong>- Reference date</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44501}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,5,"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[41]C[0]"><strong>2021. 11. 01</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ex-rights base price"}'>Ex-rights base price</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"[RP + (1st × 144.75%)] / (1 + 144.75%)"}' data-sheets-formula='="[RP + (1st × "&amp;R[9]C[0]*100&amp;"%"&amp;")] / (1 + "&amp;R[9]C[0]*100&amp;"%"&amp;")"'>[RP + (1st × 144.75%)] / (1 + 144.75%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference price (RP)"}'>- Reference price (RP)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Previous close"}'>Previous close</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference date"}'>- Reference date</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44503}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,5,"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[39]C[0]">2021. 11. 03</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2nd round"}'><strong>2nd round</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"RP × (1 - 20%)"}' data-sheets-formula='="RP × (1 - "&amp;(R[5]C[0]*100&amp;"%")&amp;")"'><strong>RP × (1 - 20%)</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference price (RP)"}'><strong>- Reference price (RP)</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP)]"}'><strong>Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP)]</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference date"}'><strong>- Reference date</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44536}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,5,"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[40]C[0]"><strong>2021. 12. 06</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Final"}'>Final</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Max [Min (1st, 2nd), 3D VWAP × 60%]"}'>Max [Min (1st, 2nd), 3D VWAP × 60%]</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Reference date"}'>- Reference date</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44536}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,5,"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd",1]' data-sheets-formula="=Terms!R[38]C[0]">2021. 12. 06</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Discount rate"}'><strong>Discount rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'><strong>20.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital increase rate"}'><strong>Capital increase rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.4475}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]' data-sheets-formula="=LEFT(Terms!R[11]C[0],7)*100/100"><strong>144.75%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

OverviewThis is again an offering to the stockholders with forfeited shares going to a public offering. A total of 115 million new shares are issued, and the tentative issuance price is set at ₩6,950. So, the total issuance size is ₩0.8T.





Overview

Target
A public offering of forfeited shares after offering to stockholders


Transferability
Renounceable


Offering volume
115,107,913


Preliminary price
₩6,950


Preliminary value
₩799,999,995,350


Oversubscription privilege
20.00%


Banker
KB, NH, KIS, Mirae Asset, Hana, Samsung, DB, Daishin, &amp; Hi


- Underwriting type
Standby

Source: DART

The tentative issuance price of ₩6,950 was calculated based on this formula: Average [1M VWAP, 1W VWAP, 1D Close], as of September 9, 2021.AllocationCurrently, the number of issued common stock is 79.5 million. So the capital increase rate is a whopping 144.75%, and the dilution per share is 59.14%. Since 20% is allocated to the ESOP, the allocation ratio to stockholders is 1.1589273.





Allocation

Offering volume
115,107,913


Capital increase
144.75%


Dilution
59.14%


Total shares after rights offer
194,629,850


ESOP allocation
23,021,582


- %
20.00%


Stockholder allocation
92,086,331


- %
80.00%


Per-share allocation
1.1589273

Source: DART

Schedule
This event's schedule has pretty much nothing unusual, except for the addition of the short-selling ban period. Oh, there is one more thing. This event takes an unusually long time. We have like one and half months gap from now to the first round pricing. It is probably to avoid schedule conflict with another major rights offering, Samsung Heavy Industries, whose payment date falls on November 5th.
So, Doosan Infracore's first-round pricing will be November 11. And ex-rights are on November 3rd, with the subscription rights trading period falling on November 24~30. The issuer will confirm the final price on December 6th, and the listing date is December 28th.






Schedule

BOD meeting
2021. 09. 10


Preliminary pricing
2021. 11. 01


Ex-rights date
2021. 11. 03


Record date
2021. 11. 04


Subscription rights trade beginning
2021. 11. 24


Subscription rights trade ending
2021. 11. 30


Final pricing
2021. 12. 06


Stockholder subscription
2021. 12. 08


Public subscription
2021. 12. 10


Payment
2021. 12. 16


Listing
2021. 12. 28



Short restriction begins
2021. 09. 13


Short restriction ends
2021. 12. 03

Source: DART

The short-selling ban period is from September 13 to December 3rd. Investors who short-sell during this period cannot participate in this capital increase unless they purchase the same quantity they shorted within this period.There seems to be a lot of confusion about this. According to the official documents of the FSC, it is not that only the quantity sold short during the short-selling ban period cannot participate in the rights issue. If we short-sell even one share during this period, we will be completely banned from participating in the rights issue. Then, the only exception is to buy more than the number of stocks short-sold during this period.PricingThe procedure for determining the offering price is as follows, again nothing unusual here. The discount rate of this event is 20%, which is the usual discount rate for local rights offerings. Just, this is a bit less aggressive than the 15% discount rate of Samsung Heavy Industries announced last month. Given the current market liquidity, it seems to me that Doosan Infracore could have gone for a little more aggressive discount, say 15%.





Pricing

1st round
RP × (1 - 20%) / [1 + (144.75% × 20%)]


- Reference price (RP)
Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP, 1M VWAP)]


- Reference date
2021. 11. 01


Ex-rights base price
[RP + (1st × 144.75%)] / (1 + 144.75%)


- Reference price (RP)
Previous close


- Reference date
2021. 11. 03


2nd round
RP × (1 - 20%)


- Reference price (RP)
Min [Close, Avg (Close, 1W VWAP)]


- Reference date
2021. 12. 06


Final
Max [Min (1st, 2nd), 3D VWAP × 60%]


- Reference date
2021. 12. 06


Discount rate
20.00%


Capital increase rate
144.75%

Source: DART



Doosan Infracore Rights Offer Walkthrough & Thoughts on Arb Trading Setups

<h2>Regulatory filing summary</h2><p>In a regulatory filing, Doosan Infracore unveiled its plan for a capital increase of about ₩800B after the close of the market yesterday.</p><p>At the same time, Doosan Infracore conducts a par-value capital reduction without any refund. So, the par value of an ordinary stock is reduced from ₩5,000 to ₩1,000. The ratio of this capital reduction is 80%.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>Below is the regulatory filing at DART.</p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/226/111/original/Screen+Shot+2021-08-25+at+2.45.22+PM.png?1629917573" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="226111"></figure></section>
</div><section class="figure"><p><strong>Here are the key points of the regulatory filing:</strong></p></section><ul><li>
<strong>Capital reduction: Doosan Infracore will seek shareholder approval for the capital reduction at the extraordinary general shareholders meeting scheduled for September 10. </strong>→ A capital reduction is subject to shareholder approval at the general meeting of shareholders.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><p>This is a par-value capital reduction without any refund. Reducing the par value without any refund simply moves capital to earnings surplus to avoid capital impairment while the total issued shares remain unchanged. Just like the previous case of Samsung Heavy Industries, Doosan Infracore also needs this capital reduction to prevent capital impairment.</p></div><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital reduction details"}'>Capital reduction details</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Current"}'>Current</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"After capital reduction"}'>After capital reduction</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ordinary shares"}'><strong>Ordinary shares</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":78309228}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>78,309,228</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":78309228}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>78,309,228</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Par value"}'><strong>Par value</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"₩5,000"}'><strong>₩5,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"₩1,000"}'><strong>₩1,000</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Capital"}'><strong>Capital</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":391.54614}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>₩391.5B</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":78.309228}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B","3":1}'><strong>₩78.3B</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Record date"}'>Record date</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44481}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 10. 12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shareholder meeting"}'>Shareholder meeting</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44449}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy. mm. dd","3":1}'>2021. 09. 10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Trade suspension"}'>Trade suspension</td>
<td colspan="2" rowspan="1" style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"2021. 10. 08 ~ 10. 25"}'>2021. 10. 08 ~ 10. 25</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><ul><li>
<strong>Doosan Infracore plans to decide on the details of a capital increase at the board of directors after obtaining shareholder approval for the capital reduction on September 10. </strong>→ A capital increase is subject to the resolution of the board of directors.</li></ul>

Regulatory filing summaryIn a regulatory filing, Doosan Infracore unveiled its plan for a capital increase of about ₩800B after the close of the market yesterday.At the same time, Doosan Infracore conducts a par-value capital reduction without any refund. So, the par value of an ordinary stock is reduced from ₩5,000 to ₩1,000. The ratio of this capital reduction is 80%.
Below is the regulatory filing at DART.

Here are the key points of the regulatory filing:
Capital reduction: Doosan Infracore will seek shareholder approval for the capital reduction at the extraordinary general shareholders meeting scheduled for September 10. → A capital reduction is subject to shareholder approval at the general meeting of shareholders.This is a par-value capital reduction without any refund. Reducing the par value without any refund simply moves capital to earnings surplus to avoid capital impairment while the total issued shares remain unchanged. Just like the previous case of Samsung Heavy Industries, Doosan Infracore also needs this capital reduction to prevent capital impairment.







Capital reduction details
Current
After capital reduction


Ordinary shares
78,309,228
78,309,228


Par value
₩5,000
₩1,000


Capital
₩391.5B
₩78.3B


Record date
2021. 10. 12


Shareholder meeting
2021. 09. 10


Trade suspension
2021. 10. 08 ~ 10. 25

Source: DART


Doosan Infracore plans to decide on the details of a capital increase at the board of directors after obtaining shareholder approval for the capital reduction on September 10. → A capital increase is subject to the resolution of the board of directors.

Yes, We Can Short Doosan Infracore for Arb Setup Even Now with Offering Pre-Announcement

<p>After the market close today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a> announced that it plans to complete a rights offering worth 800 billion won, which represents nearly 70% of its current market cap of 1.15 trillion won.</p><p>This rights offering will lead to a significant share dilution risk. The company has yet to provide full details of this rights offering but it is likely that the rights offering price will be priced at least 20-25% lower than current share price. Given the huge dilution risk, we believe that shares of Doosan Infracore will likely face significant weakness in the next several days. A retrace back to the 11,000 won to 12,000 won level is likely, in our view. </p>

After the market close today, Doosan Infracore (042670 KS) announced that it plans to complete a rights offering worth 800 billion won, which represents nearly 70% of its current market cap of 1.15 trillion won.This rights offering will lead to a significant share dilution risk. The company has yet to provide full details of this rights offering but it is likely that the rights offering price will be priced at least 20-25% lower than current share price. Given the huge dilution risk, we believe that shares of Doosan Infracore will likely face significant weakness in the next several days. A retrace back to the 11,000 won to 12,000 won level is likely, in our view. 

Doosan Infracore Announces a Rights Offering Worth 70% of Its Market Cap

South Korea

Hyundai Doosan Infracore Co., Ltd. produces construction machinery. The Company manufactures construction equipment, industrial vehicles, diesel engines, power generators, machine tools, factory automation system, and other products, such as armored vehicles for the defense industry. Hyundai Doosan Infracore markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai Infracore (042670 KS)

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