Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked European indices and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>This annual index rebal event usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year, typically amounting to billions of dollars of flows.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2026.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked European indices and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
This annual index rebal event usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year, typically amounting to billions of dollars of flows.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep26: 2 Changes Likely; 6 Months to the Base Date; US$1bn+ Flow Events

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>The main forecasted additions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-energy-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35843:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Energy AG (ENR GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-bank-ag-40d2d02f-a52f-4d36-a86f-79c59c4f0f17" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:526:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Bank (DBK GR)</a> as they are both surpassing the entry rank.</li>
<li>The main forecasted deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv-847415d2-edbe-4b97-b9c9-bece87ed6f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27920:1" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLAM IM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> as they are both below the exit rank.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pernod-ricard-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21533:1" rel="noopener">Pernod Ricard Sa (RI FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volkswagen-ag-2754ab9c-fd60-43d7-a087-b4ce4465a0eb" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:734:1" rel="noopener">Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR)</a> are near the exit threshold and can potentially be replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-on-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21616:1" rel="noopener">E.ON (EOAN GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/engie-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21449:1" rel="noopener">Engie SA (ENGI FP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The main forecasted additions are Siemens Energy AG (ENR GR) and Deutsche Bank (DBK GR) as they are both surpassing the entry rank.
The main forecasted deletions are Stellantis NV (STLAM IM) and Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) as they are both below the exit rank.

Pernod Ricard Sa (RI FP) and Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR) are near the exit threshold and can potentially be replaced by E.ON (EOAN GR) and Engie SA (ENGI FP). 


EURO STOXX50 September 2025 Forecast: ENR & DBK Set to Join, STLAM & NOKIA to Exit

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Sidenor’s non-binding offer: Raised to €4.8 per share for 29.8% of Talgo, with a fixed €4.15 and €0.65 contingent on financial targets in 2027 and 2028.</li>
<li>Competing interest from Pesa and Jupiter Wagons: Polish and Indian bidders are considering offers, while SEPI explores involvement to maintain Spanish control over Talgo.</li>
<li>Uncertainty persists: Regulatory approvals, financial conditions, and competing bids complicate Talgo’s ownership future, with binding offers due by February 14, 2025.</li>
</ul>


Sidenor’s non-binding offer: Raised to €4.8 per share for 29.8% of Talgo, with a fixed €4.15 and €0.65 contingent on financial targets in 2027 and 2028.
Competing interest from Pesa and Jupiter Wagons: Polish and Indian bidders are considering offers, while SEPI explores involvement to maintain Spanish control over Talgo.
Uncertainty persists: Regulatory approvals, financial conditions, and competing bids complicate Talgo’s ownership future, with binding offers due by February 14, 2025.


Talgo Acquisition: Sidenor’s Bid and Competitive Landscape

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
<li>We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.
We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

<ul>
<li>The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. 
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23:  Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Germany

E.ON is one of Europe's largest operators of energy networks and energy infrastructure and a provider of innovative customer solutions for some 51 million customers. The company's operations are energy networks and customer solutions.

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E.ON (EOAN GR)

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep26: 2 Changes Likely; 6 Months to the Base Date; US$1bn+ Flow Events

Our ideas for ES50 have returned an average of +3.6%, measured from the close on 9th March 2026 to the close on 27th March 2026. Among these...

Afridi Reyal

EURO STOXX50 September 2025 Forecast: ENR & DBK Set to Join, STLAM & NOKIA to Exit

ENR and DBK are poised to join EURO STOXX50, while STLA and NOKIA are expected to exit. RI and VOW3 face potential removal, with EOAN and ENGI...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Talgo Acquisition: Sidenor’s Bid and Competitive Landscape

Sidenor raises offer for 29.8% of Talgo, but faces competition from Pesa and Jupiter Wagons. Uncertainty looms over ownership future with...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

There could be 23 days of volume to buy in DSM-Firmenich and 15 days of volume to sell in Nokia as things stand. However, this is a low-conviction...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Vonovia SE (VNA GR) is a high-conviction DEL and Wolters Kluwer Nv (WKL NA) but Ferrari NV (RACE IM) are leading the race to take Vonovia's slot in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep26: 2 Changes Likely; 6 Months to the Base Date; US$1bn+ Flow Events

Our ideas for ES50 have returned an average of +3.6%, measured from the close on 9th March 2026 to the close on 27th March 2026. Among these...

Afridi Reyal

EURO STOXX50 September 2025 Forecast: ENR & DBK Set to Join, STLAM & NOKIA to Exit

ENR and DBK are poised to join EURO STOXX50, while STLA and NOKIA are expected to exit. RI and VOW3 face potential removal, with EOAN and ENGI...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Talgo Acquisition: Sidenor’s Bid and Competitive Landscape

​Sidenor raises offer for 29.8% of Talgo, but faces competition from Pesa and Jupiter Wagons. Uncertainty looms over ownership future with...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

There could be 23 days of volume to buy in DSM-Firmenich and 15 days of volume to sell in Nokia as things stand. However, this is a low-conviction...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Vonovia SE (VNA GR) is a high-conviction DEL and Wolters Kluwer Nv (WKL NA) but Ferrari NV (RACE IM) are leading the race to take Vonovia's slot in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Sidenor raises offer for 29.8% of Talgo, but faces competition from Pesa and Jupiter Wagons. Uncertainty looms over ownership future with...