Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and six regular changes for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
<li>After that, we expect multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and six regular changes for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.
After that, we expect multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes over the next few weeks.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: ~10 Regular & Intra-Review Changes Likely in September

BioPharma Credit PLC Fund / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review and then at least four more before the end of the year.</li>
<li>Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one regular change for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review and then at least four more before the end of the year.
Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one regular change for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: High-Impact ADD Due to Rule Change + More Intra-Review Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review (one announced later today) and then two more shortly after the rebal event. </li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F250 index during the September 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review (one announced later today) and then two more shortly after the rebal event. 
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F250 index during the September 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Management action to reduce costs and drive commercial actions has enabled Dowlais Group to protect margins despite lower revenues from the weaker automotive market. Hence, management expectations for FY24 are confirmed. This should improve investor confidence and reduce the clear valuation gap.

Management action to reduce costs and drive commercial actions has enabled Dowlais Group to protect margins despite lower revenues from the weaker automotive market. Hence, management expectations for FY24 are confirmed. This should improve investor confidence and reduce the clear valuation gap.

Dowlais Group - Resilient performance in a soft automotive market

Softness in the automotive markets (see Stellantis’s recent update) is weighing on sentiment in the auto sector forecasts and has led us to trim our FY25 forecasts. Dowlais management is currently reviewing the options for its smaller Powder Metallurgy division. An exit would leave GKN Automotive dominated by the higher-quality Driveline business (60% of GKN Automotive sales) and its Chinese joint venture (JV). Assuming proceeds of c £700m (latest NAV £860m), this would leave the shares trading on a pro-forma FY25 EV/EBITDA of c 2x.

Softness in the automotive markets (see Stellantis’s recent update) is weighing on sentiment in the auto sector forecasts and has led us to trim our FY25 forecasts. Dowlais management is currently reviewing the options for its smaller Powder Metallurgy division. An exit would leave GKN Automotive dominated by the higher-quality Driveline business (60% of GKN Automotive sales) and its Chinese joint venture (JV). Assuming proceeds of c £700m (latest NAV £860m), this would leave the shares trading on a pro-forma FY25 EV/EBITDA of c 2x. 

Dowlais Group - Driveline - the strong core

United Kingdom

Dowlais Group PLC operates as an engineering specialist. The Company offers automotive drive systems, powder metallurgy, and metal hydride technology solutions. Dowlais Group serves clients in the United Kingdom.

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Dowlais Group (DWL LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: ~10 Regular & Intra-Review Changes Likely in September

F100/250 Sep25 index changes will be confirmed after market close today. Yesterday was the base date for final ranks. Please see discussion point...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: High-Impact ADD Due to Rule Change + More Intra-Review Changes

BioPharma Credit PLC Fund (BPCR LN) has been our top F250 potential ADD after a recent rule change. This could be a high-impact index addition that...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25 Results: Methodology Change Could Result in a Surprise Addition

We see many high-impact F250 potential ADDs with opportunities to get added to the index during the regular Sep25 index review or on an intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Dowlais Group - Resilient performance in a soft automotive market

Management action to reduce costs and drive commercial actions has enabled Dowlais Group to protect margins despite lower revenues from the weaker...

Edison Investment Research

Dowlais Group - Driveline - the strong core

Softness in the automotive markets (see Stellantis’s recent update) is weighing on sentiment in the auto sector forecasts and has led us to trim...

Edison Investment Research

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